Live · 1
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+2ANA
DAL

DAL

27-11-9

13
ANA

ANA

22-21-3

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Jan 13FinalSeriesANA wins series 2-1VegasDAL -125

Recap · NHL

naheim Ducks held off Dallas Stars, 3–1.

ANA +1.5 cashed (DAL lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DAL · top performer

DAL
Matt Duchene

Matt Duchene

C · #95

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

ANA · top performer

ANA
Mikael Granlund

Mikael Granlund

C · #64

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Dallas Stars at Anaheim Ducks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
1
3
DAL27-11-9ANA22-21-3
DAL

DAL

27-11-9

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
ANA

ANA

22-21-3

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

6

Season series

ANA wins series 2-1

Nov 7ANAANA7@DALDAL5
Dec 20DALDAL8@ANAANA3
Jan 14DALDAL1@ANAANA3today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

DAL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DALDAL-12556%
ANAANA+10549%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗SpreadBet DAL -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

ANA beat DAL 3-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
DAL0011
ANA0123

Period scoring

DAL won 0 · ANA won 2

0
0

1

0
1

2

1
2

3

DAL
ANA

Play-by-play · 331 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    DAL 1·ANA 3

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    DAL 1·ANA 3

  3. 3rd·19:39

    Mavrik Bourque faceoff won against Mikael Granlund

    ·

    DAL 1·ANA 3

  4. 3rd·19:39

    Jacob Trouba Goal (8) Wrist Shot, assists: Jackson LaCombe (23)

    ·

    DAL 1·ANA 3

  5. 3rd·19:33

    Roope Hintz Tip-In saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    DAL 1·ANA 2

  6. 3rd·18:58

    Wyatt Johnston hit Jackson LaCombe

    · ·

    DAL 1·ANA 2

  7. 3rd·18:16

    Justin Hryckowian Deflected Wide Left

    ·

    DAL 1·ANA 2

  8. 3rd·17:48

    Mavrik Bourque faceoff won against Mason McTavish

    ·

    DAL 1·ANA 2

  9. 3rd·17:48

    Roope Hintz Goal (14) Snap Shot, assists: Matt Duchene (7), Wyatt Johnston (27)

    · ·

    DAL 1·ANA 2

  10. 3rd·17:32

    Roope Hintz Wrist Shot saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  11. 3rd·17:31

    Thomas Harley Snap Shot saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  12. 3rd·17:01

    Thomas Harley Snap Shot saved by Lukas Dostal

    ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  13. 3rd·16:38

    Jackson LaCombe hit Matt Duchene

    ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  14. 3rd·16:31

    Jason Robertson Snap Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  15. 3rd·16:28

    Giveaway by Jackson LaCombe

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  16. 3rd·15:38

    Wyatt Johnston faceoff won against Mikael Granlund

    · ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  17. 3rd·15:38

    High Stick

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  18. 3rd·15:35

    Wyatt Johnston Batted Above Crossbar

    · ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  19. 3rd·15:34

    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Wyatt Johnston

    · ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  20. 3rd·15:16

    Roope Hintz faceoff won against Jansen Harkins

    ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  21. 3rd·15:16

    Icing

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  22. 3rd·15:05

    Radek Faksa Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  23. 3rd·14:39

    Ilya Lyubushkin hit Chris Kreider

    ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  24. 3rd·14:18

    Mason McTavish Snap Shot High and Wide Right

    ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  25. 3rd·14:14

    Giveaway by Matt Duchene

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  26. 3rd·13:29

    Giveaway by Sam Steel

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  27. 3rd·13:05

    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Nikita Nesterenko

    ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  28. 3rd·12:46

    Takeaway by Ian Moore

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  29. 3rd·12:24

    Esa Lindell shot blocked by Ryan Strome

    ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

  30. 3rd·12:03

    Colin Blackwell faceoff won against Mason McTavish

    ·

    DAL 0·ANA 2

Team stats

DAL

Away

Stat

ANA

Home

25

Shots

25

0.0

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

6

26

Faceoffs W

25

21

Blocks

17

20

Giveaways

16

1

Takeaways

8

Betting line

DAL -1.5·O/U 6.5·DAL -125/ANA +105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Ryan PoehlingANA · C
    SKATE MPH23.498
  • Roope HintzDAL · C
    BURSTS25998
  • Jackson LaCombeANA · D
    DIST MI47.993
  • Alex KillornANA · LW
    SHOT MPH88.385
  • Ian MooreANA · D
    SKATE MPH22.284

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · ANA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(ANA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(ANA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(ANA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+105

Close price

+105

Open no-vig

46.8%

Close no-vig

46.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR