NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+9PHX

PHX

26-17

126117

BKN

12-29

NBAMon, Jan 19FinalSeriesPHX leads series 1-0VegasPHX -9.5

PHX · top performer

Collin Gillespie

G · #12

23.9Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

BKN · top performer

Nic Claxton

C · #33

15.1Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowPHX ↔ BKN

Biggest swing: 11pp · 3rd Quarter · 10:59

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
R. O'NealeF · #00	29	11	4-8	3-7	—	+13	3	5
D. BrooksF · #3	34	27	8-15	6-9	5-5	+7	5	2
M. WilliamsC · #15	29	16	5-6	—	6-8	+12	8	0
D. BookerG · #1	33	24	10-18	1-4	3-4	+7	4	4
C. GillespieG · #12	28	22	7-10	5-7	3-4	+16	5	5
Bench
I. LiversF · #18	4	2	1-1	—	—	+5	0	1
O. IghodaroF · #11	19	5	2-2	—	1-1	-3	4	1
R. DunnF · #0	17	3	1-2	1-2	—	-9	1	1
G. AllenG · #8	30	14	5-13	4-10	0-1	-7	3	8
J. GoodwinG · #23	17	2	1-2	—	—	+4	2	2
Team		126	44-77	20-39	18-23		35	29
DNP: N. Hayes-Davis, R. Fleming, N. Richards, K. Maluach, J. Bouyea

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
M. Porter Jr.F · #17	37	23	10-23	2-10	1-1	-5	6	4
N. ClowneyF · #21	28	16	5-10	1-3	5-5	-14	1	0
N. ClaxtonC · #33	37	12	6-8	—	—	-9	8	6
T. MannG · #14	26	10	4-6	2-3	—	-11	4	8
D. PowellG · #4	25	11	4-7	3-6	—	-18	1	3
Bench
J. WilsonF · #22	13	3	0-3	0-1	3-4	-1	0	2
Z. WilliamsF · #1	24	15	4-7	3-6	4-4	+12	2	1
D. WolfF · #2	13	8	2-5	2-4	2-2	-6	4	1
T. MartinG · #13	15	9	3-4	1-2	2-2	+3	1	1
N. TraoreG · #88	22	10	3-8	1-3	3-3	+4	1	2
Team		117	41-81	15-38	20-21		28	28
DNP: C. Thomas, E. Demin

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

PHX

Away

Stat

BKN

Home

44-77

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

41-81

FG %

20-39

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

15-38

18-23

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

20-21

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

PHX leads series 1-0

Jan 20

PHX126@

BKN117today

Jan 28

BKN102@

PHX106

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PHX -9.5

Half-pt below key 10

Total

214.5

Defensive · -11.5 vs avg

Moneyline

PHX-39580%

BKN+31024%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PHX -9.5↗SpreadBet PHX -9.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

9.5

0.0 since open

Total

214.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

PHX beat BKN 126-117. C. Gillespie led with 22 PTS, 5 REB, 5 AST. PHX outscored the other side 40-26 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

BKN vs PHX

Starters vs bench

production by unit

PHXstarters 79% of pts

Starters(5)

100 PTS · 25 REB · 16 AST

GS 86

Bench(5)

26 PTS · 10 REB · 13 AST

GS 24

BKNstarters 62% of pts

Starters(5)

72 PTS · 20 REB · 21 AST

GS 61

Bench(5)

45 PTS · 8 REB · 7 AST

GS 38

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

BKN1st Quarter · 8:36 · 7-9

+7pp→ 37% WP

Drake Powell · kicked ball violation

PHX3rd Quarter · 10:59 · 75-68

+11pp→ 84% WP

Collin Gillespie · makes free throw 1 of 2

BKN4th Quarter · 4:01 · 118-113

+10pp→ 22% WP

Dillon Brooks · shooting foul

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
PHX	40	32	31	23	126
BKN	26	42	21	28	117

Period scoring

PHX won 2 · BKN won 2

Brooks 11

Powell 9

Williams 6

Jr. 13

Booker 10

Powell 5

Allen 6

Martin 12

PHX

BKN

Shooting comparison

PHX

BKN

57%

44-77

51%

41-81

51%

20-39

3PT

39%

15-38

78%

18-23

95%

20-21

Play-by-play · 415 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
PHX 126·BKN 117
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
PHX 126·BKN 117
Q4·10.9
Terance Mann bad pass turnover (Mark Williams steals)
· ·
PHX 126·BKN 117
Q4·18.0
shot clock turnover
PHX 126·BKN 117
Q4·18.0
Suns offensive team rebound
PHX 126·BKN 117
Q4·18.0
Dillon Brooks misses 14-foot turnaround jump shot
PHX 126·BKN 117
Q4·18.5
Suns offensive team rebound
PHX 126·BKN 117
Q4·18.8
Nic Claxton blocks Grayson Allen 's 3-foot driving layup
·
PHX 126·BKN 117
Q4·42.0
Terance Mann makes two point shot (Drake Powell assists)
·
PHX 126·BKN 117
Q4·51.9
Devin Booker makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot
PHX 126·BKN 115
Q4·1:13
Dillon Brooks defensive rebound
PHX 124·BKN 115
Q4·1:17
Drake Powell misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
PHX 124·BKN 115
−0.8pp
Q4·1:34
Nets Full timeout
PHX 124·BKN 115
Q4·1:34
Nets defensive team rebound
PHX 124·BKN 115
Q4·1:35
Grayson Allen misses 23-foot three point jumper
PHX 124·BKN 115
Q4·1:54
Mark Williams defensive rebound
·
PHX 124·BKN 115
Q4·2:00
Terance Mann misses 8-foot step back jumpshot
PHX 124·BKN 115
−0.9pp
Q4·2:13
Terance Mann defensive rebound
PHX 124·BKN 115
Q4·2:15
Dillon Brooks misses 13-foot pullup jump shot
PHX 124·BKN 115
+0.5pp
Q4·2:33
Devin Booker defensive rebound
PHX 124·BKN 115
Q4·2:36
Michael Porter Jr. misses 25-foot three point jumper
PHX 124·BKN 115
−1pp
Q4·2:53
Royce O'Neale makes 25-foot three point jumper (Grayson Allen assists)
·
PHX 124·BKN 115
−5pp
Q4·3:14
Royce O'Neale defensive rebound
PHX 121·BKN 115
−1pp
Q4·3:16
Michael Porter Jr. misses layup
PHX 121·BKN 115
−3pp
Q4·3:28
Noah Clowney makes technical free throw
PHX 121·BKN 115
+0.8pp
Q4·3:28
Dillon Brooks technical foul
PHX 121·BKN 114
+2pp
Q4·3:28
Dillon Brooks personal foul
PHX 121·BKN 114
+0.8pp
Q4·3:40
Dillon Brooks makes 24-foot three point jumper (Grayson Allen assists)BIG MOMENT
·
PHX 121·BKN 114
−8pp
Q4·4:01
Noah Clowney makes free throw 1 of 1BIG MOMENT
PHX 118·BKN 114
−5pp
Q4·4:01
Dillon Brooks shooting foulBIG MOMENT
PHX 118·BKN 113
+10pp

Betting line

PHX -9.5·O/U 214.5·PHX -395/BKN +310

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

hoenix Suns went into Brooklyn Nets and beat them, 126–117.

BKN +9.5 cashed (PHX won by 9). Total cleared the 214.5 OVER by 28.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 players in cohort

Devin BookerPHX · G
USG%31.397
Mark WilliamsPHX · C
CONT8.496
Michael Porter Jr.BKN · F
USG%29.995
Ziaire WilliamsBKN · F
DEFL3.295
Dillon BrooksPHX · F
USG%28.694

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · PHX favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

BKN vs PHX.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

160

projections · 135 high confidence

Points

Devin BookerPHX
24.6± 6.2high
Michael Porter Jr.BKN
22.7± 6.2high
Jalen GreenPHX
21.0± 10.3high

Rebounds

Julius RandleBKN
7.2± 2.1high
Michael Porter Jr.BKN
6.9± 5.2high
Day'Ron SharpeBKN
6.5± 2.5high

Assists

Devin BookerPHX
5.8± 2.3high
Ben SarafBKN
3.7± 1.9high
Julius RandleBKN
3.4± 1.9high

Blocks

Josh MinottBKN
0.9± 1.2high
Trevon ScottBKN
0.8± 1.3low
Oso IghodaroPHX
0.8± 0.7high

Steals

Jordan GoodwinPHX
1.8± 2.1high
Josh MinottBKN
1.3± 1.0high
Trevon ScottBKN
1.3± 1.8low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

PHX

league avg

BKN

53.7%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

52.0%

45.5%

FG%

◀

47.0

44.3%

112.2

PPG

◀

114.9

105.9

24.5

Assists / G

25.0

▶

25.0

13.6

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

15.0

Data via ESPN · hoopR