NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+26NY

IND

15-54

110136

45-25

NBATue, Mar 17FinalSeriesNY wins series 3-1VegasNY -13.5

IND · top performer

Obi Toppin

F · #1

12.6Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NY · top performer

Josh Hart

G · #3

33.9Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowIND ↔ NY

Biggest swing: 5pp · 2nd Quarter · 3:11

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. WalkerF · #5	32	16	6-14	2-5	2-3	-24	5	5
I. ZubacC · #40	26	11	5-10	—	1-1	-21	7	1
T.J. McConnellG · #9	20	10	5-10	0-1	—	-12	3	10
A. NesmithG · #23	24	14	5-8	4-6	—	-14	1	0
K. BrownG · #24	31	13	5-8	3-6	—	-35	5	0
Bench
O. ToppinF · #1	18	15	6-8	3-5	—	+8	3	3
J. SlawsonF · #18	22	8	2-7	2-5	2-2	-7	1	3
J. HuffC · #32	22	6	3-8	0-4	—	-5	1	2
B. SheppardG · #26	17	7	3-3	1-1	—	-6	5	1
Q. JacksonG · #29	18	7	3-6	1-3	0-1	+1	4	5
K. JonesG · #7	10	3	1-3	1-2	—	-15	1	1
Team		110	44-85	17-38	5-7		36	31
DNP: M. Potter

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
O. AnunobyF · #8	29	26	10-13	4-5	2-2	+25	8	4
K. TownsC · #32	32	22	9-21	2-7	2-3	+20	11	2
J. HartG · #3	26	33	12-13	5-5	4-5	+18	7	5
M. BridgesG · #25	33	10	4-12	2-6	—	+28	4	5
J. AlvaradoG · #5	27	16	5-10	4-7	2-2	+21	2	10
Bench
J. SochanF · #20	5	2	1-1	—	—	+2	1	0
P. DadietF · #4	4	2	1-4	0-3	—	+1	2	1
M. DiawaraF · #51	6	0	0-2	0-1	—	+4	1	1
M. RobinsonC · #23	19	8	4-5	—	0-1	+3	8	3
J. ClarksonG · #00	20	10	5-9	0-1	—	+6	2	1
L. ShametG · #44	16	2	1-5	0-3	—	-2	1	1
K. McCullar Jr.G · #9	3	2	1-2	0-1	—	-1	2	0
T. KolekG · #13	21	3	1-3	1-2	—	+5	0	5
Team		136	54-100	18-41	10-13		49	38
DNP: D. Jones, A. Hukporti

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

IND

Away

Stat

Home

44-85

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

54-100

FG %

17-38

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

18-41

5-7

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

10-13

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

NY wins series 3-1

Dec 19

NY114@

IND113

Feb 11

IND137@

NY134

Mar 13

NY101@

IND92

Mar 17

IND110@

NY136today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -13.5

Between 10 and —

Total

222.5

Standard · -3.5 vs avg

Moneyline

IND+55015%

NY-80089%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -13.5↗SpreadBet NY -13.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

13.5

0.0 since open

Total

222.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

NY beat IND 136-110. J. Hart paced them with 33 PTS, 7 REB, 5 AST. NY outscored the other side 31-19 in the 4th quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

NY vs IND

Starters vs bench

production by unit

INDstarters 58% of pts

Starters(5)

64 PTS · 21 REB · 16 AST

GS 51

Bench(6)

46 PTS · 15 REB · 15 AST

GS 41

NYstarters 79% of pts

Starters(5)

107 PTS · 32 REB · 26 AST

GS 107

Bench(8)

29 PTS · 17 REB · 12 AST

GS 30

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
IND	34	30	27	19	110
NY	38	34	33	31	136

Period scoring

IND won 0 · NY won 4

Toppin 7

Anunoby 25

Walker 8

Hart 10

McConnell 6

Hart 14

Slawson 5

Jr. 7

IND

Shooting comparison

IND

52%

44-85

54%

54-100

45%

17-38

3PT

44%

18-41

71%

5-7

77%

10-13

Play-by-play · 443 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
IND 110·NY 136
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
IND 110·NY 136
Q4·19.5
shot clock turnover
IND 110·NY 136
Q4·42.3
Kam Jones defensive rebound
·
IND 110·NY 136
Q4·46.0
Kevin McCullar Jr. misses 25-foot three point jumper
IND 110·NY 136
Q4·48.9
Jeremy Sochan offensive rebound
IND 110·NY 136
Q4·51.5
Pacome Dadiet misses 24-foot three point jumper
IND 110·NY 136
Q4·1:00
Mohamed Diawara defensive rebound
IND 110·NY 136
Q4·1:02
Jarace Walker misses driving floating jump shot
IND 110·NY 136
Q4·1:16
Jeremy Sochan makes two point shot (Pacome Dadiet assists)
·
IND 110·NY 136
Q4·1:20
Jarace Walker bad pass turnover (Kevin McCullar Jr. steals)
·
IND 110·NY 134
Q4·1:30
Pacome Dadiet bad pass turnover (Jalen Slawson steals)
·
IND 110·NY 134
Q4·1:44
Jalen Slawson makes 26-foot three point jumper (Jarace Walker assists)
·
IND 110·NY 134
Q4·1:58
Kevin McCullar Jr. makes two point shot
IND 107·NY 134
Q4·1:58
Kevin McCullar Jr. offensive rebound
IND 107·NY 132
Q4·1:59
Pacome Dadiet misses 25-foot three point jumper
IND 107·NY 132
Q4·2:24
Jay Huff makes alley oop dunk (Jalen Slawson assists)
·
IND 107·NY 132
Q4·2:34
Kobe Brown defensive rebound
IND 105·NY 132
Q4·2:37
Pacome Dadiet misses 23-foot running jump shot
IND 105·NY 132
Q4·2:41
Kevin McCullar Jr. defensive rebound
IND 105·NY 132
Q4·2:43
Kam Jones misses driving layup
·
IND 105·NY 132
Q4·2:54
Kevin McCullar Jr. enters the game for Mikal Bridges
·
IND 105·NY 132
Q4·2:54
Pacers Full timeout
IND 105·NY 132
Q4·2:54
Tyler Kolek makes 25-foot three pointer (Mohamed Diawara assists)
·
IND 105·NY 132
Q4·3:12
Kam Jones makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jarace Walker assists)
· ·
IND 105·NY 129
Q4·3:18
Jarace Walker defensive rebound
IND 102·NY 129
Q4·3:21
Mohamed Diawara misses 24-foot three point pullup jump shot
IND 102·NY 129
Q4·3:28
Pacome Dadiet defensive rebound
IND 102·NY 129
Q4·3:30
Jalen Slawson misses 23-foot three point jumper
IND 102·NY 129
Q4·3:41
Jalen Slawson defensive goaltending violation
IND 102·NY 129

Betting line

NY -13.5·O/U 222.5·IND +550/NY -800

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ew York Knicks held off Indiana Pacers, 136–110. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

NY -13.5 cashed (won by 26). Total cleared the 222.5 OVER by 23.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Josh HartNY · G
DEFL4.198
Ivica ZubacIND · C
CONT9.298
Jay HuffIND · C
CONT8.796
OG AnunobyNY · F
CONT8.496
Karl-Anthony TownsNY · C
CONT7.693

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · IND favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NY vs IND.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

165

projections · 150 high confidence

Points

Jalen BrunsonNY
27.4± 9.6high
Pascal SiakamIND
23.8± 7.9high
OG AnunobyNY
18.6± 7.0high

Rebounds

Ivica ZubacIND
9.5± 4.1high
Josh HartNY
8.4± 3.0high
Mitchell RobinsonNY
6.7± 2.5high

Assists

Andrew NembhardIND
8.5± 4.7high
Tyrese HaliburtonIND
8.1± 4.3high
T.J. McConnellIND
6.2± 3.1high

Blocks

Jay HuffIND
1.9± 1.9high
Jalen SlawsonIND
1.0± 1.4medium
OG AnunobyNY
1.0± 1.0high

Steals

Tyrese HaliburtonIND
1.6± 1.3high
Jalen SlawsonIND
1.5± 1.7medium
Josh HartNY
1.5± 1.4high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

IND

league avg

53.3%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

55.9%

45.8%

FG%

47.0

▶

48.0%

112.4

PPG

114.9

▶

116.4

27.7

Assists / G

◀

25.0

27.0

13.8

Turnovers / G

14.0

▶

12.7

Data via ESPN · hoopR