Live · 1
Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+3BOS
DET

DET

28-16-4

03
BOS

BOS

26-19-2

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLTue, Jan 13FinalSeriesBOS leads series 2-1VegasBOS -148

Recap · NHL

oston Bruins held off Detroit Red Wings, 3–0.

BOS -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DET · top performer

DET
Mason Appleton

Mason Appleton

C · #22

0Points

0

G

0

A

—

SOG

BOS · top performer

BOS
Viktor Arvidsson

Viktor Arvidsson

LW · #71

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Detroit Red Wings at Boston Bruins · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
0
3
DET28-16-4BOS26-19-2
DET

DET

28-16-4

0
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
BOS

BOS

26-19-2

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

4

PIM

4

Season series

BOS leads series 2-1

Nov 30DETDET2@BOSBOS3
Dec 3BOSBOS4@DETDET5
Jan 14DETDET0@BOSBOS3today
Mar 22BOSBOS4@DETDET2

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BOS -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DETDET+12445%
BOSBOS-14860%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗SpreadBet BOS -1.5↗

Line movement · 7 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BOS beat DET 3-0.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
DET0000
BOS0123

Period scoring

DET won 0 · BOS won 2

0
0

1

0
1

2

0
2

3

DET
BOS

Play-by-play · 348 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    DET 0·BOS 3

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    DET 0·BOS 3

  3. 3rd·19:34

    Marco Kasper hit Andrew Peeke

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 3

  4. 3rd·19:05

    Mark Kastelic faceoff won against Dylan Larkin

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 3

  5. 3rd·19:05

    Icing

    DET 0·BOS 3

  6. 3rd·18:33

    Michael Rasmussen faceoff won against Sean Kuraly

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 3

  7. 3rd·18:33

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    DET 0·BOS 3

  8. 3rd·18:32

    Tanner Jeannot shot blocked by Simon Edvinsson

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 3

  9. 3rd·18:31

    Andrew Copp faceoff won against Sean Kuraly

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 3

  10. 3rd·18:31

    Puck in Crowd

    DET 0·BOS 3

  11. 3rd·18:23

    Giveaway by Casey Mittelstadt

    DET 0·BOS 3

  12. 3rd·18:10

    Mason Lohrei hit J.T. Compher

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 3

  13. 3rd·17:33

    Fraser Minten shot blocked by Michael Rasmussen

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 3

  14. 3rd·16:16

    Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Dylan Larkin

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 3

  15. 3rd·16:16

    Icing

    DET 0·BOS 3

  16. 3rd·16:01

    Sean Kuraly faceoff won against Dylan Larkin

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 3

  17. 3rd·16:01

    Mark Kastelic Goal (7) Backhand, assists: Tanner Jeannot (14), Sean Kuraly (10)

    · ·

    DET 0·BOS 3

  18. 3rd·15:53

    Sean Kuraly faceoff won against Dylan Larkin

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 2

  19. 3rd·15:53

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    DET 0·BOS 2

  20. 3rd·15:33

    Casey Mittelstadt Backhand Wide Right

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 2

  21. 3rd·14:56

    Pavel Zacha faceoff won against Alex DeBrincat

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 2

  22. 3rd·14:56

    Goalie Stopped

    DET 0·BOS 2

  23. 3rd·14:54

    Moritz Seider Slap Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 2

  24. 3rd·14:47

    Andrew Copp faceoff won against Elias Lindholm

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 2

  25. 3rd·14:47

    Puck in Crowd

    DET 0·BOS 2

  26. 3rd·14:47

    Moritz Seider Slap Shot Wide Left

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 2

  27. 3rd·14:41

    Elias Lindholm faceoff won against Andrew Copp

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 2

  28. 3rd·14:41

    Goalie Stopped

    DET 0·BOS 2

  29. 3rd·14:39

    Alex DeBrincat Wrist Shot saved by Jeremy Swayman

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 2

  30. 3rd·14:34

    Dylan Larkin Wrist Shot Hit Left Post

    ·

    DET 0·BOS 2

Team stats

DET

Away

Stat

BOS

Home

24

Shots

41

0.0

PCT

0.0

4

PIM

4

28

Faceoffs W

43

16

Blocks

10

17

Giveaways

18

5

Takeaways

3

Betting line

BOS -1.5·O/U 6.5·DET +124/BOS -148

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Moritz SeiderDET · D
    DIST MI299.899
  • Alex DeBrincatDET · RW
    DIST MI252.196
  • Emmitt FinnieDET · C
    BURSTS19394
  • Dylan LarkinDET · C
    DIST MI243.094
  • Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
    SKATE MPH23.092

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · BOS favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(BOS win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(BOS win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(BOS win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+124

Close price

+124

Open no-vig

42.8%

Close no-vig

42.8%

Line barely moved · Graded: miss

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR