NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+30NY

53-29

144114

PHI

45-37

NBASun, May 10FinalSeriestied 2-2VegasNY -1.5

NY · top performer

Miles McBride

G · #2

23.4Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

PHI · top performer

Joel Embiid

C · #21

21.7Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowNY ↔ PHI

Biggest swing: 5pp · 1st Quarter · 10:39

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
K. TownsC · #32	20	17	5-7	2-3	5-6	+23	4	10
J. HartG · #3	29	17	6-10	4-6	1-1	+30	9	1
M. BridgesG · #25	28	12	6-10	0-2	—	+31	4	6
J. BrunsonG · #11	28	22	8-17	6-10	—	+31	4	6
M. McBrideG · #2	29	25	7-10	7-9	4-4	+33	4	0
Bench
T. Jemison IIIF · #50	--	0	—	—	—	0	0	0
J. SochanF · #20	9	5	1-1	—	3-4	-14	2	2
D. JonesF · #33	--	0	—	—	—	0	0	0
P. DadietF · #4	12	5	2-4	1-1	—	-9	3	1
M. DiawaraF · #51	9	0	0-3	0-2	—	-14	0	0
M. RobinsonC · #23	16	6	2-4	—	2-4	+14	6	0
A. HukportiC · #55	16	5	1-4	0-1	3-6	-2	4	1
J. ClarksonG · #00	8	7	2-3	—	3-4	+8	1	3
L. ShametG · #44	11	12	4-7	4-6	—	+13	0	0
J. AlvaradoG · #5	10	7	3-6	1-2	—	+13	3	1
K. McCullar Jr.G · #9	--	0	—	—	—	0	0	0
T. KolekG · #13	13	4	2-5	0-2	—	-7	3	2
Team		144	49-91	25-44	21-29		47	33

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
P. GeorgeF · #8	27	7	3-7	1-4	—	-35	1	2
J. EmbiidC · #21	28	24	8-8	2-2	6-7	-24	5	4
K. Oubre Jr.G · #9	26	10	4-6	0-1	2-3	-28	4	0
T. MaxeyG · #0	33	17	6-16	1-7	4-6	-35	2	4
V. EdgecombeG · #77	30	8	4-14	0-6	—	-33	6	7
Bench
T. WatfordF · #12	9	2	1-1	—	—	+14	0	1
M. BeauchampF · #16	--	0	—	—	—	0	0	0
J. WalkerF · #33	7	0	0-1	—	—	+12	2	0
D. TerryF · #14	12	9	3-4	1-1	2-5	+9	1	3
J. BroomeF · #22	3	7	3-5	1-3	—	+4	1	1
J. EdwardsF · #11	17	8	3-9	0-6	2-2	+3	1	1
D. BarlowF · #25	15	5	2-3	—	1-1	-3	1	1
A. DrummondC · #1	7	4	2-4	—	—	-14	4	0
A. BonaC · #30	10	7	2-2	—	3-4	+4	2	0
Q. GrimesG · #5	16	6	2-6	2-5	—	-24	0	0
T. MartinG · #23	--	0	—	—	—	0	0	0
Team		114	43-86	8-35	20-28		30	24
DNP: K. Lowry

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

Away

Stat

PHI

Home

49-91

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

43-86

FG %

25-44

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

8-35

21-29

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

20-28

Assists

Turnovers

Playoff series

NY wins series 4-0

May 5

PHI98@

NY137

May 6

PHI102@

NY108

May 8

NY108@

PHI94

May 10

NY144@

PHI114today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -1.5

Between — and 5

Total

213.5

Defensive · -12.5 vs avg

Moneyline

NY-12556%

PHI+10549%

3· 6.2h

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -1.5↗SpreadBet NY -1.5↗

Line movement · 200 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

213.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NY beat PHI 144-114. M. McBride paced them with 25 PTS, 4 REB, 0 AST. NY outscored the other side 43-24 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

PHI vs NY

Starters vs bench

production by unit

NYstarters 65% of pts

Starters(5)

93 PTS · 25 REB · 23 AST

GS 94

Bench(12)

51 PTS · 22 REB · 10 AST

GS 37

PHIstarters 58% of pts

Starters(5)

66 PTS · 18 REB · 17 AST

GS 48

Bench(11)

48 PTS · 12 REB · 7 AST

GS 37

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
NY	43	38	41	22	144
PHI	24	33	26	31	114

Period scoring

NY won 3 · PHI won 1

McBride 12

Maxey 8

Hart 11

Embiid 11

Towns 9

Edgecombe 18

Alvarado 5

Terry 9

PHI

Shooting comparison

PHI

54%

49-91

50%

43-86

57%

25-44

3PT

23%

8-35

72%

21-29

71%

20-28

Play-by-play · 480 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
NY 144·PHI 114
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
NY 144·PHI 114
Q4·14.2
Johni Broome makes 2-foot running dunk (Dalen Terry assists)
·
NY 144·PHI 114
Q4·19.2
Jeremy Sochan lost ball turnover (Dalen Terry steals)
·
NY 144·PHI 112
Q4·36.6
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
NY 144·PHI 112
Q4·40.0
Johni Broome misses 26-foot three point jumper
NY 144·PHI 112
Q4·44.7
Pacome Dadiet makes 24-foot three point jumper (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
NY 144·PHI 112
Q4·55.6
Johni Broome makes 27-foot three point jumper (Justin Edwards assists)
·
NY 141·PHI 112
Q4·1:03
Jeremy Sochan makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 141·PHI 109
Q4·1:03
Jeremy Sochan makes free throw 1 of 2
NY 140·PHI 109
Q4·1:03
Trendon Watford loose ball foul
NY 139·PHI 109
Q4·1:03
Knicks offensive team rebound
NY 139·PHI 109
Q4·1:05
Tyler Kolek misses 27-foot three point jumper
NY 139·PHI 109
Q4·1:17
Trendon Watford makes 4-foot driving floating jump shot
NY 139·PHI 109
Q4·1:25
Jeremy Sochan makes 1-foot dunk (Tyler Kolek assists)
·
NY 139·PHI 107
Q4·1:28
Pacome Dadiet defensive rebound
NY 137·PHI 107
Q4·1:32
Justin Edwards misses 27-foot running jump shot
NY 137·PHI 107
Q4·1:37
Pacome Dadiet bad pass turnover (Trendon Watford steals)
·
NY 137·PHI 107
Q4·1:49
Jabari Walker personal foul
NY 137·PHI 107
Q4·1:49
Tyler Kolek defensive rebound
NY 137·PHI 107
Q4·1:52
Johni Broome misses 27-foot three point jumper
NY 137·PHI 107
Q4·1:59
Johni Broome defensive rebound
NY 137·PHI 107
Q4·2:01
Tyler Kolek misses 17-foot step back jumpshot
NY 137·PHI 107
Q4·2:20
Johni Broome makes driving layup
NY 137·PHI 107
Q4·2:36
Jabari Walker defensive rebound
NY 137·PHI 105
Q4·2:39
Ariel Hukporti misses free throw 2 of 2
NY 137·PHI 105
Q4·2:39
Knicks offensive team rebound
NY 137·PHI 105
Q4·2:39
Ariel Hukporti misses free throw 1 of 2
NY 137·PHI 105
Q4·2:39
Knicks Full timeout
NY 137·PHI 105
Q4·2:39
Dalen Terry shooting foul
NY 137·PHI 105

Betting line

NY -1.5·O/U 213.5·NY -125/PHI +105

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ew York Knicks went into Philadelphia 76ers and beat them, 144–114. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

NY -1.5 cashed (won by 30). Total cleared the 213.5 OVER by 44.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 players in cohort

Tyrese MaxeyPHI · G
TOUCHES94.599
Joel EmbiidPHI · C
USG%34.399
Jalen BrunsonNY · G
TOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
Karl-Anthony TownsNY · C
CONT7.693

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

51.7%

ensemble · PHI favored

Elo Static
50.0%
P(PHI win)
35%
weight
Elo Recent
50.3%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Pace Efficiency
55.0%
P(PHI win)
32%
weight

Disagreement

2.27 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

85% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

PHI vs NY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

155

projections · 150 high confidence

Points

Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
Jaylen BrownPHI
26.6± 6.3high
Joel EmbiidPHI
25.3± 7.2high

Rebounds

Karl-Anthony TownsNY
10.8± 3.1high
Josh HartNY
8.4± 3.0high
Joel EmbiidPHI
8.0± 3.5high

Assists

LeBron JamesPHI
7.2± 2.6high
Jalen BrunsonNY
6.2± 3.2high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
5.9± 1.9high

Blocks

Joel EmbiidPHI
1.3± 1.4high
Adem BonaPHI
1.1± 1.3high
OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high

Steals

Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high
OG AnunobyNY
1.5± 1.3high
LeBron JamesPHI
1.3± 1.2high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

league avg

PHI

55.9%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

52.9%

48.0%

FG%

◀

47.0

46.0%

116.4

PPG

◀

114.9

114.3

27.0

Assists / G

◀

25.0

24.1

12.7

Turnovers / G

14.0

12.8

Team pages

New York KnicksPhiladelphia 76ers

Elsewhere in the NBA

Spurs109Timberwolves114Final

Data via ESPN · hoopR