CLE
23-19
PHI
22-17
CLE · top performer
Donovan Mitchell
G · #45
35
Pts
7
Reb
9
Ast
PHI · top performer
Paul George
F · #8
17
Pts
4
Reb
4
Ast
Biggest swing: 8pp · 1st Quarter · 7:46
NBA · Cleveland Cavaliers at Philadelphia 76ers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 26 | 10 | 5-6 | — | 0-1 | +16 | 5 | 2 | |
| 34 | 17 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 2-4 | +27 | 13 | 6 | |
| 33 | 35 | 11-22 | 5-12 | 8-8 | +29 | 7 | 9 | |
| 23 | 20 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | +10 | 3 | 7 | |
| 25 | 12 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 1-2 | +10 | 5 | 3 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 5 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | — | -2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 22 | 17 | 7-13 | 3-7 | — | +15 | 4 | 4 | |
| 21 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | +3 | 2 | 3 | |
| 5 | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | — | -2 | 1 | 0 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3-6 | 3-6 | — | +5 | 4 | 4 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-3 | — | +5 | 3 | 0 | |
| 18 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | +16 | 3 | 3 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | — | -2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Team | 133 | 50-95 | 20-46 | 13-18 | 52 | 41 | ||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 30 | 17 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | -8 | 4 | 4 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | — | -9 | 2 | 0 | |
| 25 | 20 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | -18 | 4 | 3 | |
| 31 | 14 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 2-2 | -22 | 2 | 4 | |
| 27 | 9 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | -18 | 3 | 2 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 17 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | — | -5 | 2 | 4 | |
| 15 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-4 | — | -10 | 4 | 3 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-1 | — | -3 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5-6 | -8 | 9 | 0 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1-1 | — | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 26 | 7 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | -19 | 5 | 2 | |
| 22 | 8 | 3-7 | 2-5 | — | -10 | 5 | 0 | |
| 10 | 6 | 1-2 | — | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 107 | 36-89 | 12-43 | 23-26 | 42 | 22 | ||
| DNP: K. Lowry, E. Gordon | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
53
FG %
40
41
Ast
22
Team stats
CLE
Away
Stat
PHI
Home
50-95
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
36-89
53
FG %
40
20-46
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
12-43
13-18
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
23-26
41
Assists
22
15
Turnovers
12
Season series
CLE leads series 2-0
PHI121@CLE132CLE133@PHI107todayCLE117@PHI115PHI101@CLE115Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CLE -1.5
Between — and 5
Total
236.5
High-scoring · +10.5 vs avg
Moneyline
CLE-11052%PHI-11052%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 8 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
236.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
CLE beat PHI 133-107. D. Mitchell led the way with 35 points and 9 assists. CLE outscored the other side 33-18 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
PHI vs CLE
Starters vs bench
production by unitCLEstarters 71% of ptsStarters(5)
94 PTS · 33 REB · 27 AST
GS 87
Bench(8)
39 PTS · 19 REB · 14 AST
GS 33
PHIstarters 58% of ptsStarters(5)
62 PTS · 15 REB · 13 AST
GS 42
Bench(8)
45 PTS · 27 REB · 9 AST
GS 43
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactJarrett Allen · makes running layup (Darius Garland assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 33 | 27 | 33 | 40 | 133 |
| PHI | 18 | 29 | 28 | 32 | 107 |
Period scoring
CLE won 3 · PHI won 1
Q1
Garland 8
Maxey 6
Q2
Mobley 9
Embiid 10
Q3
Mitchell 20
Jr. 8
Q4
Tyson 9
Drummond 7
Shooting comparison
53%
50-95
FG
40%
36-89
43%
20-46
3PT
28%
12-43
72%
13-18
FT
88%
23-26
Play-by-play · 473 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CLE 133·PHI 107
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CLE 133·PHI 107
- Q4·0.7
shot clock turnover
CLE 133·PHI 107
- Q4·24.7
Jared McCain makes free throw 2 of 2
CLE 133·PHI 107
- Q4·24.7
Jared McCain makes free throw 1 of 2
CLE 133·PHI 106
- Q4·24.7
Thomas Bryant shooting foul
CLE 133·PHI 105
- Q4·30.1
Thomas Bryant makes dunk (Lonzo Ball assists)
·
CLE 133·PHI 105
- Q4·31.6
Justin Edwards makes 17-foot pullup jump shot (Trendon Watford assists)
·
CLE 131·PHI 105
- Q4·37.2
Andre Drummond defensive rebound
CLE 131·PHI 103
- Q4·42.2
Tyrese Proctor misses 27-foot three point pullup jump shot
CLE 131·PHI 103
- Q4·52.9
Jared McCain makes free throw 2 of 2
CLE 131·PHI 103
- Q4·52.9
Jared McCain makes free throw 1 of 2
CLE 131·PHI 102
- Q4·52.9
Nae'Qwan Tomlin shooting foul
CLE 131·PHI 101
- Q4·57.9
Tyrese Proctor makes 18-foot driving floating jump shot
CLE 131·PHI 101
- Q4·1:09
Jared McCain makes 11-foot fade away jump shot
CLE 129·PHI 101
- Q4·1:21
Larry Nance Jr. makes 24-foot running jump shot (Lonzo Ball assists)
·
CLE 129·PHI 99
- Q4·1:25
Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
CLE 126·PHI 99
- Q4·1:28
Kelly Oubre Jr. misses driving layup
CLE 126·PHI 99
- Q4·1:42
Lonzo Ball makes 26-foot running jump shot (Nae'Qwan Tomlin assists)
·
CLE 126·PHI 99
- Q4·1:47
Tyrese Proctor defensive rebound
CLE 123·PHI 99
- Q4·1:50
Justin Edwards misses 26-foot three point jumper
CLE 123·PHI 99
- Q4·1:57
Andre Drummond defensive rebound
CLE 123·PHI 99
- Q4·2:00
Larry Nance Jr. misses 26-foot running jump shot
CLE 123·PHI 99
- Q4·2:06
Lonzo Ball defensive rebound
CLE 123·PHI 99
- Q4·2:07
Andre Drummond misses layup
CLE 123·PHI 99
- Q4·2:16
Andre Drummond defensive rebound
CLE 123·PHI 99
- Q4·2:20
Lonzo Ball misses 27-foot three point jumper
CLE 123·PHI 99
- Q4·2:28
Larry Nance Jr. defensive rebound
CLE 123·PHI 99
- Q4·2:30
Kelly Oubre Jr. misses 24-foot three point jumper
CLE 123·PHI 99
- Q4·2:39
Tyrese Proctor out of bounds bad pass turnover
CLE 123·PHI 99
Betting line
CLE -1.5·O/U 236.5·CLE -110/PHI -110
Recap · NBA
leveland Cavaliers went into Philadelphia 76ers and beat them, 133–107. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
CLE -1.5 cashed (won by 26). Total cleared the 236.5 OVER by 3.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 15 players in cohort
Tyrese MaxeyPHI · GTOUCHES94.599
Joel EmbiidPHI · CUSG%34.399
Jarrett AllenCLE · CCONT9.899- Donovan MitchellCLE · GUSG%31.998
Evan MobleyCLE · CCONT9.498
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · CLE favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
PHI vs CLE.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
165
projections · 135 high confidence
Points
- Donovan MitchellCLE27.5± 7.3high
- Jaylen BrownPHI26.6± 6.3high
- Joel EmbiidPHI25.3± 7.2high
Rebounds
- Evan MobleyCLE8.0± 3.5high
- Joel EmbiidPHI8.0± 3.5high
- Jarrett AllenCLE7.3± 2.3high
Assists
- James HardenCLE5.9± 2.8high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI5.9± 1.9high
- Joel EmbiidPHI4.6± 2.6high
Blocks
- Evan MobleyCLE2.1± 1.3high
- Jarrett AllenCLE1.3± 0.7high
- Joel EmbiidPHI1.3± 1.4high
Steals
- Donovan MitchellCLE1.5± 1.8high
- James HardenCLE1.4± 1.2high
- Tyrese MaxeyPHI1.2± 0.9high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
CLE
league avg
PHI
55.6%
Effective FG%
54.4
52.9%
47.7%
FG%
47.0
46.0%
117.4
PPG
114.9
114.3
27.1
Assists / G
25.0
24.1
13.8
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶12.8