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FINAL+4CHI
STL

STL

17-19-8

37
CHI

CHI

18-18-7

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 998 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

NHLWed, Jan 7FinalSeriesCHI leads series 2-1VegasSTL -122

Recap · NHL

hicago Blackhawks held off St. Louis Blues, 7–3.

CHI +1.5 cashed (STL lost outright). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 4.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

STL · top performer

STL
Brayden Schenn

Brayden Schenn

C · #10

1Points

0

G

1

A

—

SOG

CHI · top performer

CHI
Oliver Moore

Oliver Moore

C · #11

2Points

1

G

1

A

—

SOG

NHL · St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
3
7
STL17-19-8CHI18-18-7
STL

STL

17-19-8

3
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
CHI

CHI

18-18-7

7
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

8

PIM

20

Season series

CHI leads series 2-1

Oct 16CHICHI8@STLSTL3
Dec 13CHICHI2@STLSTL3
Jan 8STLSTL3@CHICHI7today
Apr 11STLSTL5@CHICHI3

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

STL -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

STLSTL-12255%
CHICHI+10250%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet STL -1.5↗SpreadBet STL -1.5↗

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CHI beat STL 7-3.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
STL1113
CHI1427

Period scoring

STL won 0 · CHI won 2

1
1

1

1
4

2

1
2

3

STL
CHI

Play-by-play · 342 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    STL 3·CHI 7

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    STL 3·CHI 7

  3. 3rd·19:46

    Ryan Greene faceoff won against Nathan Walker

    ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  4. 3rd·19:46

    Icing

    STL 3·CHI 7

  5. 3rd·19:38

    Jimmy Snuggerud Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  6. 3rd·19:32

    Giveaway by Ryan Donato

    STL 3·CHI 7

  7. 3rd·18:30

    Giveaway by Spencer Knight

    STL 3·CHI 7

  8. 3rd·18:03

    Nick Foligno faceoff won against Dalibor Dvorsky

    ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  9. 3rd·18:03

    Goalie Stopped

    STL 3·CHI 7

  10. 3rd·18:01

    Colton Parayko Wrist Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  11. 3rd·17:36

    Nathan Walker hit Alex Vlasic

    ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  12. 3rd·17:18

    Nathan Walker hit Alex Vlasic

    ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  13. 3rd·17:10

    Alex Vlasic hit Logan Mailloux

    ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  14. 3rd·16:30

    Takeaway by Teuvo Teravainen

    STL 3·CHI 7

  15. 3rd·16:11

    Giveaway by Justin Faulk

    STL 3·CHI 7

  16. 3rd·16:04

    Brayden Schenn faceoff won against Oliver Moore

    ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  17. 3rd·16:04

    Off-side

    STL 3·CHI 7

  18. 3rd·15:53

    Takeaway by Ryan Greene

    STL 3·CHI 7

  19. 3rd·15:21

    Otto Stenberg Wrist Shot Wide Right

    ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  20. 3rd·14:43

    Alexey Toropchenko Slap Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  21. 3rd·14:17

    Giveaway by Nick Foligno

    STL 3·CHI 7

  22. 3rd·14:06

    Nick Foligno faceoff won against Oskar Sundqvist

    ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  23. 3rd·14:06

    Puck in Netting

    STL 3·CHI 7

  24. 3rd·13:49

    Nick Foligno faceoff won against Robert Thomas

    ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  25. 3rd·13:49

    Goalie Stopped

    STL 3·CHI 7

  26. 3rd·13:47

    Justin Faulk Slap Shot saved by Spencer Knight

    ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  27. 3rd·13:19

    Brayden Schenn faceoff won against Jason Dickinson

    ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  28. 3rd·13:19

    Nathan Walker Goal (4) Batted, assists: Alexey Toropchenko (4), Philip Broberg (12)

    · ·

    STL 3·CHI 7

  29. 3rd·13:08

    Oskar Sundqvist faceoff won against Oliver Moore

    ·

    STL 2·CHI 7

  30. 3rd·13:08

    Puck Frozen - Goalie

    STL 2·CHI 7

Team stats

STL

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

30

Shots

35

0.0

PCT

75.0

8

PIM

20

27

Faceoffs W

42

7

Blocks

16

13

Giveaways

18

4

Takeaways

7

Betting line

STL -1.5·O/U 5.5·STL -122/CHI +102

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 27 skaters with EDGE
  • Louis CrevierCHI · D
    SHOT MPH102.899
  • Philip BrobergSTL · D
    BURSTS15898
  • Jimmy SnuggerudSTL · RW
    SHOT MPH95.697
  • Colton ParaykoSTL · D
    BURSTS9494
  • Cam FowlerSTL · D
    DIST MI260.294

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · CHI favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CHI win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

+102

Close price

+102

Open no-vig

47.4%

Close no-vig

47.4%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR