
MTL
48-24-10

CAR
53-22-7
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 997 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · NHL
ontreal Canadiens went into Carolina Hurricanes and beat them, 6–2.
MTL +1.5 cashed (CAR lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 2.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
MTL · top performer

Juraj Slafkovsky
LW · #20
2
G
1
A
—
SOG
CAR · top performer

Sebastian Aho
C · #20
0
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Montreal Canadiens at Carolina Hurricanes · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


MTL
48-24-10
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
CAR
53-22-7
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
8
PIM
8
Playoff series
MTL leads series 1-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CAR -1.5
Total
5.5
Defensive · -3.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 200 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
5.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
MTL beat CAR 6-2.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| CAR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Period scoring
MTL won 2 · CAR won 1
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 338 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
MTL 6·CAR 2
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
MTL 6·CAR 2
- 3rd·19:20
Eric Robinson hit Mike Matheson
·
MTL 6·CAR 2
- 3rd·18:47
Jackson Blake hit Oliver Kapanen
·
MTL 6·CAR 2
- 3rd·18:37
Shayne Gostisbehere Snap Shot Wide Left
·
MTL 6·CAR 2
- 3rd·18:04
Logan Stankoven Snap Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
MTL 6·CAR 2
- 3rd·17:58
K'Andre Miller shot blocked by Jayden Struble
·
MTL 6·CAR 2
- 3rd·17:32
Oliver Kapanen faceoff won against Logan Stankoven
·
MTL 6·CAR 2
- 3rd·17:32
Juraj Slafkovský Goal (6) Wrist Shot, assists: Nick Suzuki (12)
·
MTL 6·CAR 2
- 3rd·17:24
Shayne Gostisbehere shot blocked by Nick Suzuki
·
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·16:49
Alexandre Carrier hit Alexander Nikishin
· ·
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·16:30
Jaccob Slavin Slap Shot Wide Left
·
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·16:20
Logan Stankoven shot blocked by Noah Dobson
·
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·16:07
Jackson Blake Slap Shot Off Crossbar
·
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·15:40
Taylor Hall hit Noah Dobson
·
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·15:36
Phillip Danault faceoff won against Logan Stankoven
·
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·15:36
Icing
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·15:31
Giveaway by Seth Jarvis
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·15:12
Sean Walker Slap Shot Wide Left
·
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·14:43
Jake Evans faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·14:43
Goalie Stopped
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·14:41
Jordan Martinook Wrist Shot saved by Jakub Dobes
·
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·14:28
Jordan Staal hit Alexandre Carrier
· ·
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·14:23
Giveaway by Lane Hutson
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·14:21
Nikolaj Ehlers hit Lane Hutson
·
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·13:32
Giveaway by K'Andre Miller
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·13:17
Phillip Danault faceoff won against Logan Stankoven
·
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·13:17
Puck in Benches
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·13:03
Seth Jarvis shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
· ·
MTL 5·CAR 2
- 3rd·12:54
Nikolaj Ehlers shot blocked by Alexandre Carrier
· ·
MTL 5·CAR 2
Team stats
MTL
Away
Stat
CAR
Home
22
Shots
28
0.0
PCT
0.0
8
PIM
8
28
Faceoffs W
28
29
Blocks
12
12
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
5
Betting line
CAR -1.5·O/U 5.5·MTL +180/CAR -218
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
Josh AndersonMTL · RWBURSTS7599
Lane HutsonMTL · DBURSTS2398
Sean WalkerCAR · DSKATE MPH22.998
Mike MathesonMTL · DSHOT MPH97.596
Taylor HallCAR · LWBURSTS4396
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.2%
ensemble · CAR favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CAR win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+170
Close price
+170
Open no-vig
35.5%
Close no-vig
35.5%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit