Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in CHI at UTA?

The model favors CHI, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.

When is the pick logged, and can it change?

Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.

How is the pick graded?

In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+4CHI

CHI

23-28-9

UTA

31-25-4

NHLSun, Mar 1FinalSeriesCHI leads series 2-0VegasUTAH -340

CHI · top performer

Teuvo Teravainen

C · #86

2Points

—

SOG

UTA · top performer

JJ Peterka

RW · #77

0Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. BedardC · #98	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	18:57
T. BertuzziLW · #59	0	1	0	2	0	0	2	17:36
A. BurakovskyLW · #28	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	16:04
J. DickinsonC · #16	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	15:39
R. DonatoC · #8	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	12:13
N. FolignoLW · #17	1	0	2	1	1	0	2	11:07
R. GreeneC · #20	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	15:38
I. MikheyevRW · #95	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	16:34
O. MooreC · #11	0	1	2	2	1	0	0	10:50
F. NazarC · #91	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	16:48
L. SlaggertLW · #84	1	0	2	1	1	1	0	10:19
T. TeravainenC · #86	2	0	1	4	0	2	0	17:53

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
L. CrevierD · #46	0	0	0	1	2	1	2	20:07
M. GrzelcykD · #48	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	20:42
K. KorchinskiD · #14	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	10:27
A. LevshunovD · #55	0	1	1	3	2	2	0	17:04
C. MurphyD · #5	0	1	2	1	0	2	0	21:38
A. VlasicD · #72	0	1	1	1	0	2	0	24:24

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
A. SoderblomG · #40	22	0	22	1.000	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
M. CarconeLW · #53	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	10:27
L. CooleyC · #92	0	0	-1	1	2	1	0	15:09
L. CrouseLW · #67	0	0	0	2	2	0	2	15:15
D. GuentherRW · #11	0	0	-2	2	2	3	0	13:37
B. HaytonC · #27	0	0	-1	0	1	0	0	12:32
C. KellerRW · #9	0	0	-1	2	0	0	2	17:41
A. KerfootC · #15	0	0	-1	0	0	1	0	13:38
J. McBainC · #22	0	0	-1	1	5	1	0	12:08
J. PeterkaRW · #77	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	18:10
N. SchmaltzC · #8	0	0	-1	0	0	0	0	19:27
K. StenlundC · #82	0	0	-1	2	1	0	0	14:04
K. YamamotoRW · #56	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	14:01

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
I. ColeD · #28	0	0	-1	0	0	1	2	15:45
S. DurziD · #50	0	0	0	2	0	1	10	22:41
O. MaattaD · #2	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	15:11
J. MarinoD · #6	0	0	-1	1	0	0	0	20:17
N. SchmidtD · #88	0	0	-1	1	2	1	2	19:12
M. SergachevD · #98	0	0	-1	2	3	1	0	24:02

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
K. VejmelkaG · #70	28	4	24	.857	60:00

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

UTA

Home

Shots

33.3

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

CHI leads series 2-0

Oct 14

UTA1@

CHI3

Mar 1

CHI4@

UTA0today

Mar 10

UTA2@

CHI3

Mar 13

CHI3@

UTA2

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CHI+27027%

UTA-34077%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 26 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CHI beat UTA 4-0. T. Teravainen led the way — 2 G · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CHI	1	2	1	4
UTA	0	0	0	0

Period scoring

CHI won 3 · UTA won 0

CHI

UTA

Play-by-play · 287 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·19:50
Mikhail Sergachev hit Teuvo Teravainen
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·19:11
Logan Cooley faceoff won against Jason Dickinson
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·19:11
Puck in Netting
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·19:09
Kailer Yamamoto shot blocked by Connor Murphy
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·19:04
JJ Peterka Snap Shot Short
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·19:02
Logan Cooley faceoff won against Connor Bedard
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·19:02
Sean Durzi Misconduct
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·19:02
Goalie Stopped
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·19:00
Dylan Guenther Slap Shot saved by Arvid Soderblom
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·18:49
Ilya Mikheyev Tip-In Wide Left
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·18:15
Takeaway by Frank Nazar
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·17:56
Kevin Stenlund shot blocked by Alex Vlasic
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·17:44
Barrett Hayton hit Louis Crevier
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·17:27
Lawson Crouse shot blocked by Artyom Levshunov
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·17:23
Michael Carcone shot blocked by Ryan Donato
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·17:19
Mikhail Sergachev Snap Shot Wide Left
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·17:14
Artyom Levshunov hit Jack McBain
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·16:59
Jack McBain Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·16:58
Michael Carcone Backhand Wide Left
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·16:45
Giveaway by Jack McBain
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·16:38
Connor Bedard Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·16:24
Takeaway by Kailer Yamamoto
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·16:07
Logan Cooley hit Connor Murphy
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·15:59
Ryan Greene shot blocked by Logan Cooley
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·15:47
Connor Bedard Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka
·
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·15:44
Giveaway by Dylan Guenther
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·15:35
Takeaway by Alex Vlasic
CHI 4·UTA 0
3rd·15:08
Ilya Mikheyev shot blocked by Nate Schmidt
·
CHI 4·UTA 0

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 6.5·CHI +270/UTA -340

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

hicago Blackhawks went into Utah Mammoth and beat them, 4–0.

CHI +1.5 cashed (UTA lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

67.3%

ensemble · UTA favored

Elo Static
67.3%
P(UTA win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
67.3%
P(UTA win)
15%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
67.3%
P(UTA win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+270

Close price

+270

Open no-vig

25.9%

Close no-vig

25.9%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Logged before tip · graded in public

How we read this game

Which side does The One Analytics' model favor in CHI at UTA?: The model favors CHI, based on a weighted edge across matchup factors. The pick is logged before the game and graded in public.
When is the pick logged, and can it change?: Every model pick is timestamped before the game starts and is never edited after the fact.
How is the pick graded?: In public, the moment the game goes final — wins and losses alike, with the full record on the model accuracy page.

Team pages

Chicago BlackhawksUtah Mammoth

Elsewhere in the NHL