
NYM
5-4

SF
3-6
Line movement
8 snapshots
SF spread
-1.5
open -1.5
Total
O/U 7.5
open O/U 7.5
SF no-vig %
52.2%
open 52.2%
Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = SF favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.
Postgame · final
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
NYM wins
NYM 9 · SF 0 (by 9)
Model verdict
✗ Missed
Picked SF +2pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.
Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant
Historical comparables
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year + total_runs
Recap · MLB
ew York Mets went into San Francisco Giants and beat them, 9–0. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
NYM +1.5 cashed (SF lost outright). Total cleared the 7.5 OVER by 1.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NYM · top performer

Tyrone Taylor
CF
3-2
AB-H
1
R
4
RBI
SF · top performer

Jung Hoo Lee
RF
2-1
AB-H
0
R
0
RBI
MLB · Box scoreSTATCAST


NYM
5-4
| Batting | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K |
| 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
SPRINT25.716 | ||||||||
| 0-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
SPRINT26.735 | ||||||||
| 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
SPRINT25.513 | ||||||||
| 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
SPRINT28.175 | ||||||||
| 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
SPRINT28.891 | ||||||||
| Team | 12-40 | 40 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| Pitching | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR |
| 7.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | |
| 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Team | 9.0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
SF
3-6
| Batting | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | H-AB | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | K |
| 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
SPRINT27.457 | ||||||||
| 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
SPRINT25.716 | ||||||||
| 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 0-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
SPRINT28.175 | ||||||||
| 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
SPRINT27.148 | ||||||||
| 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
SPRINT26.735 | ||||||||
| Team | 3-30 | 30 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Pitching | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | IP | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR |
| 4.2 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | |
| 1.1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 9.0 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Pitcher arsenals · per-pitch detail
Statcast · via Baseball SavantNYM
No arsenal data yet for this team’s pitchers.
SF
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
12
Hits
3
9
Runs
0
1
Errors
3
Current series
NYM win series 3-1
Season series
NYM lead series 2-1
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
SF -1.5
Total
7.5
Defensive · -1.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 8 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
7.5
0.0 since open
Headlines · top performers
Biggest swing: 17pp · Top 2nd Inning
T. Taylor
CFBatter of the gamePerfect day
2-for-3 · 1 HR · 2.333 OPS
C. Holmes
SPStarting pitcherGem
7.0 IP · 4 K · 0 ER · 3 H · 2 BB
J. Lee
RFBatter of the game
1-for-2 · 1.167 OPS
L. Roupp
SPStarting pitcher
4.2 IP · 7 K · 5 ER · 7 H · 1 BB
How it ended
NYM beat SF 9-0.
Last play
End of the 9th inning
Win probability
SF vs NYM
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactVientos · scored and Young scored on fielding error by first baseman Encarnacion, Benge safe at first on fielding error by third baseman Chapman, Semien safe at third on error.
Linescore (innings)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Period scoring
NYM won 3 · SF won 0
Inn 1
Inn 2
Vientos 2
Inn 3
Inn 4
Inn 5
Taylor 3
Inn 6
Inn 7
Taylor 1
Inn 8
Inn 9
Play-by-play · 551 plays
End of the 9th inning
NYM 9·SF 0
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Chapman flied out to right.
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 1 : Ball In Play
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Tobias Myers pitches to Matt Chapman
·
NYM 9·SF 0
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Arraez lined out to center.
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 9 : Ball In Play
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 5 : Strike 2 Looking
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 4 : Ball 3
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 3 : Strike 1 Foul
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 2 : Ball 2
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 1 : Ball 1
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Tobias Myers pitches to Luis Arraez
·
NYM 9·SF 0
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Ramos flied out to right.
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 4 : Ball In Play
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 3 : Strike 1 Foul
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 2 : Ball 2
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 1 : Ball 1
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Tobias Myers pitches to Heliot Ramos
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Bottom of the 9th inning
NYM 9·SF 0
Middle of the 9th inning
NYM 9·SF 0
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Taylor flied out to right.
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 3 : Ball In Play
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Pitch 2 : Ball 2
·
NYM 9·SF 0
Team stats
NYM
Away
Stat
SF
Home
9
Runs
0
12
Hits
3
1
Errors
3
17
TB
3
1
HR
0
2
BB
2
10
K
5
15
LOB
12
Betting line
SF -1.5·O/U 7.5·NYM +100/SF -120
STATCAST · Tonight’s standouts
3 of 15 players in cohortPlayer projections
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
123
projections · 66 high confidence
Strikeouts
Hits
Total bases
RBIs
Earned runs
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.8%
ensemble · SF favored
Elo Static
52.4%
P(SF win)
33%
weight
Elo Pitching
51.3%
P(SF win)
33%
weight
Bullpen Park
54.2%
P(SF win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
1.20 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
92% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
3 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.