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FINAL+10SEA
CHI

CHI

9-30

6979
SEA

SEA

22-19

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

WNBASat, Aug 30FinalSeriesSEA wins series 3-0

Recap · WNBA

eattle Storm held off Chicago Sky, 79–69.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

CHI
Angel Reese

Angel Reese

F · #5

13.5Game score

20

Pts

10

Reb

2

Ast

SEA · top performer

SEA
Ezi Magbegor

Ezi Magbegor

F · #13

12.5Game score

13

Pts

6

Reb

2

Ast

WNBA · Chicago Sky at Seattle Storm · final

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final
69
79
CHI9-30SEA22-19
CHI

CHI

9-30

69
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
M. OnyenwereM. Onyenwere★F · #12
251120003-12
A. ReeseA. Reese★F · #5
3220102216-6
K. CardosoK. Cardoso★C · #10
329102023-10
R. BanhamR. Banham★G · #24
26514103-9
A. AtkinsA. Atkins★G · #7
29728212-9
E. WilliamsE. WilliamsC · #1
16941101-4
R. AllenR. AllenG · #9
14240000-1
K. NurseK. NurseG · #11
144111000
S. UzunS. UzunG · #0
13231101+1
Team6937198419
DNP: M. Westbeld, C. Vandersloot, H. Van Lith
SEA

SEA

22-19

79
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
N. OgwumikeN. Ogwumike★F · #3
332070102+11
G. WilliamsG. Williams★F · #5
331283203+11
E. MagbegorE. Magbegor★F · #13
351362222+15
S. DigginsS. Diggins★G · #4
331216301+12
B. SykesB. Sykes★G · #20
251133203-1
M. HolmesM. HolmesF · #54
12011000-6
E. WheelerE. WheelerG · #17
261113002+8
Team79281810213
DNP: K. Samuelson, D. Malonga, L. Brown, Z. Cooke

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

44

FG %

42

19

Ast

18

Season series

SEA wins series 3-0

Jul 25SEASEA95@CHICHI57
Aug 20SEASEA94@CHICHI88
Aug 31CHICHI69@SEASEA79today

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCHI ↔ SEA

Biggest swing: 6pp · 2nd Quarter · 6:08

CHICHI
A. Reese

A. Reese

F

Game leader · 32 min

20 PTS · 10 REB · 2 AST

SEASEA
E. Magbegor

E. Magbegor

F

Game leader · 35 min

13 PTS · 6 REB · 2 AST

How it ended

SEA beat CHI 79-69. E. Magbegor led with 13 PTS, 6 REB, 2 AST.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

SEA vs CHI

0255075100Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
CHICHIstarters 75% of pts

Starters(5)

52 PTS · 25 REB · 16 AST

GS 36

Bench(4)

17 PTS · 12 REB · 3 AST

GS 12

SEASEAstarters 86% of pts

Starters(5)

68 PTS · 25 REB · 14 AST

GS 54

Bench(3)

11 PTS · 3 REB · 4 AST

GS 6

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
CHI1915161969
SEA2222132279

Period scoring

CHI won 1 · SEA won 3

19
22

Q1

Reese 5

Ogwumike 6

15
22

Q2

Onyenwere 4

Ogwumike 7

16
13

Q3

Reese 8

Magbegor 6

19
22

Q4

Reese 5

Williams 11

CHI
SEA

Shooting comparison

CHI
SEA

44%

27-61

FG

42%

27-65

10%

1-10

3PT

33%

7-21

56%

14-25

FT

100%

18-18

Play-by-play · 385 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    CHI 69·SEA 79

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    CHI 69·SEA 79

  3. Q4·17.9

    Kia Nurse makes two point shot (Angel Reese assists)

    ·

    CHI 69·SEA 79

  4. Q4·21.2

    Angel Reese defensive rebound

    CHI 67·SEA 79

  5. Q4·24.7

    Brittney Sykes misses driving floating jump shot

    CHI 67·SEA 79

  6. Q4·45.2

    Brittney Sykes defensive rebound

    CHI 67·SEA 79

  7. Q4·48.2

    Kia Nurse misses 23-foot three point jumper

    CHI 67·SEA 79

  8. Q4·54.9

    Sky timeout

    CHI 67·SEA 79

  9. Q4·54.9

    Gabby Williams makes free throw 2 of 2

    ·

    CHI 67·SEA 79

  10. Q4·54.9

    Mackenzie Holmes enters the game for Nneka Ogwumike

    ·

    CHI 67·SEA 78

  11. Q4·54.9

    Gabby Williams makes free throw 1 of 2

    ·

    CHI 67·SEA 78

  12. Q4·54.9

    Kamilla Cardoso shooting foul

    CHI 67·SEA 77

  13. Q4·1:09

    Kia Nurse makes free throw 2 of 2

    CHI 67·SEA 77

  14. Q4·1:09

    Kia Nurse makes free throw 1 of 2

    CHI 66·SEA 77

  15. Q4·1:09

    Erica Wheeler personal foul

    CHI 65·SEA 77

  16. Q4·1:09

    Rachel Banham makes technical free throw

    CHI 65·SEA 77

  17. Q4·1:09

    Erica Wheeler technical foul

    CHI 64·SEA 77

  18. Q4·1:09

    Kia Nurse defensive rebound

    CHI 64·SEA 77

  19. Q4·1:09

    Nneka Ogwumike misses 23-foot three point jumper

    CHI 64·SEA 77

  20. Q4·1:09

    Ezi Magbegor offensive rebound

    CHI 64·SEA 77

  21. Q4·1:12

    Kamilla Cardoso blocks Brittney Sykes 's 7-foot driving layup

    ·

    CHI 64·SEA 77

  22. Q4·1:28

    Brittney Sykes defensive rebound

    CHI 64·SEA 77

  23. Q4·1:31

    Rachel Banham misses 28-foot three point pullup jump shot

    CHI 64·SEA 77

  24. Q4·1:35

    Rachel Banham enters the game for Michaela Onyenwere

    ·

    CHI 64·SEA 77

  25. Q4·1:35

    Brittney Sykes enters the game for Skylar Diggins

    ·

    CHI 64·SEA 77

  26. Q4·1:35

    Sky Full timeout

    CHI 64·SEA 77

  27. Q4·1:36

    Gabby Williams makes free throw 2 of 2

    ·

    CHI 64·SEA 77

    +0.9pp

  28. Q4·1:36

    Gabby Williams makes free throw 1 of 2

    ·

    CHI 64·SEA 76

  29. Q4·1:36

    Kamilla Cardoso shooting foul

    CHI 64·SEA 75

  30. Q4·1:46

    Erica Wheeler enters the game for Brittney Sykes

    ·

    CHI 64·SEA 75

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

SEA

Home

27-61

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

27-65

44

FG %

42

1-10

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

7-21

14-25

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

18-18

19

Assists

18

19

Turnovers

13

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

1 of 14 players in cohort
  • Brittney SykesTOR · G
    USG%.28786

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

27.3%

ensemble · CHI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    30%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    37%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(SEA win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

SEA vs CHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

95

projections · 0 high confidence

Points

  • Rickea JacksonCHI
    16.0± 11.0low
  • Dominique MalongaSEA
    13.6± 9.4low
  • Skylar DigginsCHI
    13.3± 9.9low

Rebounds

  • Kamilla CardosoCHI
    8.5± 5.1low
  • Dominique MalongaSEA
    7.6± 3.0low
  • Mackenzie HolmesSEA
    5.0± 3.8low

Assists

  • Skylar DigginsCHI
    5.4± 3.0low
  • Natasha CloudCHI
    4.4± 4.7low
  • Jade MelbourneSEA
    3.9± 2.1low

Blocks

  • Dominique MalongaSEA
    1.4± 1.5low
  • Flau'jae JohnsonSEA
    1.3± 1.8low
  • Kamilla CardosoCHI
    1.2± 1.4low

Steals

  • Aicha CoulibalyCHI
    1.3± 1.2low
  • Jade MelbourneSEA
    1.2± 1.2low
  • Jacy SheldonCHI
    1.1± 2.0low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

CHI

CHI

league avg

SEA

SEA

41.1%

FG%

44.7

▶

41.6%

25.9%

3PT %

32.6

▶

34.1%

82.8

PPG

◀

85.4

79.5

19.3

Assists / G

◀

18.0

17.0

11.0

Turnovers / G

◀

13.0

13.6

Data via ESPN · wehoop