WSH
10-29
LAC
17-23
WSH · top performer
Kyshawn George
F · #18
23
Pts
5
Reb
4
Ast
LAC · top performer
Kawhi Leonard
F · #2
33
Pts
3
Reb
4
Ast
Biggest swing: 7pp · 3rd Quarter · 1:54
NBA · Washington Wizards at LA Clippers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 27 | 17 | 7-14 | 3-7 | — | +4 | 3 | 5 | |
| 32 | 23 | 9-15 | 2-7 | 3-4 | +5 | 5 | 4 | |
| 13 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-1 | — | -6 | 1 | 1 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1-1 | — | 1-1 | -11 | 2 | 0 | |
| 27 | 10 | 4-10 | 2-6 | — | +4 | 2 | 3 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 1 | 0 | — | — | — | -2 | 0 | 0 | |
| 27 | 15 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | +4 | 11 | 2 | |
| 27 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-3 | — | -22 | 8 | 1 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-5 | -12 | 1 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | -7 | 1 | 0 | |
| 33 | 4 | 1-11 | 0-6 | 2-2 | +1 | 5 | 7 | |
| 27 | 12 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-3 | -22 | 2 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 | — | -6 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 105 | 41-90 | 10-38 | 13-17 | 41 | 25 | ||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 30 | 33 | 9-22 | 7-11 | 8-8 | +7 | 3 | 4 | |
| 21 | 11 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | -5 | 4 | 1 | |
| 37 | 22 | 5-17 | 2-9 | 10-10 | +1 | 5 | 8 | |
| 23 | 4 | 1-1 | — | 2-2 | -8 | 2 | 3 | |
| 26 | 11 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | -3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 26 | 9 | 3-7 | 3-7 | — | +26 | 8 | 0 | |
| 23 | 16 | 7-7 | — | 2-2 | +14 | 5 | 2 | |
| 34 | 11 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | +21 | 10 | 5 | |
| 21 | 2 | 1-1 | — | — | +17 | 2 | 2 | |
| Team | 119 | 39-83 | 14-37 | 27-27 | 40 | 25 | ||
| DNP: J. Collins, K. Brown, T. Washington Jr. | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
46
FG %
47
25
Ast
25
Team stats
WSH
Away
Stat
LAC
Home
41-90
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
39-83
46
FG %
47
10-38
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
14-37
13-17
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
27-27
25
Assists
25
11
Turnovers
8
Season series
LAC lead series 1-0
WSH105@LAC119todayLAC110@WSH106Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
LAC -11.5
Between 10 and —
Total
227.5
Standard · +1.5 vs avg
Moneyline
WSH+38021%LAC-50083%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 7 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
11.5
0.0 since open
Total
227.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
LAC beat WSH 119-105. K. Leonard paced them with 33 PTS, 3 REB, 4 AST. LAC outscored the other side 37-22 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
LAC vs WSH
Starters vs bench
production by unitWSHstarters 54% of ptsStarters(5)
57 PTS · 13 REB · 13 AST
GS 39
Bench(8)
48 PTS · 28 REB · 12 AST
GS 41
LACstarters 68% of ptsStarters(5)
81 PTS · 15 REB · 16 AST
GS 69
Bench(4)
38 PTS · 25 REB · 9 AST
GS 39
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactKyshawn George · makes 26-foot three point jumper (Tristan Vukcevic assists)
Yanic Konan Niederhauser · shooting foul
Tristan Vukcevic · makes 26-foot three point step back jumpshot
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 22 | 29 | 38 | 16 | 105 |
| LAC | 37 | 33 | 26 | 23 | 119 |
Period scoring
WSH won 1 · LAC won 3
Q1
Middleton 7
Harden 13
Q2
George 7
Sarr 13
Q3
George 12
Niederhauser 8
Q4
Riley 4
Leonard 14
Shooting comparison
46%
41-90
FG
47%
39-83
26%
10-38
3PT
38%
14-37
76%
13-17
FT
