NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+17POR

PHI

30-23

118135

POR

26-28

NBAMon, Feb 9FinalSeriesPOR leads series 1-0VegasPOR -3.5

PHI · top performer

Tyrese Maxey

G · #0

17.8Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

POR · top performer

Deni Avdija

F · #8

28.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowPHI ↔ POR

Biggest swing: 41pp · 2nd Quarter · 9:34

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
T. WatfordF · #12	25	12	5-7	0-1	2-3	-19	2	3
A. DrummondC · #1	27	11	5-8	1-2	—	-15	7	5
K. Oubre Jr.G · #9	36	19	6-13	3-5	4-4	-24	4	1
T. MaxeyG · #0	32	30	10-21	2-9	8-8	-22	1	4
V. EdgecombeG · #77	33	11	3-13	1-6	4-4	-29	6	3
Bench
M. BeauchampF · #16	20	10	3-7	1-2	3-4	+12	4	4
J. BroomeF · #22	5	0	0-2	0-1	0-2	+10	2	0
J. EdwardsF · #11	25	12	3-5	2-2	4-4	0	4	2
A. BonaC · #30	17	7	2-3	—	3-3	-14	1	0
K. LowryG · #7	18	6	1-2	1-2	3-4	+9	1	1
P. Baldwin Jr.G · #35	2	0	—	—	—	+7	1	0
Team		118	38-81	11-30	31-36		33	23
DNP: D. Barlow, J. Embiid, C. Bassey

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
J. GrantF · #9	25	15	6-13	3-9	—	+34	4	2
T. CamaraF · #33	27	30	10-12	8-10	2-2	+30	3	1
D. AvdijaF · #8	27	26	8-16	2-7	8-10	+12	10	8
D. ClinganC · #23	28	15	6-10	3-4	0-2	+20	7	3
J. HolidayG · #5	28	13	5-9	2-4	1-1	+16	7	7
Bench
R. Williams IIIC · #35	15	8	3-5	2-2	—	+5	6	2
Y. HansenC · #16	5	2	1-4	0-3	—	-8	1	0
V. KrejciG · #27	23	5	2-9	1-7	—	+1	2	3
J. CookeG · #18	5	2	1-2	0-1	—	-8	2	0
S. HendersonG · #00	20	12	2-5	0-3	8-10	+4	2	7
B. WesleyG · #1	13	4	2-6	—	—	-9	1	3
S. CissokoG · #91	19	0	0-4	0-3	—	-6	5	0
R. RupertG · #21	6	3	1-2	1-1	—	-6	1	0
Team		135	47-97	22-54	19-25		51	36
DNP: M. Thybulle, S. Sharpe

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

PHI

Away

Stat

POR

Home

38-81

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

47-97

FG %

11-30

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

22-54

31-36

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

19-25

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

POR leads series 1-0

Feb 10

PHI118@

POR135today

Mar 15

POR103@

PHI109

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

POR -3.5

Between — and 5

Total

231.5

Standard · +5.5 vs avg

Moneyline

PHI+13642%

POR-16262%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet POR -3.5↗SpreadBet POR -3.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

3.5

0.0 since open

Total

231.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

POR beat PHI 135-118. D. Avdija paced them with 26 PTS, 10 REB, 8 AST. POR outscored the other side 49-22 in the 3rd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

POR vs PHI

Starters vs bench

production by unit

PHIstarters 70% of pts

Starters(5)

83 PTS · 20 REB · 16 AST

GS 63

Bench(6)

35 PTS · 13 REB · 7 AST

GS 37

PORstarters 73% of pts

Starters(5)

99 PTS · 31 REB · 21 AST

GS 96

Bench(8)

36 PTS · 20 REB · 15 AST

GS 21

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

PHI2nd Quarter · 9:34 · 39-32

+41pp→ 74% WP

Justin Edwards · makes free throw 1 of 2

POR1st Quarter · 0.3 · 31-29

+22pp→ 44% WP

Andre Drummond · misses 2-foot tip shot

PHI2nd Quarter · 5:31 · 53-43

+10pp→ 78% WP

VJ Edgecombe · out of bounds lost ball turnover

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
PHI	31	34	22	31	118
POR	29	35	49	22	135

Period scoring

PHI won 2 · POR won 2

Maxey 14

Camara 11

Jr. 9

III 14

Maxey 7

Camara 13

Beauchamp 8

Holiday 5

PHI

POR

Shooting comparison

PHI

POR

47%

38-81

48%

47-97

37%

11-30

3PT

41%

22-54

86%

31-36

76%

19-25

Play-by-play · 508 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
PHI 118·POR 135
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
PHI 118·POR 135
Q4·14.0
MarJon Beauchamp makes 2-foot running dunk
PHI 118·POR 135
Q4·18.1
Javonte Cooke lost ball turnover (MarJon Beauchamp steals)
·
PHI 116·POR 135
Q4·38.2
Javonte Cooke defensive rebound
PHI 116·POR 135
Q4·40.2
Johni Broome misses free throw 2 of 2
PHI 116·POR 135
Q4·40.2
76ers offensive team rebound
PHI 116·POR 135
Q4·40.2
Johni Broome misses free throw 1 of 2
PHI 116·POR 135
Q4·40.2
Yang Hansen shooting foul
PHI 116·POR 135
Q4·44.6
Yang Hansen traveling turnover
PHI 116·POR 135
Q4·1:07
Kyle Lowry makes 27-foot running jump shot (Justin Edwards assists)
·
PHI 116·POR 135
Q4·1:13
Johni Broome defensive rebound
PHI 113·POR 135
Q4·1:15
Johni Broome blocks Blake Wesley 's 5-foot two point shot
·
PHI 113·POR 135
Q4·1:31
Rayan Rupert defensive rebound
PHI 113·POR 135
Q4·1:33
MarJon Beauchamp misses running pullup jump shot
PHI 113·POR 135
Q4·1:36
Patrick Baldwin Jr. defensive rebound
PHI 113·POR 135
Q4·1:41
Javonte Cooke misses 23-foot three point jumper
PHI 113·POR 135
Q4·1:56
MarJon Beauchamp makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 113·POR 135
Q4·1:56
MarJon Beauchamp makes free throw 1 of 2
PHI 112·POR 135
Q4·1:56
Sidy Cissoko shooting foul
PHI 111·POR 135
Q4·2:00
MarJon Beauchamp defensive rebound
PHI 111·POR 135
Q4·2:02
Yang Hansen misses 23-foot three point jumper
PHI 111·POR 135
Q4·2:20
MarJon Beauchamp makes free throw 2 of 2
PHI 111·POR 135
Q4·2:20
76ers offensive team rebound
PHI 110·POR 135
Q4·2:20
MarJon Beauchamp misses free throw 1 of 2
PHI 110·POR 135
Q4·2:20
Patrick Baldwin Jr. enters the game for Trendon Watford
·
PHI 110·POR 135
Q4·2:20
(02:20) [Trail Blazers] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL STANDS) [Trail Blazers] charged with a timeout
PHI 110·POR 135
Q4·2:20
Trail Blazers Full timeout
PHI 110·POR 135
Q4·2:20
Yang Hansen shooting foul
PHI 110·POR 135
Q4·2:25
MarJon Beauchamp defensive rebound
PHI 110·POR 135

Betting line

POR -3.5·O/U 231.5·PHI +136/POR -162

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

ortland Trail Blazers held off Philadelphia 76ers, 135–118.

POR -3.5 cashed (won by 17). Total cleared the 231.5 OVER by 21.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 players in cohort

Deni AvdijaPOR · F
DRIVES20.899+
Tyrese MaxeyPHI · G
TOUCHES94.599
Robert Williams IIIPOR · C
TS%72.299
Jrue HolidayPOR · G
TOUCHES84.698
Donovan ClinganPOR · C
CONT7.694

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · PHI favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(POR win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(POR win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(POR win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

POR vs PHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

175

projections · 155 high confidence

Points

Joel EmbiidPHI
25.3± 7.2high
Deni AvdijaPOR
25.3± 7.7high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
25.0± 6.5high

Rebounds

Donovan ClinganPOR
10.3± 2.7high
Joel EmbiidPHI
8.0± 3.5high
Robert Williams IIIPOR
7.4± 1.6high

Assists

Ja MorantPOR
8.1± 3.9high
Deni AvdijaPOR
6.3± 3.2high
Jrue HolidayPOR
6.3± 3.0high

Blocks

Donovan ClinganPOR
1.5± 1.2high
Joel EmbiidPHI
1.3± 1.4high
Adem BonaPHI
1.1± 1.3high

Steals

Matisse ThybullePOR
1.7± 1.8high
Paul GeorgePHI
1.5± 1.1high
Toumani CamaraPOR
1.4± 1.4high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

PHI

league avg

POR

52.9%

Effective FG%

54.4

53.0%

46.0%

FG%

◀

47.0

45.1%

114.3

PPG

114.9

114.6

24.1

Assists / G

25.0

▶

25.0

12.8

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

16.2

Data via ESPN · hoopR