NHL game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+4COL

CBJ

18-19-7

COL

33-4-7

NHLSat, Jan 10FinalSeriesCOL wins series 2-0VegasCOL -285

CBJ · top performer

Zach Werenski

D · #8

0Points

—

SOG

COL · top performer

Brent Burns

D · #84

2Points

—

SOG

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. CoyleC · #3	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	16:34
A. FantilliC · #19	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	19:58
B. GaunceC · #16	0	0	-2	2	0	0	0	11:29
D. HeinenLW · #43	0	0	-3	2	3	0	0	11:39
B. JennerC · #38	0	0	0	2	4	1	0	17:14
K. JohnsonC · #91	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	16:29
K. MarchenkoRW · #86	0	0	-1	4	1	0	2	20:01
S. MonahanC · #23	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	15:54
M. OlivierRW · #24	0	0	-2	0	5	0	0	12:27
M. PyyhtiaLW · #82	0	0	-2	2	0	2	0	11:39
C. SillingerC · #4	0	0	-1	1	1	0	0	11:14
D. VoronkovLW · #10	0	0	-1	1	2	2	0	14:04

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
D. FabbroD · #15	0	0	-2	0	0	0	0	15:51
D. MateychukD · #5	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	16:55
I. ProvorovD · #9	0	0	-3	1	0	2	0	24:25
D. SeversonD · #78	0	0	-1	2	1	3	0	22:21
Z. WerenskiD · #8	0	0	-1	5	0	1	0	22:23
E. ZamulaD · #6	0	0	-1	0	0	4	0	15:23

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
E. MerzlikinsG · #90	31	4	27	.871	60:00

Forwards

forwards box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. BardakovC · #93	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	9:54
G. BrindleyC · #54	0	2	2	1	0	2	0	10:08
R. ColtonC · #20	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	13:15
J. DruryC · #18	0	1	2	1	1	2	0	15:18
P. KellyC · #17	0	2	3	1	0	1	0	14:38
A. LehkonenLW · #62	0	0	0	2	2	1	0	20:34
N. MacKinnonC · #29	0	0	0	8	0	1	2	20:08
M. NecasC · #88	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	20:51
B. NelsonC · #11	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	18:25
V. NichushkinRW · #13	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	15:16
V. OlofssonLW · #95	1	1	2	2	0	0	2	13:23
T.J. TynanC · #9	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	8:13

Defensemen

defenses box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
B. BurnsD · #84	2	0	3	4	0	0	0	20:04
S. GirardD · #49	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	19:24
C. MakarD · #8	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	23:37
S. MalinskiD · #70	0	0	0	3	0	4	0	20:22
J. MansonD · #42	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	20:41
I. SolovyovD · #28	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	11:56

Goalies

goalies box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
T. MinerG · #50	29	0	29	1.000	59:53

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

PIM

Team stats

CBJ

Away

Stat

COL

Home

Shots

0.0

PCT

0.0

PIM

Faceoffs W

Blocks

Giveaways

Takeaways

Season series

COL wins series 2-0

Oct 16

COL4@

CBJ1

Jan 10

CBJ0@

COL4today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

COL -1.5

Total

6.5

Defensive · -2.0 vs avg

Moneyline

CBJ+23030%

COL-28574%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet COL -1.5↗SpreadBet COL -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

6.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

COL beat CBJ 4-0. B. Burns led the way — 2 G · 4 SOG.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	T
CBJ	0	0	0	0
COL	2	1	1	4

Period scoring

CBJ won 0 · COL won 3

CBJ

COL

Play-by-play · 321 plays

period

event

player

3rd·20:00
Game End
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·20:00
End of 3rd Period
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·19:29
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Jack Drury
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·19:29
Icing
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·19:07
Brent Burns Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·18:11
Victor Olofsson Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·18:06
Parker Kelly shot blocked by Egor Zamula
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·18:00
Ilya Solovyov shot blocked by Egor Zamula
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·17:42
Jack Drury faceoff won against Brendan Gaunce
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·17:42
Puck in Netting
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·17:35
Boone Jenner Slap Shot Wide Right
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·17:30
Denton Mateychuk shot blocked by Sam Malinski
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·17:07
Nathan MacKinnon faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·17:07
Puck in Netting
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·16:36
Brock Nelson faceoff won against Adam Fantilli
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·16:36
Off-side
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·16:09
Zakhar Bardakov Slap Shot Wide Left
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·15:40
Parker Kelly Wrist Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·15:25
Egor Zamula shot blocked by Parker Kelly
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·14:57
Kent Johnson Slap Shot Wide Right
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·14:52
Sean Monahan shot blocked by Josh Manson
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·14:27
Giveaway by Nathan MacKinnon
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·13:59
Nathan MacKinnon faceoff won against Sean Monahan
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·13:59
Goalie Stopped
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·13:58
Nathan MacKinnon Slap Shot saved by Elvis Merzlikins
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·13:38
Giveaway by Zach Werenski
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·13:26
Ross Colton Wrist Shot Wide Right
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·13:18
Adam Fantilli Backhand saved by Trent Miner
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·13:16
Zach Werenski shot blocked by Charlie Coyle
·
CBJ 0·COL 4
3rd·13:14
Adam Fantilli faceoff won against Brock Nelson
·
CBJ 0·COL 4

Betting line

COL -1.5·O/U 6.5·CBJ +230/COL -285

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NHL

olorado Avalanche held off Columbus Blue Jackets, 4–0.

COL -1.5 cashed (won by 4). Total stayed UNDER 6.5 by 2.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

73.3%

ensemble · COL favored

Elo Static
71.3%
P(COL win)
68%
weight
Goalie Starter
fallback · inputs missing
71.3%
P(COL win)
16%
weight
Xg Blend
fallback · inputs missing
71.3%
P(COL win)
16%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

1 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.