Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+1UTA
DAL

DAL

27-12-9

12
UTA

UTA

24-20-4

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLThu, Jan 15FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasUTAH -130

Recap · NHL

tah Mammoth held off Dallas Stars, 2–1.

DAL +1.5 cashed (UTA won by 1). Total stayed UNDER 5.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

DAL · top performer

DAL
Wyatt Johnston

Wyatt Johnston

C · #53

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

UTA · top performer

UTA
Nick Schmaltz

Nick Schmaltz

C · #8

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · Dallas Stars at Utah Mammoth · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
1
2
DAL27-12-9UTA24-20-4
DAL

DAL

27-12-9

1
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
UTA

UTA

24-20-4

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

6

PIM

6

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 29UTAUTA3@DALDAL4
Jan 16DALDAL1@UTAUTA2today
Feb 1DALDAL3@UTAUTA2
Mar 17UTAUTA6@DALDAL3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

UTA -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

DALDAL+11048%
UTAUTA-13057%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗SpreadBet UTA -1.5↗

Line movement · 8 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

UTA beat DAL 2-1.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
DAL0011
UTA0112

Period scoring

DAL won 0 · UTA won 1

0
0

1

0
1

2

1
1

3

DAL
UTA

Play-by-play · 324 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  3. 3rd·19:47

    Giveaway by Kevin Stenlund

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  4. 3rd·19:37

    Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Roope Hintz

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  5. 3rd·19:37

    Icing

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  6. 3rd·19:30

    Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Roope Hintz

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  7. 3rd·19:30

    Puck in Netting

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  8. 3rd·19:28

    Wyatt Johnston shot blocked by Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  9. 3rd·19:23

    Roope Hintz faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  10. 3rd·19:23

    Icing

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  11. 3rd·19:18

    Wyatt Johnston hit Dylan Guenther

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  12. 3rd·19:10

    Takeaway by Wyatt Johnston

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  13. 3rd·19:05

    Roope Hintz Tip-In saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  14. 3rd·18:43

    Roope Hintz faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  15. 3rd·18:43

    Timeout - Visitor

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  16. 3rd·18:43

    Icing

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  17. 3rd·18:29

    Thomas Harley shot blocked by Mikhail Sergachev

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  18. 3rd·18:02

    Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Roope Hintz

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  19. 3rd·18:02

    Icing

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  20. 3rd·17:54

    Thomas Harley Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  21. 3rd·17:33

    Mikko Rantanen hit Jack McBain

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  22. 3rd·17:28

    Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Roope Hintz

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  23. 3rd·17:28

    Goalie Stopped

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  24. 3rd·17:26

    Thomas Harley Snap Shot saved by Karel Vejmelka

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  25. 3rd·17:23

    Roope Hintz faceoff won against Kevin Stenlund

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  26. 3rd·17:23

    Puck in Crowd

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  27. 3rd·17:15

    Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Roope Hintz

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  28. 3rd·17:15

    Icing

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  29. 3rd·17:01

    Mikko Rantanen Wrist Shot Wide Left

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

  30. 3rd·16:38

    Kevin Stenlund faceoff won against Roope Hintz

    ·

    DAL 1·UTA 2

Team stats

DAL

Away

Stat

UTA

Home

27

Shots

27

50.0

PCT

0.0

6

PIM

6

21

Faceoffs W

43

19

Blocks

15

16

Giveaways

21

6

Takeaways

5

Betting line

UTA -1.5·O/U 5.5·DAL +110/UTA -130

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

1 of 14 skaters with EDGE
  • Roope HintzDAL · C
    BURSTS25998

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.1%

ensemble · UTA favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(UTA win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR