NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+32NY

WSH

16-55

113145

47-25

NBASun, Mar 22FinalSeriesNY wins series 3-0VegasNY -22.5

WSH · top performer

Jaden Hardy

G · #8

15.4Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NY · top performer

Karl-Anthony Towns

C · #32

27.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowWSH ↔ NY

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
T. VukcevicF · #00	15	13	5-9	3-6	—	-14	1	1
J. WatkinsG · #5	31	5	2-10	1-7	—	-20	6	2
B. CarringtonG · #7	34	14	4-9	1-4	5-8	-33	1	8
B. CoulibalyG · #0	29	13	5-12	1-3	2-3	-21	5	2
W. RileyG · #27	29	11	4-9	1-6	2-2	-16	1	4
Bench
A. GillF · #16	26	18	8-10	2-4	—	-20	5	0
L. BlackF · #14	17	3	1-2	1-1	—	-1	3	1
S. CooperG · #13	29	11	5-10	1-3	—	-23	3	6
J. HardyG · #8	29	25	9-18	7-13	—	-12	3	1
Team		113	43-89	18-47	9-13		28	25
DNP: J. Champagnie, A. Sarr, T. Johnson

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
O. AnunobyF · #8	29	9	3-7	1-3	2-2	+13	2	0
K. TownsC · #32	26	26	9-13	1-2	7-7	+16	16	3
J. HartG · #3	28	16	5-9	3-3	3-3	+24	6	4
M. BridgesG · #25	30	14	6-11	2-4	—	+28	0	6
J. BrunsonG · #11	28	23	9-19	2-5	3-3	+24	0	4
Bench
J. SochanF · #20	8	8	3-4	—	2-2	+9	6	1
D. JonesF · #1	3	0	0-1	0-1	—	+6	0	0
P. DadietF · #4	3	0	0-2	0-2	—	+6	0	0
M. DiawaraF · #51	20	12	4-6	3-4	1-2	+3	1	0
M. RobinsonC · #23	17	10	5-5	—	—	+14	10	1
A. HukportiC · #55	3	0	—	—	—	+6	1	0
J. ClarksonG · #00	23	8	4-6	0-1	—	+3	3	4
J. AlvaradoG · #5	16	8	3-7	2-4	—	+2	2	8
T. KolekG · #13	5	11	4-4	3-3	—	+6	1	1
Team		145	55-94	17-32	18-19		48	32
DNP: T. Jemison III

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

WSH

Away

Stat

Home

43-89

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

55-94

FG %

18-47

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

17-32

9-13

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

18-19

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

NY wins series 3-0

Nov 4

WSH102@

NY119

Feb 4

NY132@

WSH101

Mar 22

WSH113@

NY145today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -22.5

Between 10 and —

Total

229.5

Standard · +3.5 vs avg

Moneyline

WSH+15006%

NY-360097%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -22.5↗SpreadBet NY -22.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

22.5

0.0 since open

Total

229.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NY beat WSH 145-113. K. Towns paced them with 26 PTS, 16 REB, 3 AST. NY outscored the other side 36-25 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

NY vs WSH

Starters vs bench

production by unit

WSHstarters 50% of pts

Starters(5)

56 PTS · 14 REB · 17 AST

GS 43

Bench(4)

57 PTS · 14 REB · 8 AST

GS 46

NYstarters 61% of pts

Starters(5)

88 PTS · 24 REB · 17 AST

GS 71

Bench(9)

57 PTS · 24 REB · 15 AST

GS 60

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
WSH	27	25	29	32	113
NY	32	36	37	40	145

Period scoring

WSH won 0 · NY won 4

Hardy 9

Brunson 12

Cooper 7

Towns 11

Vukcevic 8

Brunson 31

Hardy 11

Diawara 63

WSH

Shooting comparison

WSH

48%

43-89

59%

55-94

38%

18-47

3PT

53%

17-32

69%

9-13

95%

18-19

Play-by-play · 440 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
WSH 113·NY 145
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
WSH 113·NY 145
Q4·7.7
Tyler Kolek defensive rebound
WSH 113·NY 145
Q4·11.2
Jaden Hardy misses 25-foot running jump shot
WSH 113·NY 145
Q4·16.0
Ariel Hukporti bad pass turnover (Bub Carrington steals)
·
WSH 113·NY 145
Q4·17.7
Ariel Hukporti offensive rebound
WSH 113·NY 145
Q4·20.8
Dillon Jones misses 28-foot three point pullup jump shot
WSH 113·NY 145
Q4·30.6
Jeremy Sochan offensive rebound
WSH 113·NY 145
Q4·33.1
Pacome Dadiet misses 24-foot three point jumper
WSH 113·NY 145
Q4·53.7
Bub Carrington makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 113·NY 145
Q4·53.7
Wizards offensive team rebound
WSH 112·NY 145
Q4·53.7
Bub Carrington misses free throw 1 of 2
WSH 112·NY 145
Q4·53.7
Jeremy Sochan personal foul
WSH 112·NY 145
Q4·1:05
Tyler Kolek makes 28-foot three point jumper (Jeremy Sochan assists)
·
WSH 112·NY 145
Q4·1:07
Jeremy Sochan offensive rebound
WSH 112·NY 142
Q4·1:10
Pacome Dadiet misses 22-foot three point jumper
WSH 112·NY 142
Q4·1:24
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
WSH 112·NY 142
Q4·1:27
Jaden Hardy misses 19-foot pullup jump shot
WSH 112·NY 142
Q4·1:49
Tyler Kolek makes 27-foot three pointer
WSH 112·NY 142
Q4·1:56
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
WSH 112·NY 139
Q4·1:58
Bub Carrington misses free throw 2 of 2
WSH 112·NY 139
Q4·1:58
Bub Carrington makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 112·NY 139
Q4·1:58
Dillon Jones shooting foul
WSH 111·NY 139
Q4·2:10
Tyler Kolek makes 4-foot driving floating jump shot
WSH 111·NY 139
Q4·2:24
Bub Carrington makes 25-foot three point jumper
WSH 111·NY 137
Q4·2:47
Tyler Kolek makes 24-foot three pointer
WSH 108·NY 137
Q4·2:55
Anthony Gill makes two point shot
WSH 108·NY 134
Q4·2:56
Anthony Gill offensive rebound
WSH 106·NY 134
Q4·2:59
Bub Carrington misses 23-foot three point jumper
WSH 106·NY 134
Q4·3:12
Jeremy Sochan makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 106·NY 134

Betting line

NY -22.5·O/U 229.5·WSH +1500/NY -3600

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ew York Knicks held off Washington Wizards, 145–113. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

NY -22.5 cashed (won by 32). Total cleared the 229.5 OVER by 28.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
Anthony GillWSH · F
TS%68.297
OG AnunobyNY · F
CONT8.496
Bilal CoulibalyWSH · G
DEFL3.194

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · WSH favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NY vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

160

projections · 140 high confidence

Points

Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
Anthony DavisWSH
20.5± 9.2high
OG AnunobyNY
18.6± 7.0high

Rebounds

Anthony DavisWSH
11.3± 4.3high
Julian ReeseWSH
10.5± 6.4low
Josh HartNY
8.4± 3.0high

Assists

Jalen BrunsonNY
6.2± 3.2high
Bub CarringtonWSH
5.1± 1.9high
Josh HartNY
4.6± 1.9high

Blocks

Anthony DavisWSH
1.7± 1.5high
Alex SarrWSH
1.6± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high

Steals

Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.5± 1.3high
Julian ReeseWSH
1.4± 1.7low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

WSH

league avg

53.5%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

55.9%

46.3%

FG%

47.0

▶

48.0%

112.9

PPG

114.9

▶

116.4

25.0

Assists / G

25.0

▶

27.0

15.1

Turnovers / G

14.0

▶

12.7

Data via ESPN · hoopR