NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+28CHI

LAC

19-24

110138

CHI

21-22

NBATue, Jan 20FinalSeriesCHI leads series 1-0VegasCHI -2.5

LAC · top performer

John Collins

F · #20

17.7Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

CHI · top performer

Tre Jones

G · #30

23.0Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. CollinsF · #20	24	23	9-12	5-6	—	-11	0	1
I. ZubacC · #40	22	12	5-12	—	2-3	-8	11	1
J. HardenG · #1	31	24	9-25	3-9	3-3	-6	5	6
K. DunnG · #8	26	4	2-5	—	—	-8	5	6
K. SandersG · #4	25	8	3-5	1-3	1-1	-11	2	3
Bench
N. BatumF · #33	12	0	0-2	0-2	—	-8	1	1
B. LopezC · #11	14	0	0-3	0-2	—	-11	1	0
Y. NiederhauserC · #14	12	4	2-4	0-1	—	-9	4	0
J. MillerG · #22	22	12	4-10	0-3	4-4	-33	2	2
K. BrownG · #24	12	3	1-3	—	1-2	-9	5	2
P. Baldwin Jr.G · #23	5	2	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0
T. Washington Jr.G · #15	12	11	5-6	1-2	—	-9	0	1
C. ChristieG · #12	23	7	3-4	0-1	1-2	-17	5	1
Team		110	43-92	10-30	14-17		41	24

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. SmithF · #25	24	10	4-10	2-4	0-1	+10	9	1
I. OkoroF · #35	15	2	1-3	0-1	—	-6	0	0
M. BuzelisF · #14	30	21	8-14	4-8	1-2	+27	2	4
N. VucevicC · #9	32	19	8-12	1-2	2-2	+16	8	4
C. WhiteG · #0	31	27	9-16	6-10	3-3	+15	2	6
Bench
D. TerryF · #7	14	9	3-7	2-4	1-2	+11	5	3
J. PhillipsF · #15	4	0	0-1	0-1	—	0	0	0
J. CarterG · #5	4	3	1-2	1-2	—	0	0	0
K. HuerterG · #13	29	14	5-10	4-8	—	+7	4	7
T. JonesG · #30	26	15	6-7	1-2	2-2	+32	8	10
A. DosunmuG · #11	29	18	7-10	4-5	—	+28	3	4
Olbrich	--	0	—	—	—	0	0	0
Team		138	52-92	25-47	9-12		42	40

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

LAC

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

43-92

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

52-92

FG %

10-30

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

25-47

14-17

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

9-12

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

CHI leads series 1-0

Jan 21

LAC110@

CHI138today

Mar 14

CHI108@

LAC119

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CHI -2.5

Between — and 5

Total

224.5

Standard · -1.5 vs avg

Moneyline

LAC+12045%

CHI-14259%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CHI -2.5↗SpreadBet CHI -2.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

2.5

0.0 since open

Total

224.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CHI beat LAC 138-110. T. Jones led with 15 PTS, 8 REB, 10 AST. CHI outscored the other side 45-19 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

Patrick Baldwin Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2

Starters vs bench

production by unit

LACstarters 65% of pts

Starters(5)

71 PTS · 23 REB · 17 AST

GS 54

Bench(8)

39 PTS · 18 REB · 7 AST

GS 30

CHIstarters 57% of pts

Starters(5)

79 PTS · 21 REB · 15 AST

GS 69

Bench(7)

59 PTS · 20 REB · 24 AST

GS 67

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
LAC	30	19	34	27	110
CHI	25	45	32	36	138

Period scoring

LAC won 2 · CHI won 2

LAC

CHI

Shooting comparison

LAC

CHI

47%

43-92

57%

52-92

33%

10-30

3PT

53%

25-47

82%

14-17

75%

9-12

Play-by-play · 426 plays

period

event

player

Q4·14.4
Patrick Baldwin Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2
LAC 107·CHI 129
Q4·14.4
Lachlan Olbrich personal foul
LAC 106·CHI 129
Q4·41.6
Dalen Terry defensive rebound
LAC 106·CHI 129
Q4·43.5
Yanic Konan Niederhauser misses shot
LAC 106·CHI 129
Q4·1:17
Kobe Brown makes free throw 2 of 2
LAC 106·CHI 129
Q4·1:17
Jevon Carter foul
LAC 105·CHI 129
Q4·1:22
Cam Christie defensive rebound
LAC 105·CHI 129
Q4·1:24
Kevin Huerter misses driving floating jump shot
LAC 105·CHI 129
Q4·1:46
makes shot
LAC 105·CHI 129
Q4·1:49
Dalen Terry turnover TyTy Washington Jr.
·
LAC 103·CHI 129
Q4·1:56
Dalen Terry defensive rebound
LAC 103·CHI 129
Q4·1:59
Patrick Baldwin Jr. misses 25-foot three point jumper
LAC 103·CHI 129
Q4·2:12
Dalen Terry makes free throw 2 of 2
LAC 103·CHI 129
Q4·2:12
Bulls offensive team rebound
LAC 103·CHI 128
Q4·2:12
Dalen Terry misses free throw 1 of 2
LAC 103·CHI 128
Q4·2:12
Kobe Brown shooting foul
LAC 103·CHI 128
Q4·2:29
Yanic Konan Niederhauser lost ball turnover (Jevon Carter steals)
·
LAC 103·CHI 128
Q4·2:45
Yanic Konan Niederhauser defensive rebound
LAC 103·CHI 128
Q4·2:47
Dalen Terry misses 26-foot three point jumper
LAC 103·CHI 128
Q4·2:59
TyTy Washington Jr. makes 6-foot shot (Kobe Brown assists)
·
LAC 103·CHI 128
Q4·3:11
Kobe Brown defensive rebound
LAC 101·CHI 128
Q4·3:15
Jevon Carter misses 25-foot three point jumper
LAC 101·CHI 128
Q4·3:24
Patrick Baldwin Jr. foul
LAC 101·CHI 128
Q4·3:28
Lachlan Olbrich offensive rebound
LAC 101·CHI 128
Q4·3:31
Julian Phillips misses 23-foot three point jumper
LAC 101·CHI 128
Q4·3:40
Dalen Terry defensive rebound
LAC 101·CHI 128
Q4·3:43
Cam Christie misses free throw 2 of 2
LAC 101·CHI 128
Q4·3:43
Kevin Huerter enters the game for Jalen Smith
·
LAC 101·CHI 128
Q4·3:43
Julian Phillips enters the game for Tre Jones
·
LAC 101·CHI 128
Q4·3:43
Jevon Carter enters the game for Ayo Dosunmu
·
LAC 101·CHI 128

Betting line

CHI -2.5·O/U 224.5·LAC +120/CHI -142

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

hicago Bulls held off LA Clippers, 138–110. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

CHI -2.5 cashed (won by 28). Total cleared the 224.5 OVER by 23.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 players in cohort

Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC · C
TS%69.198
Ivica ZubacIND · C
CONT9.298
Kris DunnLAC · G
DEFL3.697
Brook LopezLAC · C
CONT8.396
Matas BuzelisCHI · F
CONT7.995

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · LAC favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHI vs LAC.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

150

projections · 125 high confidence

Points

Darius GarlandLAC
19.0± 5.5high
Brandon IngramLAC
18.7± 10.3high
Norman PowellCHI
18.4± 5.3high

Rebounds

Josh GiddeyCHI
8.1± 4.3high
Nick RichardsCHI
6.7± 2.5high
Matas BuzelisCHI
6.6± 1.9high

Assists

Josh GiddeyCHI
9.9± 4.4high
Darius GarlandLAC
6.3± 2.3high
Tre JonesCHI
5.2± 2.9high

Blocks

Matas BuzelisCHI
1.5± 1.4high
Brook LopezLAC
1.3± 1.4high
Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC
1.3± 1.5high

Steals

Kris DunnLAC
1.6± 1.1high
Josh GiddeyCHI
1.1± 1.1high
Darius GarlandLAC
1.1± 0.9high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

LAC

league avg

CHI

55.9%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

54.7%

48.5%

FG%

◀

47.0

46.9%

113.9

PPG

114.9

▶

116.3

23.8

Assists / G

25.0

▶

28.5

13.6

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

14.6

Data via ESPN · hoopR