Aug 31, 25sim 97
1969
14(H)79
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+20IND
CHI
10-31
7797
IND
22-20
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
ndiana Fever held off Chicago Sky, 97–77. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CHI · top performer
Kamilla Cardoso
C · #10
16.3Game score
18
Pts
9
Reb
5
Ast
IND · top performer
Natasha Howard
F · #6
21.7Game score
18
Pts
7
Reb
2
Ast
WNBA · Chicago Sky at Indiana Fever · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
CHI10-31
7797
IND22-20
CHI10-31IND22-20
CHI
10-31
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -11 | |
| 15 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11 | |
| 33 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -11 | |
| 26 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -16 | |
| 25 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -15 | |
| 32 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -18 | |
| 15 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | |
| 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7 | |
| 19 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | |
| Team | 77 | 31 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 23 | ||
| DNP: A. Reese, C. Vandersloot, H. Van Lith | ||||||||
IND
22-20
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 22 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +14 | |
| 19 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +9 | |
| 20 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1 | |
| 31 | 20 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +16 | |
| 31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +12 | |
| 18 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6 | |
| 21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +11 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +8 | |
| 22 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +20 | |
| Team | 97 | 23 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 9 | ||
| DNP: C. Bibby, S. Colson, S. Cunningham, A. McDonald, C. Clark, B. Hall | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
52
FG %
52
18
Ast
27
Season series
IND wins series 5-0
May 17CHI58@IND93
CHI58@IND93Jun 8IND79@CHI52
IND79@CHI52Jul 27IND93@CHI78
IND93@CHI78Aug 10CHI70@IND92
CHI70@IND92Sep 5CHI77@IND97today
CHI77@IND97todayHeadlines · top performers
Game flowCHI ↔ IND
CHIK. Cardoso
CGame leader · 33 min
18 PTS · 9 REB · 5 AST
INDN. Howard
FGame leader · 22 min
18 PTS · 7 REB · 2 AST
How it ended
IND beat CHI 97-77. N. Howard led with 18 PTS, 7 REB, 2 AST. IND outscored the other side 31-15 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
IND vs CHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitCHIstarters 69% of ptsStarters(5)
53 PTS · 15 REB · 10 AST
GS 32
Bench(4)
24 PTS · 16 REB · 8 AST
GS 17
INDstarters 73% of ptsStarters(5)
71 PTS · 14 REB · 20 AST
GS 63
Bench(5)
26 PTS · 9 REB · 7 AST
GS 15
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 15 | 26 | 19 | 17 | 77 |
| IND | 31 | 25 | 22 | 19 | 97 |
Period scoring
CHI won 1 · IND won 3
15
31
Q1
Onyenwere 4
Mitchell 13
26
25
Q2
Williams 6
Sims 11
19
22
Q3
Cardoso 9
Mitchell 5
17
19
Q4
Onyenwere 7
Boston 5
CHI
IND
Shooting comparison
CHI
IND
52%
25-48
FG
52%
38-73
18%
2-11
3PT
26%
6-23
76%
25-33
FT
79%
15-19
Play-by-play · 398 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 77·IND 97
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 77·IND 97
- Q4·9.2
Aerial Powers makes layup
CHI 77·IND 97
- Q4·9.8
Rebecca Allen lost ball turnover (Makayla Timpson steals)
·
CHI 77·IND 95
- Q4·13.1
Rebecca Allen defensive rebound
CHI 77·IND 95
- Q4·15.4
Damiris Dantas misses 13-foot pullup jump shot
CHI 77·IND 95
- Q4·19.6
Brianna Turner offensive rebound
CHI 77·IND 95
- Q4·23.3
Elizabeth Williams blocks Makayla Timpson 's 6-foot two point shot
·
CHI 77·IND 95
- Q4·40.8
Maddy Westbeld makes 8-foot two point shot (Sevgi Uzun assists)
·
CHI 77·IND 95
- Q4·1:00
Shey Peddy steps out of bounds turnover
CHI 75·IND 95
- Q4·1:23
Elizabeth Williams out of bounds bad pass turnover
CHI 75·IND 95
- Q4·1:37
Makayla Timpson makes tip shot
CHI 75·IND 95
- Q4·1:37
Makayla Timpson offensive rebound
CHI 75·IND 93
- Q4·1:38
Brianna Turner misses layup
CHI 75·IND 93
- Q4·1:49
Maddy Westbeld makes 26-foot three point jumper (Elizabeth Williams assists)
·
CHI 75·IND 93
- Q4·2:00
Makayla Timpson makes 5-foot two point shot (Aerial Powers assists)
·
CHI 72·IND 93
- Q4·2:23
Brianna Turner defensive rebound
CHI 72·IND 91
- Q4·2:28
Rachel Banham misses 24-foot three point jumper
CHI 72·IND 91
- Q4·2:46
Elizabeth Williams defensive rebound
CHI 72·IND 91
- Q4·2:46
Aerial Powers misses free throw 1 of 1
CHI 72·IND 91
- Q4·2:46
Rebecca Allen enters the game for Michaela Onyenwere
·
CHI 72·IND 91
- Q4·2:46
Rachel Banham shooting foul
CHI 72·IND 91
- Q4·2:46
Aerial Powers makes 8-foot pullup jump shot
CHI 72·IND 91
- Q4·3:01
Michaela Onyenwere makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 72·IND 89
- Q4·3:01
Sevgi Uzun enters the game for Ariel Atkins
·
CHI 71·IND 89
- Q4·3:01
Makayla Timpson enters the game for Lexie Hull
·
CHI 71·IND 89
- Q4·3:01
Michaela Onyenwere makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 71·IND 89
- Q4·3:01
Damiris Dantas loose ball foul
CHI 70·IND 89
- Q4·3:01
Sky defensive team rebound
CHI 70·IND 89
- Q4·3:03
Lexie Hull misses 23-foot three point jumper
CHI 70·IND 89
Team stats
CHI
Away
Stat
IND
Home
25-48
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
38-73
52
FG %
52
2-11
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
6-23
25-33
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
15-19
18
Assists
27
23
Turnovers
9
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · CHI favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(IND win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
IND vs CHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
110
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Caitlin ClarkIND19.4± 9.7low
- Kelsey MitchellIND19.3± 7.5low
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
Rebounds
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Aliyah BostonIND6.6± 6.4low
- Monique BillingsIND5.1± 3.3low
Assists
- Caitlin ClarkIND7.0± 3.5low
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Natasha CloudCHI4.4± 4.7low
Blocks
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
- Elizabeth WilliamsCHI1.0± 1.0low
Steals
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.1± 2.0low
- Aliyah BostonIND1.1± 1.6low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
CHI
league avg
IND
41.1%
FG%
44.7
▶45.4%
25.9%
3PT %
32.6
▶32.1%
82.8
PPG
85.4
▶92.9
19.3
Assists / G
18.0
▶22.3
11.0
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
14.4