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FINAL+5NYR
CHI

CHI

27-33-13

16
NYR

NYR

29-35-9

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLFri, Mar 27FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasNYR -175

Recap · NHL

ew York Rangers held off Chicago Blackhawks, 6–1.

NYR -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CHI · top performer

CHI
Tyler Bertuzzi

Tyler Bertuzzi

LW · #59

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NYR · top performer

NYR
J.T. Miller

J.T. Miller

LW · #8

3Points

1

G

2

A

—

SOG

NHL · Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
1
6
CHI27-33-13NYR29-35-9
CHI

CHI

27-33-13

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
NYR

NYR

29-35-9

6
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

13

PIM

13

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Dec 11NYRNYR0@CHICHI3
Mar 27CHICHI1@NYRNYR6today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYR -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHICHI+14541%
NYRNYR-17564%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYR -1.5↗SpreadBet NYR -1.5↗

Line movement · 10 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NYR beat CHI 6-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
CHI1001
NYR1326

Period scoring

CHI won 0 · NYR won 2

1
1

1

0
3

2

0
2

3

CHI
NYR

Play-by-play · 326 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  3. 3rd·19:53

    Drew Fortescue Snap Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  4. 3rd·19:53

    Giveaway by Wyatt Kaiser

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  5. 3rd·19:48

    Connor Bedard faceoff won against Adam Sykora

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  6. 3rd·19:48

    Goalie Stopped

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  7. 3rd·19:45

    Drew Fortescue Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  8. 3rd·19:41

    Adam Sykora faceoff won against Connor Bedard

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  9. 3rd·19:41

    Goalie Stopped

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  10. 3rd·19:40

    Tye Kartye Deflected saved by Arvid Soderblom

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  11. 3rd·19:15

    Taylor Raddysh Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  12. 3rd·18:59

    Giveaway by Sam Rinzel

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  13. 3rd·18:55

    Frank Nazar faceoff won against Jonny Brodzinski

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  14. 3rd·18:55

    Off-side

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  15. 3rd·18:22

    Giveaway by Ilya Mikheyev

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  16. 3rd·17:31

    Ethan Del Mastro hit Jaroslav Chmelar

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  17. 3rd·17:14

    Artyom Levshunov hit Matthew Robertson

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  18. 3rd·16:23

    Jonny Brodzinski faceoff won against Frank Nazar

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  19. 3rd·16:23

    Sacha Boisvert Fighting against Will Borgen

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  20. 3rd·16:23

    Will Borgen Fighting against Sacha Boisvert

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  21. 3rd·16:23

    Alex Vlasic Roughing against Will Cuylle

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  22. 3rd·16:12

    Artyom Levshunov Wrist Shot saved by Dylan Garand

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  23. 3rd·16:07

    Sacha Boisvert faceoff won against Vincent Trocheck

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  24. 3rd·16:07

    Puck in Netting

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  25. 3rd·16:00

    Vincent Trocheck faceoff won against Sacha Boisvert

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  26. 3rd·16:00

    Jonny Brodzinski Goal (6) Snap Shot, assists: Taylor Raddysh (10), Drew Fortescue (1)

    · ·

    CHI 1·NYR 6

  27. 3rd·15:27

    Anton Frondell shot blocked by Vladislav Gavrikov

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 5

  28. 3rd·15:08

    Vladislav Gavrikov Wrist Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 5

  29. 3rd·14:58

    J.T. Miller faceoff won against Connor Bedard

    ·

    CHI 1·NYR 5

  30. 3rd·14:58

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    CHI 1·NYR 5

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

NYR

Home

28

Shots

38

0.0

PCT

33.3

13

PIM

13

26

Faceoffs W

39

9

Blocks

9

20

Giveaways

14

3

Takeaways

6

Betting line

NYR -1.5·O/U 6.5·CHI +145/NYR -175

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • J.T. MillerNYR · LW
    SHOT MPH102.699+
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Connor BedardCHI · C
    BURSTS19595
  • Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
    DIST MI263.494
  • Anton FrondellCHI · C
    SHOT MPH93.694

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · NYR favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NYR win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+145

Close price

+145

Open no-vig

39.1%

Close no-vig

39.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR