NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+1LA

STL

31-31-12

30-26-18

NHLWed, Apr 1FinalSeriesLA wins series 3-0VegasLA -155

Recap · NHL

os Angeles Kings held off St. Louis Blues, 2–1 in overtime.

STL +1.5 cashed (LA won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

STL · top performer

Dylan Holloway

LW · #81

1Points

—

SOG

LA · top performer

Adrian Kempe

RW · #9

1Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final / OT

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. BerggrenRW · #29	0	0	-1	0	1	2	0	17:07
P. BuchnevichLW · #89	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	18:37
D. DvorskyRW · #54	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	15:08
J. FinleyC · #37	0	0	0	0	3	0	5	7:55
D. HollowayLW · #81	0	1	1	3	1	1	0	18:13
J. KyrouRW · #25	0	0	-1	3	0	0	0	16:50
J. NeighboursLW · #63	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	15:14
J. SnuggerudRW · #21	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	17:38
O. StenbergC · #28	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	14:50
P. SuterC · #22	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	13:40
R. ThomasC · #18	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	20:21
A. ToropchenkoRW · #13	0	0	0	4	3	0	0	8:48

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
P. BrobergD · #6	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	23:16
C. FowlerD · #17	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	20:16
J. HollD · #4	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	13:07
T. LindsteinD · #41	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	15:59
L. MaillouxD · #23	0	0	1	2	1	0	2	21:01
C. ParaykoD · #55	0	0	-1	2	2	4	0	23:35

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
J. BinningtonG · #50	26	2	24	.923	61:56

Forwards

forwards box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
J. ArmiaRW · #40	0	0	0	2	1	0	2	13:06
Q. ByfieldRW · #55	0	0	-1	3	1	0	2	20:52
M. JosephRW · #17	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	8:32
A. KempeRW · #9	1	0	0	5	1	1	0	18:37
A. KopitarC · #11	0	1	1	1	1	5	0	20:47
A. LaferriereRW · #14	0	1	-1	3	2	1	0	19:56
S. LaughtonC · #21	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	16:29
T. MooreLW · #12	1	0	0	6	2	1	0	17:44
A. PanarinLW · #10	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	21:01
A. TurcotteC · #15	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6:38
T. WardRW · #52	0	0	0	1	1	0	5	5:36
J. WrightRW · #53	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	11:25

Defensemen

defenses box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	G	A	+/-	S	HT	BS	PIM	TOI
M. AndersonD · #44	0	0	-1	0	2	3	0	20:30
C. CeciD · #5	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	17:22
B. ClarkeD · #92	0	0	0	1	0	5	0	21:10
D. DoughtyD · #8	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	22:20
B. DumoulinD · #2	0	0	0	0	3	1	2	17:48
J. EdmundsonD · #6	0	0	0	0	4	4	0	19:55

Goalies

goalies box score — tap a column header to sort; players who did not play sink to the bottom.
Player	SA	GA	SV	SV%	TOI
A. ForsbergG · #31	24	1	23	.958	61:56

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Season series

LA wins series 3-0

Oct 22

LA2@

STL1

Jan 25

LA5@

STL4

Apr 2

STL1@

LA2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

STL+13043%

LA-15561%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LA -1.5↗SpreadBet LA -1.5↗

Line movement · 23 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

LA beat STL 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	OT	T
STL	0	0	1	0	1
LA	0	1	0	1	2

Period scoring

STL won 1 · LA won 2

STL

Play-by-play · 328 plays

period

event

player

OT·1:56
Game End
STL 1·LA 2
OT·1:56
End of OT
STL 1·LA 2
OT·1:56
Trevor Moore Goal (11) Snap Shot, assists: Anze Kopitar (23), Drew Doughty (17)
· ·
STL 1·LA 2
OT·1:25
Jimmy Snuggerud shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
·
STL 1·LA 1
OT·1:01
Quinton Byfield Wrist Shot saved by Jordan Binnington
·
STL 1·LA 1
OT·0:50
Dylan Holloway shot blocked by Brandt Clarke
· ·
STL 1·LA 1
OT·0:40
Adrian Kempe Wrist Shot saved by Jordan Binnington
·
STL 1·LA 1
OT·0:34
Dylan Holloway Wrist Shot saved by Anton Forsberg
· ·
STL 1·LA 1
OT·0:22
Philip Broberg shot blocked by Adrian Kempe
·
STL 1·LA 1
OT·0:11
Giveaway by Adrian Kempe
STL 1·LA 1
OT·0:00
Scott Laughton faceoff won against Robert Thomas
·
STL 1·LA 1
OT·0:00
Start of Overtime
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·19:33
Pius Suter faceoff won against Anze Kopitar
·
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·19:33
Puck in Netting
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·19:31
Drew Doughty shot blocked by Pavel Buchnevich
·
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·17:54
Anze Kopitar faceoff won against Pius Suter
·
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·17:54
Logan Mailloux Tripping against Artemi Panarin
·
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·17:38
Anze Kopitar hit Robert Thomas
·
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·17:22
Robert Thomas faceoff won against Anze Kopitar
·
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·17:22
Puck in Netting
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·17:20
Dylan Holloway shot blocked by Mikey Anderson
· ·
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·17:19
Robert Thomas faceoff won against Alex Laferriere
·
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·17:19
Puck in Benches
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·17:14
Pius Suter Backhand High and Wide Left
·
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·16:23
Giveaway by Brian Dumoulin
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·16:12
Joel Armia faceoff won against Pavel Buchnevich
·
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·16:12
Puck in Benches
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·16:07
Joel Armia faceoff won against Pavel Buchnevich
·
STL 1·LA 1
3rd·16:07
Robert Thomas Goal (17) Deflected, assists: Philip Broberg (23), Dylan Holloway (21)
· ·
STL 1·LA 1

Team stats

STL

Away

Stat

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

33.3

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Betting line

LA -1.5·O/U 5.5·STL +130/LA -155

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 skaters with EDGE

Philip BrobergSTL · D
BURSTS15898
Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · RW
SHOT MPH95.697
Colton ParaykoSTL · D
BURSTS9494
Cam FowlerSTL · D
DIST MI260.294
Dylan HollowaySTL · LW
SHOT MPH93.092

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

53.5%

ensemble · LA favored

Elo Static
54.5%
P(LA win)
67%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
54.5%
P(LA win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
54.5%
P(LA win)
17%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+130

Close price

+130

Open no-vig

41.7%

Close no-vig

41.7%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss