HomeScoresLiveTonight's picks
Live · 8
  • MLBTop 4
    COL 0@ATH 0
    -8.5pphigh
  • MLBTop 3
    CHC 0@SF 0
    +1.8pphigh
  • MLBMid 5
    TB 2@LAA 4
    +58.0pplow
  • MLBBot 7
    STL 7@MIN 4
    -43.6pplow
  • MLBEnd 7
    ATL 3@NYM 7
    +58.9pplow
  • MLBBot 8
    HOU 9@KC 5
    -49.3pplow
  • MLBMid 7
    SEA 8@WSH 1
    -47.4pplow
  • WNBA2:41 - 2nd
    GS 34@SEA 32
    +0.9pphigh
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THE ONE Analytics
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FINAL+7LAD
CIN

CIN

68-64

0
7
LAD

LAD

75-57

Dodger Stadium · Los Angeles, California
49,702 attended

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CIN

CIN

league avg

LAD

LAD

.708

OPS

.715

▶

.784

.314

OBP

.319

▶

.345

4.24

Runs / G

4.50

▶

5.36

4.74

Team ERA

4.16

▶

3.36

1.47

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.10

7.9

K / 9

8.5

▶

9.1

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAD wins

CIN 0 · LAD 7 (by 7)

Model verdict

✓ Hit

Picked LAD +6pp

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team123456789R
CIN0000000000
LAD001022117

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →
Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

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21+

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

66%Last 7 · 69-36
61%Last 30 · 307-194
Receipts →
MLB·Mon, Aug 25·Final/SeriesLAD win series 3-0

Recap · MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers held off Cincinnati Reds, 7–0. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Win-probability impactWPA · win prob added
  1. 1A. PagesLAD+28.6pp
  2. 2H. GreeneCIN−27.1pp
  3. 3E. SheehanLAD+18.6pp

CIN · top performer

CIN
Gavin Lux

Gavin Lux

LF

1.167OPS

2-1

AB-H

0

R

0

RBI

LAD · top performer

LAD
Andy Pages

Andy Pages

CF

3.333OPS

3-2

AB-H

2

R

4

RBI

MLB · Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers · final

MLB · Box scoreSTATCAST

Final

Batters

batting box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerAVGABRHRBIHRBBK
T. FriedlCF
.2644010002
N. MarteRF
.2954000003
E. De La CruzSS
.2734000002
A. HaysLF
.2653010011
G. LuxLF
.2792010010
S. SteerLF
.2343000011
K. Hayes3B
.2604000002
J. TrevinoC
.2463000000
M. McLain2B
.2193000001
- S. Espinal3B
.2461000000
Team310300312

Pitchers

pitching box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerIPHRERBBKPC
H. GreeneSP
5.06532399
S. BarlowRP
1.00001225
S. MollRP
0.21110013
C. PhillipsRP
1.12110324
Team8.097538161

Batters

batting box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerAVGABRHRBIHRBBK
S. OhtaniDH
.2793000010
M. BettsSS
.2504121100
F. Freeman1B
.3024110001
W. SmithC
.2943100012
T. HernándezLF
.2483110010
A. Freeland2B
.2124000002
M. ConfortoDH
.1874120002
A. PagesCF
.2733224200
M. RojasSS
.2524010001
- J. DeanCF
.0000000000
Team32795338

Pitchers

pitching box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
PlayerIPHRERBBKPC
E. SheehanSP
7.020011096
J. DreyerRP
1.01000111
A. BandaRP
1.00002125
Team9.0300312132

Pitcher arsenals · per-pitch detail

Statcast · via Baseball Savant

CIN

  • C. Phillips
    10 pitches·60% CSW
    • ST
      60%·86.7 mph·100% whiff
    • FF
      30%·98.8 mph·50% whiff
    • CU
      10%·87.4 mph·— whiff

LAD

No arsenal data yet for this team’s pitchers.

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

3

Hits

9

0

Runs

7

2

Errors

1

Current series

LAD win series 3-0

Aug 26CINCIN0@LADLAD7today
Aug 27CINCIN3@LADLAD6
Aug 28CINCIN1@LADLAD5

Season series

LAD lead series 3-1

Jul 28LADLAD5@CINCIN2
Jul 29LADLAD5@CINCIN4
Jul 30LADLAD2@CINCIN5
Aug 26CINCIN0@LADLAD7today
Aug 27CINCIN3@LADLAD6
Aug 28CINCIN1@LADLAD5

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCIN ↔ LAD

Biggest swing: 12pp · Bottom 3rd Inning

CINCIN
G. Lux

G. Lux

LF

Batter of the game

1-for-2 · 1.167 OPS

H. Greene

H. Greene

SP

Starting pitcher

5.0 IP · 3 K · 3 ER · 6 H · 2 BB

LADLAD
A. Pages

A. Pages

CF

Batter of the game2-HR game

2-for-3 · 2 HR · 3.333 OPS

E. Sheehan

E. Sheehan

SP

Starting pitcherGem

7.0 IP · 10 K · 0 ER · 2 H · 1 BB

How it ended

LAD beat CIN 7-0.

Win probability

LAD vs CIN

0255075100I2I3I4I5I6I7I8I9

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
LADBottom 3rd Inning · 0-1
+12pp→ 67% WP

Pages · homered to left (392 feet).

CINBottom 3rd Inning · 0-1
+8pp→ 33% WP

Betts · grounded into double play, pitcher to second to first, Ohtani out at second, Rojas to third.

LADBottom 5th Inning · 0-3
+12pp→ 90% WP

Pages · homered to left (361 feet), Conforto scored.

Linescore (innings)

Team123456789R
CIN0000000000
LAD00102211—7

Period scoring

CIN won 0 · LAD won 5

0
0

Inn 1

0
0

Inn 2

0
1

Inn 3

Pages 1

0
0

Inn 4

0
2

Inn 5

Pages 2

0
2

Inn 6

Freeman 2

0
1

Inn 7

Betts 1

0
1

Inn 8

Pages 1

0

Inn 9

CIN
LAD

Play-by-play · 550 plays

period
event
player
  1. T9

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  2. T9

    Hayes struck out swinging.

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  3. T9

    Pitch 7 : Strike 3 Swinging

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  4. T9

    Pitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  5. T9

    Pitch 5 : Strike 2 Foul

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  6. T9

    Steer to second on wild pitch by Banda, Hays to third on wild pitch by Banda.

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  7. T9

    Steer to second on wild pitch by Banda, Hays to third on wild pitch by Banda.

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  8. T9

    Pitch 4 : Ball 2

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  9. T9

    Pitch 3 : Strike 2 Swinging

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  10. T9

    Pitch 2 : Ball 1

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  11. T9

    Pitch 1 : Strike 1 Looking

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  12. T9

    Anthony Banda pitches to Ke'Bryan Hayes

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  13. T9

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  14. T9

    Steer walked.

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  15. T9

    Pitch 9 : Ball 4

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  16. T9

    Pitch 8 : Strike 2 Foul

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  17. T9

    Pitch 7 : Strike 2 Foul

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  18. T9

    Pitch 6 : Strike 2 Foul

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  19. T9

    Pitch 5 : Strike 2 Looking

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  20. T9

    Pitch 4 : Ball 3

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  21. T9

    Pitch 3 : Ball 2

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  22. T9

    Pitch 2 : Strike 1 Looking

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  23. T9

    Pitch 1 : Ball 1

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  24. T9

    Anthony Banda pitches to Spencer Steer

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  25. T9

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  26. T9

    Espinal popped out to first.

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  27. T9

    Pitch 3 : Ball In Play

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  28. T9

    Hays to second on wild pitch by Banda.

    ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  29. T9

    Hays to second on wild pitch by Banda.

    ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

  30. T9

    Pitch 2 : Ball 1

    · ·

    CIN 0·LAD 7

Team stats

CIN

Away

Stat

LAD

Home

0

Runs

7

3

Hits

9

2

Errors

1

4

TB

21

0

HR

3

3

BB

3

12

K

8

11

LOB

16

STATCAST · Tonight’s standouts

4 of 13 players in cohort
  • Noelvi MarteCIN · RF
    SPRINT28.992
  • Spencer SteerCIN · LF
    SPRINT28.483
  • Teoscar HernandezLAD · LF
    SPRINT28.381
  • Elly De La CruzCIN · SS
    SPRINT2872

Player projections

LAD vs CIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

127

projections · 83 high confidence

Strikeouts

  • Chase BurnsCIN
    6.9± 3.1low
  • Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD
    6.3± 3.0low
  • Emmet SheehanLAD
    5.5± 3.7low

Hits

  • Shohei OhtaniLAD
    1.5± 0.9high
  • Freddie FreemanLAD
    1.3± 1.0high
  • Blake DunnCIN
    1.2± 0.9high

Total bases

  • Shohei OhtaniLAD
    2.8± 1.7high
  • Andy PagesLAD
    2.0± 1.3high
  • Freddie FreemanLAD
    2.0± 2.0high

RBIs

  • Ryan WardLAD
    1.1± 1.6low
  • Shohei OhtaniLAD
    0.8± 1.0high
  • Andy PagesLAD
    0.7± 1.1high

Earned runs

  • Nick LodoloCIN
    3.3± 1.8low
  • Chris PaddackCIN
    3.2± 2.6low
  • Eric LauerLAD
    3.0± 2.7low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

55.6%

ensemble · LAD favored

  • Elo Static

    55.5%

    P(LAD win)

    33%

    weight

  • Elo Pitching

    55.5%

    P(LAD win)

    32%

    weight

  • Bullpen Park

    56.1%

    P(LAD win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.28 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

98% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.