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FINAL+3BOS
BOS

BOS

28-19-2

52
CHI

CHI

19-22-7

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLSat, Jan 17FinalSeriesBOS wins series 2-0VegasBOS -125

Recap · NHL

oston Bruins went into Chicago Blackhawks and beat them, 5–2.

BOS -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total cleared the 6.5 OVER by 0.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

BOS · top performer

BOS
Elias Lindholm

Elias Lindholm

C · #28

2Points

0

G

2

A

—

SOG

CHI · top performer

CHI
Connor Bedard

Connor Bedard

C · #98

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Boston Bruins at Chicago Blackhawks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
5
2
BOS28-19-2CHI19-22-7
BOS

BOS

28-19-2

5
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CHI

CHI

19-22-7

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

2

PIM

2

Season series

BOS wins series 2-0

Oct 9CHICHI3@BOSBOS4
Jan 18BOSBOS5@CHICHI2today

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BOS -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

BOSBOS-12556%
CHICHI+10549%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BOS beat CHI 5-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
BOS0325
CHI2002

Period scoring

BOS won 2 · CHI won 1

0
2

1

3
0

2

2
0

3

BOS
CHI

Play-by-play · 284 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  3. 3rd·19:45

    Mason Lohrei Wrist Shot Short

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  4. 3rd·19:43

    Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Jason Dickinson

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  5. 3rd·19:43

    Puck in Netting

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  6. 3rd·19:39

    Mason Lohrei shot blocked by Nick Foligno

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  7. 3rd·19:10

    Nick Foligno faceoff won against Elias Lindholm

    · ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  8. 3rd·19:10

    Puck in Benches

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  9. 3rd·18:28

    Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Ryan Greene

    · ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  10. 3rd·18:28

    Icing

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  11. 3rd·17:47

    Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Nick Foligno

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  12. 3rd·17:47

    Goalie Stopped

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  13. 3rd·17:45

    Connor Bedard Deflected saved by Joonas Korpisalo

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  14. 3rd·17:43

    Connor Bedard Wrist Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  15. 3rd·17:42

    Tyler Bertuzzi hit Mason Lohrei

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  16. 3rd·17:00

    Tyler Bertuzzi shot blocked by Elias Lindholm

    · ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  17. 3rd·16:59

    Tyler Bertuzzi shot blocked by Elias Lindholm

    · ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  18. 3rd·16:58

    Tyler Bertuzzi Batted Short

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  19. 3rd·16:57

    Artyom Levshunov Wrist Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  20. 3rd·16:50

    Giveaway by Hampus Lindholm

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  21. 3rd·16:26

    Morgan Geekie Backhand Wide Left

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  22. 3rd·16:23

    Ryan Greene faceoff won against Elias Lindholm

    · ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  23. 3rd·16:23

    Puck in Netting

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  24. 3rd·16:20

    Connor Bedard Wrist Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  25. 3rd·16:08

    Connor Bedard Wrist Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  26. 3rd·16:00

    Tyler Bertuzzi Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  27. 3rd·15:59

    Louis Crevier Slap Shot saved by Joonas Korpisalo

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  28. 3rd·15:54

    Louis Crevier shot blocked by Pavel Zacha

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  29. 3rd·15:43

    Giveaway by David Pastrnak

    BOS 5·CHI 2

  30. 3rd·15:35

    Connor Bedard shot blocked by Marat Khusnutdinov

    ·

    BOS 5·CHI 2

Team stats

BOS

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

23

Shots

24

100.0

PCT

0.0

2

PIM

2

25

Faceoffs W

23

11

Blocks

10

16

Giveaways

16

8

Takeaways

3

Betting line

BOS -1.5·O/U 6.5·BOS -125/CHI +105

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 28 skaters with EDGE
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Connor BedardCHI · C
    BURSTS19595
  • Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
    SKATE MPH23.092
  • Alex VlasicCHI · D
    BURSTS7190
  • Morgan GeekieBOS · C
    SHOT MPH88.989

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · CHI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+105

Close price

+105

Open no-vig

46.8%

Close no-vig

46.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR