NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1CAR

OTT

44-27-11

CAR

53-22-7

NHLMon, Apr 20FinalSeriesCAR wins series 2-1VegasCAR -148

Recap · NHL

arolina Hurricanes held off Ottawa Senators, 3–2 in overtime.

OTT +1.5 cashed (CAR won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

OTT · top performer

Drake Batherson

RW · #19

1Points

—

SOG

CAR · top performer

Jordan Martinook

LW · #48

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final/2OT

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. AmadioRW · #22	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	24:43
D. BathersonRW · #19	1	0	0	3	5	0	0	27:33
N. CousinsC · #21	0	0	0	0	7	0	0	15:04
D. CozensC · #24	1	0	1	3	4	0	0	27:25
L. EllerC · #89	0	0	0	2	3	1	0	12:24
W. FoegeleLW · #37	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	21:34
C. GirouxRW · #28	0	0	1	3	4	0	0	27:04
R. GreigC · #71	0	1	1	4	6	5	0	27:09
S. PintoC · #12	0	0	-1	3	2	3	0	28:17
T. StutzleC · #18	0	0	-1	2	2	0	0	29:05
B. TkachukLW · #7	0	0	-2	6	1	1	2	28:17
F. ZetterlundLW · #20	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	15:27

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. ChabotD · #72	0	0	-2	1	0	4	0	40:50
D. GilbertD · #6	0	0	0	0	7	1	2	15:24
N. MatinpaloD · #33	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	31:03
J. SandersonD · #85	0	2	2	2	3	5	0	43:06
J. SpenceD · #10	0	0	0	3	3	3	0	39:01
L. ThomsonD · #60	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	13:01

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. UllmarkG · #35	49	3	46	.939	93:34

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
S. AhoC · #20	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	27:03
J. BlakeRW · #53	0	1	0	4	1	1	2	25:08
W. CarrierLW · #28	0	0	0	1	12	0	0	15:37
N. EhlersLW · #27	0	1	1	5	0	2	0	24:20
T. HallLW · #71	0	1	0	4	1	0	0	21:56
M. JankowskiLW · #77	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	15:48
S. JarvisC · #24	0	0	-1	2	3	2	0	26:04
J. MartinookLW · #48	1	0	0	7	2	0	0	25:37
E. RobinsonLW · #50	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	16:03
J. StaalC · #11	0	1	2	5	7	1	0	27:22
L. StankovenC · #22	1	0	-1	5	0	1	0	24:26
A. SvechnikovRW · #37	0	0	-2	7	5	2	4	25:49

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. ChatfieldD · #5	0	0	0	1	0	3	0	31:10
S. GostisbehereD · #4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	24:59
K. MillerD · #19	0	1	1	1	1	5	0	34:56
A. NikishinD · #21	0	0	-1	0	1	1	0	28:19
J. SlavinD · #74	0	0	-1	2	2	3	0	33:52
S. WalkerD · #26	0	0	2	1	5	3	2	33:16

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
F. AndersenG · #31	39	2	37	.949	93:33

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Playoff series

CAR leads series 2-0

Apr 18

OTT0@

CAR2

Apr 20

OTT2@

CAR3today

Apr 23

CAR2@

OTT1

Apr 25

CAR4@

OTT2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CAR -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

OTT+12445%

CAR-14860%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗SpreadBet CAR -1.5↗

Line movement · 44 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

Headlines · top performers

OTT

D. Batherson

Top skater

1 G · 3 SOG

L. Ullmark

Goaltender46-save night

46 SV · 3 GA · .939

CAR

J. Martinook

Top skater

1 G · 7 SOG

F. Andersen

Goaltender37-save night

37 SV · 2 GA · .949

How it ended

CAR beat OTT 3-2. J. Martinook led the way — 1 G · 7 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	SO	T
OTT	0	2	0	0	0	2
CAR	1	1	0	0	1	3

Period scoring

OTT won 1 · CAR won 2

OTT

CAR

Play-by-play · 550 plays

period

event

player

2nd OT·13:53
Game End
OTT 2·CAR 3
2nd OT·13:53
End of 2nd OT
OTT 2·CAR 3
2nd OT·13:53
Jordan Martinook Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Nikolaj Ehlers (1), K'Andre Miller (1)
· ·
OTT 2·CAR 3
2nd OT·13:43
K'Andre Miller Snap Shot Wide Right
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·13:23
Taylor Hall Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·13:21
Taylor Hall Snap Shot saved by Linus Ullmark
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·13:12
Jake Sanderson Backhand Wide Left
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·12:47
Giveaway by Thomas Chabot
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·12:43
Logan Stankoven shot blocked by Dennis Gilbert
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·12:35
Giveaway by Lars Eller
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·12:26
Shayne Gostisbehere hit Lars Eller
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·12:24
Lars Eller Snap Shot High and Wide Left
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·11:56
Giveaway by Alexander Nikishin
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·11:42
Lars Eller faceoff won against Mark Jankowski
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·11:42
Puck in Netting
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·11:40
Shane Pinto shot blocked by Andrei Svechnikov
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·11:23
Shane Pinto Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·11:21
Michael Amadio Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·10:52
Jordan Spence hit Sebastian Aho
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·10:42
Sean Walker Snap Shot Wide Right
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·10:41
Giveaway by Jake Sanderson
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·10:37
Sebastian Aho faceoff won against Tim Stützle
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·10:37
Icing
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·10:12
Jordan Spence Snap Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·10:09
Brady Tkachuk faceoff won against Jordan Staal
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·10:09
Puck in Benches
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·10:00
Giveaway by Jordan Martinook
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·9:42
William Carrier hit Nikolas Matinpalo
·
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·9:36
Giveaway by Claude Giroux
OTT 2·CAR 2
2nd OT·9:31
K'Andre Miller Snap Shot saved by Linus Ullmark
·
OTT 2·CAR 2

Team stats

OTT

Away

Stat

CAR

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

100.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

CAR -1.5·O/U 5.5·OTT +124/CAR -148

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE

Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LW
CORSI%6699+
Shayne GostisbehereCAR · D
CORSI%6599+
Dylan CozensOTT · C
xGF%6599
Sebastian AhoCAR · C
CORSI%6499
Jackson BlakeCAR · RW
CORSI%6499

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

59.0%

ensemble · CAR favored

Elo Static
63.4%
P(CAR win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
63.4%
P(CAR win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
63.4%
P(CAR win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-148

Close price

-148

Open no-vig

57.2%

Close no-vig

57.2%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit