NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+8BKN

CHI

24-30

115123

BKN

15-37

NBAMon, Feb 9FinalSeriesBKN wins series 3-1VegasCHI -3.5

CHI · top performer

Anfernee Simons

G · #22

16.2Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

BKN · top performer

Nic Claxton

C · #33

26.5Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowCHI ↔ BKN

Biggest swing: 15pp · 4th Quarter · 6:49

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
G. YabuseleF · #28	22	3	1-3	1-3	—	-17	2	1
I. OkoroF · #35	36	10	3-7	0-2	4-4	-25	4	4
M. BuzelisF · #14	26	18	5-15	3-7	5-6	-17	4	1
A. SimonsG · #22	34	23	10-17	2-9	1-1	-19	3	7
J. IveyG · #31	24	13	3-8	2-6	5-6	+9	6	3
Bench
P. WilliamsF · #44	18	7	3-6	1-3	0-1	+7	2	1
N. RichardsC · #13	26	12	4-7	0-1	4-6	+9	6	1
C. SextonG · #2	32	21	7-18	1-4	6-8	+6	5	1
R. DillinghamG · #7	22	8	4-10	0-1	—	+7	7	1
Team		115	40-91	10-36	25-32		39	20
DNP: L. Miller, T. Jones, Olbrich

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
N. ClowneyF · #21	28	22	7-11	4-6	4-5	+14	6	0
D. WolfF · #2	26	13	5-7	2-2	1-2	+15	6	2
N. ClaxtonC · #33	32	28	12-15	1-1	3-6	+17	10	4
T. MannG · #14	26	9	3-6	2-2	1-2	+15	1	3
N. TraoreG · #88	32	13	5-11	0-2	3-4	+17	3	13
Bench
J. WilsonF · #22	20	4	1-5	0-2	2-2	-6	4	1
Z. WilliamsF · #1	25	11	5-11	1-4	—	-5	5	2
D. SharpeC · #20	16	6	2-8	0-1	2-4	-9	7	0
D. PowellG · #4	23	14	4-8	2-5	4-4	-7	5	0
B. SarafG · #77	13	3	1-6	—	1-2	-11	0	3
Team		123	45-88	12-25	21-31		47	28
DNP: J. Minott, O. Agbaji

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

BKN

Home

40-91

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

45-88

FG %

10-36

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

12-25

25-32

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

21-31

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

BKN wins series 3-1

Dec 4

BKN113@

CHI103

Jan 17

CHI109@

BKN112

Jan 19

BKN102@

CHI124

Feb 10

CHI115@

BKN123today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CHI -3.5

Between — and 5

Total

218.5

Defensive · -7.5 vs avg

Moneyline

CHI-15561%

BKN+13043%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CHI -3.5↗SpreadBet CHI -3.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

3.5

0.0 since open

Total

218.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BKN beat CHI 123-115. N. Claxton paced them with 28 PTS, 10 REB, 4 AST. BKN outscored the other side 33-23 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

BKN vs CHI

Starters vs bench

production by unit

CHIstarters 58% of pts

Starters(5)

67 PTS · 19 REB · 16 AST

GS 55

Bench(4)

48 PTS · 20 REB · 4 AST

GS 32

BKNstarters 69% of pts

Starters(5)

85 PTS · 26 REB · 22 AST

GS 80

Bench(5)

38 PTS · 21 REB · 6 AST

GS 20

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

CHI4th Quarter · 10:34 · 91-91

+11pp→ 61% WP

Nic Claxton · shooting foul

BKN4th Quarter · 6:49 · 99-103

+15pp→ 74% WP

Anfernee Simons · bad pass turnover (Ziaire Williams steals)

BKN4th Quarter · 2:55 · 107-114

+11pp→ 96% WP

Nic Claxton · makes free throw 1 of 2

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
CHI	31	23	35	26	115
BKN	27	33	29	34	123

Period scoring

CHI won 2 · BKN won 2

Sexton 12

Clowney 12

Simons 7

Claxton 12

Buzelis 10

Clowney 6

Simons 8

Claxton 8

CHI

BKN

Shooting comparison

CHI

BKN

44%

40-91

51%

45-88

28%

10-36

3PT

48%

12-25

78%

25-32

68%

21-31

Play-by-play · 511 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 115·BKN 123
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 115·BKN 123
Q4·8.2
Isaac Okoro makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot (Anfernee Simons assists)
·
CHI 115·BKN 123
Q4·16.8
Nic Claxton makes dunk (Nolan Traore assists)
·
CHI 113·BKN 123
Q4·25.0
Collin Sexton makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 113·BKN 121
+0.6pp
Q4·25.0
Collin Sexton makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 112·BKN 121
Q4·25.0
Nolan Traore personal foul
CHI 111·BKN 121
−0.6pp
Q4·25.0
Collin Sexton offensive rebound
CHI 111·BKN 121
Q4·25.5
Matas Buzelis misses driving layup
CHI 111·BKN 121
Q4·32.5
Noah Clowney makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 111·BKN 121
Q4·32.5
Noah Clowney makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 111·BKN 120
Q4·32.5
Collin Sexton personal foul
CHI 111·BKN 119
Q4·36.2
Danny Wolf defensive rebound
CHI 111·BKN 119
Q4·39.2
Collin Sexton misses driving layup
CHI 111·BKN 119
+0.9pp
Q4·43.0
Isaac Okoro offensive rebound
CHI 111·BKN 119
−0.7pp
Q4·47.6
Matas Buzelis misses 24-foot three point pullup jump shot
CHI 111·BKN 119
+1pp
Q4·52.8
Bulls Full timeout
CHI 111·BKN 119
Q4·52.8
Nolan Traore makes driving layup
CHI 111·BKN 119
+3pp
Q4·1:14
Collin Sexton makes driving layup
CHI 111·BKN 117
−2pp
Q4·1:21
shot clock turnover
CHI 109·BKN 117
−2pp
Q4·1:21
Nets offensive team rebound
CHI 109·BKN 117
+1pp
Q4·1:22
Nolan Traore misses 25-foot three point jumper
CHI 109·BKN 117
−0.6pp
Q4·1:45
Matas Buzelis makes 3-foot two point shot (Anfernee Simons assists)
·
CHI 109·BKN 117
−0.7pp
Q4·1:57
Nic Claxton makes tip shot
CHI 107·BKN 117
+1pp
Q4·1:57
Nic Claxton offensive rebound
CHI 107·BKN 115
+1pp
Q4·1:57
Noah Clowney misses driving layup
CHI 107·BKN 115
−0.9pp
Q4·2:15
Anfernee Simons out of bounds bad pass turnover
CHI 107·BKN 115
+2pp
Q4·2:19
Anfernee Simons defensive rebound
CHI 107·BKN 115
Q4·2:23
Nic Claxton misses driving floating jump shot
CHI 107·BKN 115
−1pp
Q4·2:39
Noah Clowney defensive rebound
CHI 107·BKN 115
+0.6pp

Betting line

CHI -3.5·O/U 218.5·CHI -155/BKN +130

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

rooklyn Nets held off Chicago Bulls, 123–115.

BKN +3.5 cashed (CHI lost outright). Total cleared the 218.5 OVER by 19.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Ziaire WilliamsBKN · F
DEFL3.295
Matas BuzelisCHI · F
CONT7.995
Nic ClaxtonCHI · C
CONT7.392
Day'Ron SharpeBKN · C
TS%63.890
Noah ClowneyBKN · F
CONT6.388

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · CHI favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

BKN vs CHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

155

projections · 130 high confidence

Points

Michael Porter Jr.BKN
22.7± 6.2high
Norman PowellCHI
18.4± 5.3high
Tre JonesCHI
17.5± 7.4high

Rebounds

Josh GiddeyCHI
8.1± 4.3high
Julius RandleBKN
7.2± 2.1high
Michael Porter Jr.BKN
6.9± 5.2high

Assists

Josh GiddeyCHI
9.9± 4.4high
Tre JonesCHI
5.2± 2.9high
Ben SarafBKN
3.7± 1.9high

Blocks

Matas BuzelisCHI
1.5± 1.4high
Josh MinottBKN
0.9± 1.2high
Jalen SmithCHI
0.9± 1.0high

Steals

Josh MinottBKN
1.3± 1.0high
Trevon ScottBKN
1.3± 1.8low
Day'Ron SharpeBKN
1.1± 0.9high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

CHI

league avg

BKN

54.7%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

52.0%

46.9%

FG%

◀

47.0

44.3%

116.3

PPG

◀

114.9

105.9

28.5

Assists / G

◀

25.0

14.6

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

15.0

Data via ESPN · hoopR