100%
27-27
Play-by-play · 445 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
WSH 105·LAC 119
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
WSH 105·LAC 119
- Q4·11.8
shot clock turnover
WSH 105·LAC 119
- Q4·33.6
Jordan Miller defensive rebound
WSH 105·LAC 119
- Q4·36.0
Will Riley misses two point shot
WSH 105·LAC 119
- Q4·46.7
Cam Christie makes 15-foot two point shot
WSH 105·LAC 119
- Q4·1:02
Tristan Vukcevic kicked ball violation
WSH 105·LAC 117
- Q4·1:07
Tristan Vukcevic enters the game for Marvin Bagley III
·
WSH 105·LAC 117
- Q4·1:07
Anthony Gill enters the game for Khris Middleton
·
WSH 105·LAC 117
- Q4·1:07
Malaki Branham enters the game for Kyshawn George
·
WSH 105·LAC 117
- Q4·1:07
Will Riley enters the game for Tre Johnson
· ·
WSH 105·LAC 117
- Q4·1:07
AJ Johnson enters the game for Bub Carrington
· ·
WSH 105·LAC 117
- Q4·1:07
Clippers Full timeout
WSH 105·LAC 117
- Q4·1:10
Jordan Miller defensive rebound
WSH 105·LAC 117
- Q4·1:13
Kyshawn George misses 27-foot three point pullup jump shot
WSH 105·LAC 117
- Q4·1:21
Kobe Sanders makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 105·LAC 117
- Q4·1:21
Cam Christie enters the game for Kawhi Leonard
·
WSH 105·LAC 116
- Q4·1:21
Kobe Sanders makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 105·LAC 116
- Q4·1:21
Khris Middleton shooting foul
WSH 105·LAC 115
- Q4·1:35
Nicolas Batum defensive rebound
WSH 105·LAC 115
- Q4·1:39
Khris Middleton misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
WSH 105·LAC 115
+0.7pp
- Q4·1:48
Bub Carrington defensive rebound
WSH 105·LAC 115
- Q4·1:51
Kobe Sanders misses 25-foot three point jumper
WSH 105·LAC 115
- Q4·2:19
Kyshawn George makes 3-foot two point shot
WSH 105·LAC 115
- Q4·2:32
Kawhi Leonard makes 26-foot three point jumper (James Harden assists)
·
WSH 103·LAC 115
+2pp
- Q4·2:58
Kyshawn George makes driving layup
WSH 103·LAC 112
−0.7pp
- Q4·3:08
Tre Johnson enters the game for Will Riley
· ·
WSH 101·LAC 112
- Q4·3:08
Wizards Full timeout
WSH 101·LAC 112
- Q4·3:08
James Harden makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 101·LAC 112
- Q4·3:08
James Harden makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 101·LAC 111
Betting line
LAC -11.5·O/U 227.5·WSH +380/LAC -500
Recap · NBA
A Clippers held off Washington Wizards, 119–105.
LAC -11.5 cashed (won by 14). Total stayed UNDER 227.5 by 3.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 16 players in cohort- Kawhi LeonardTOR · FUSG%33.399
Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC · CTS%69.198
Alex SarrWSH · CCONT9.498
Kris DunnLAC · GDEFL3.697
Anthony GillWSH · FTS%68.297
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · WSH favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAC win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
LAC vs WSH.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
155
projections · 135 high confidence
Points
- Anthony DavisWSH20.5± 9.2high
- Darius GarlandLAC19.0± 5.5high
- Brandon IngramLAC18.7± 10.3high
Rebounds
- Anthony DavisWSH11.3± 4.3high
- Julian ReeseWSH10.5± 6.4low
- Alex SarrWSH6.8± 2.8high
Assists
- Darius GarlandLAC6.3± 2.3high
- Bub CarringtonWSH5.1± 1.9high
- Kris DunnLAC3.8± 2.7high
Blocks
- Anthony DavisWSH1.7± 1.5high
- Alex SarrWSH1.6± 1.4high
- Brook LopezLAC1.3± 1.4high
Steals
- Kris DunnLAC1.6± 1.1high
- Julian ReeseWSH1.4± 1.7low
- Leaky BlackWSH1.4± 1.7medium
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
WSH
league avg
LAC
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶55.9%
46.3%
FG%
47.0
▶48.5%
112.9
PPG
114.9
113.9
25.0
Assists / G
25.0
23.8
15.1
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶13.6