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FINAL+5NSH
STL

STL

11-14-7

27
NSH

NSH

12-14-4

Historical comparables

Historical comparables

No comparable NHL games in the historical pool yet.

NHLThu, Dec 11FinalSeriesNSH leads series 1-0VegasNSH -135

Recap · NHL

ashville Predators held off St. Louis Blues, 7–2.

NSH -1.5 cashed (won by 5). Total cleared the 5.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NHL · St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators · final

NHL · Box scoreEDGE

Final
2
7
STL11-14-7NSH12-14-4
STL

STL

11-14-7

2
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%
NSH

NSH

12-14-4

7
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
Skating
Player+/-GAPIM
GoalieSkatingGoalie
PlayerGASASVSV%

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

13

PIM

11

Season series

NSH leads series 1-0

Dec 12STLSTL2@NSHNSH7today
Dec 16NSHNSH5@STLSTL2
Dec 28NSHNSH2@STLSTL3
Feb 3STLSTL5@NSHNSH6

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NSH -1.5

Total

5.5

Defensive · -3.0 vs avg

Moneyline

STLSTL+11447%
NSHNSH-13557%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

Line movement · 13 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

5.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NSH beat STL 7-2.

Last play

Game End

Linescore (quarters)

Team123T
STL0202
NSH2417

Period scoring

STL won 0 · NSH won 3

0
2

1

2
4

2

0
1

3

STL
NSH

Play-by-play · 281 plays

period
event
player
  1. 3rd·20:00

    Game End

    STL 2·NSH 7

  2. 3rd·20:00

    End of 3rd Period

    STL 2·NSH 7

  3. 3rd·19:54

    Logan Mailloux Slap Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  4. 3rd·19:46

    Aleksanteri Kaskimaki Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  5. 3rd·19:45

    Erik Haula faceoff won against Hugh McGing

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  6. 3rd·19:45

    Puck in Crowd

    STL 2·NSH 7

  7. 3rd·19:39

    Colton Parayko shot blocked by Spencer Stastney

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  8. 3rd·19:34

    Takeaway by Reid Schaefer

    STL 2·NSH 7

  9. 3rd·19:28

    Colton Parayko shot blocked by Spencer Stastney

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  10. 3rd·19:27

    Takeaway by Colton Parayko

    STL 2·NSH 7

  11. 3rd·19:25

    Giveaway by Philip Broberg

    STL 2·NSH 7

  12. 3rd·18:08

    Hugh McGing faceoff won against Fedor Svechkov

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  13. 3rd·18:08

    Off-side

    STL 2·NSH 7

  14. 3rd·17:53

    Hugh McGing faceoff won against Michael McCarron

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  15. 3rd·17:53

    Adam Wilsby Slashing against Aleksanteri Kaskimaki

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  16. 3rd·16:25

    Takeaway by Justin Faulk

    STL 2·NSH 7

  17. 3rd·16:16

    Robert Thomas Snap Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  18. 3rd·15:41

    Erik Haula Backhand saved by Joel Hofer

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  19. 3rd·15:17

    Giveaway by Cam Fowler

    STL 2·NSH 7

  20. 3rd·15:15

    Brayden Schenn faceoff won against Michael McCarron

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  21. 3rd·15:15

    TV Timeout

    STL 2·NSH 7

  22. 3rd·15:15

    Filip Forsberg Hooking against Robert Thomas

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  23. 3rd·14:50

    Luke Evangelista shot blocked by Cam Fowler

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  24. 3rd·14:31

    Filip Forsberg Wrist Shot saved by Joel Hofer

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  25. 3rd·13:56

    Steven Stamkos Slap Shot saved by Joel Hofer

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  26. 3rd·13:44

    Takeaway by Nick Blankenburg

    STL 2·NSH 7

  27. 3rd·12:47

    Oskar Sundqvist Wrist Shot saved by Juuse Saros

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  28. 3rd·12:43

    Pius Suter faceoff won against Steven Stamkos

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

  29. 3rd·12:43

    TV Timeout

    STL 2·NSH 7

  30. 3rd·12:43

    Cam Fowler High-sticking against Michael Bunting

    ·

    STL 2·NSH 7

Team stats

STL

Away

Stat

NSH

Home

26

Shots

32

0.0

PCT

25.0

13

PIM

11

27

Faceoffs W

25

10

Blocks

15

14

Giveaways

11

2

Takeaways

5

Betting line

NSH -1.5·O/U 5.5·STL +114/NSH -135

DraftKings · via ESPN

NHL EDGE · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 25 skaters with EDGE
  • Philip BrobergSTL · D
    BURSTS15898
  • Ryan O'ReillyNSH · C
    DIST MI265.898
  • Brady SkjeiNSH · D
    SKATE MPH23.497
  • Filip ForsbergNSH · LW
    DIST MI246.195
  • Colton ParaykoSTL · D
    BURSTS9494

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.6%

ensemble · NSH favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    33%

    weight

  • Goalie Starter

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    32%

    weight

  • Xg Blend

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NSH win)

    34%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

The receipts

Closing-line value.

0.00

CLV pp

Open price

-135

Close price

-135

Open no-vig

55.1%

Close no-vig

55.1%

Line barely moved · Graded: hit

Data via ESPN · NHL API · hockeyR