
CAR
24-12-3

PIT
17-12-9
Historical comparables
Historical comparables
No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.
Recap · NHL
ittsburgh Penguins held off Carolina Hurricanes, 5–1.
PIT +1.5 cashed (CAR lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 0.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CAR · top performer

Mark Jankowski
LW · #77
1
G
0
A
—
SOG
PIT · top performer

Justin Brazeau
RW · #16
1
G
1
A
—
SOG
NHL · Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins · final
NHL · Box scoreEDGE


CAR
24-12-3
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
PIT
17-12-9
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Skating | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | +/- | G | A | PIM |
| Goalie | Skating | Goalie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% |
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
4
PIM
0
Season series
PIT leads series 1-0
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CAR -1.5
Total
6.5
Defensive · -2.0 vs avg
Moneyline
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 7 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
1.5
0.0 since open
Total
6.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
PIT beat CAR 5-1.
Last play
Game End
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| PIT | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Period scoring
CAR won 0 · PIT won 2
1
2
3
Play-by-play · 316 plays
- 3rd·20:00
Game End
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·19:03
Alexander Nikishin hit Blake Lizotte
· ·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·18:26
Giveaway by Andrei Svechnikov
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·18:16
Ville Koivunen Wrist Shot saved by Frederik Andersen
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·18:15
Connor Dewar Tip-In Wide Right
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·18:14
Mike Reilly hit Ville Koivunen
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·18:01
Jack St. Ivany hit Taylor Hall
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·17:56
Giveaway by Ville Koivunen
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·17:50
Nikolaj Ehlers Slap Shot Short
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·17:49
Joel Nystrom Snap Shot Short
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·17:45
Giveaway by Jack St. Ivany
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·17:44
Takeaway by Jack St. Ivany
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·16:40
Brett Kulak shot blocked by Jesperi Kotkaniemi
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·16:28
Giveaway by William Carrier
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·16:19
Rickard Rakell hit Jesperi Kotkaniemi
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·16:08
Sidney Crosby faceoff won against Jesperi Kotkaniemi
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·16:08
Puck in Benches
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·15:02
Mark Jankowski Wrist Shot saved by Stuart Skinner
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·13:45
Ryan Shea hit K'Andre Miller
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·13:43
William Carrier Wrist Shot saved by Stuart Skinner
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·13:25
Jack St. Ivany Snap Shot Wide Left
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·13:18
Jesperi Kotkaniemi hit Ville Koivunen
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·12:31
Taylor Hall Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·12:29
Giveaway by Brett Kulak
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·12:19
Mark Jankowski faceoff won against Thomas Novak
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·12:19
Off-side
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·12:06
Blake Lizotte faceoff won against Logan Stankoven
· ·
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·12:06
Icing
CAR 1·PIT 5
- 3rd·11:59
Logan Stankoven faceoff won against Noel Acciari
·
CAR 1·PIT 5
Team stats
CAR
Away
Stat
PIT
Home
28
Shots
28
0.0
PCT
50.0
4
PIM
0
26
Faceoffs W
29
15
Blocks
19
21
Giveaways
15
4
Takeaways
7
Betting line
CAR -1.5·O/U 6.5·CAR -130/PIT +110
NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
Sean WalkerCAR · DSKATE MPH22.998
Erik KarlssonPIT · DSKATE MPH22.897
Taylor HallCAR · LWBURSTS4696
Sebastian AhoCAR · CDIST MI44.795
Nikolaj EhlersCAR · LWBURSTS3995
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
50.1%
ensemble · PIT favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
33%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
32%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PIT win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
The receipts
Closing-line value.
0.00
CLV pp
Open price
+110
Close price
+110
Open no-vig
45.7%
Close no-vig
45.7%
Line barely moved · Graded: hit