LAL
29-19
NY
31-18
LAL · top performer
Luka Doncic
G · #77
30
Pts
15
Reb
8
Ast
NY · top performer
OG Anunoby
F · #8
25
Pts
8
Reb
3
Ast
Biggest swing: 8pp · 3rd Quarter · 3:45
NBA · Los Angeles Lakers at New York Knicks · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 35 | 22 | 9-15 | 2-6 | 2-6 | -17 | 5 | 6 | |
| 23 | 5 | 2-7 | 1-6 | — | -19 | 2 | 2 | |
| 32 | 13 | 6-6 | — | 1-1 | -12 | 5 | 1 | |
| 30 | 7 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | -19 | 0 | 3 | |
| 37 | 30 | 10-23 | 5-14 | 5-6 | -13 | 15 | 8 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 1 | 1 | — | — | 1-2 | +1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 29 | 11 | 5-11 | 1-5 | — | -1 | 3 | 1 | |
| 20 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | +8 | 2 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | +1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | — | — | — | +1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 2 | 1-2 | — | — | +2 | 2 | 0 | |
| 18 | 8 | 3-5 | 2-4 | — | +7 | 1 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | +1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 100 | 38-84 | 12-42 | 12-19 | 36 | 21 | ||
| DNP: A. Reaves | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 34 | 25 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 3-4 | +21 | 8 | 3 | |
| 32 | 11 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | +23 | 13 | 4 | |
| 36 | 20 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 1-1 | +7 | 4 | 2 | |
| 30 | 10 | 5-12 | 0-6 | — | +3 | 0 | 2 | |
| 37 | 12 | 4-15 | 2-6 | 2-2 | +11 | 7 | 13 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 1 | 0 | — | — | — | -1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | -1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | — | -4 | 0 | 0 | |
| 23 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0-1 | — | — | -1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 26 | 23 | 8-13 | 6-10 | 1-2 | -1 | 3 | 1 | |
| 14 | 8 | 3-10 | 2-6 | — | +3 | 2 | 4 | |
| Team | 112 | 43-91 | 18-42 | 8-11 | 46 | 30 | ||
| DNP: G. Yabusele, J. Clarkson | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
45
FG %
47
21
Ast
30
Team stats
LAL
Away
Stat
NY
Home
38-84
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
43-91
45
FG %
47
12-42
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
18-42
12-19
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
8-11
21
Assists
30
10
Turnovers
7
Season series
NY leads series 1-0
LAL100@NY112todayNY97@LAL110Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
NY -5.5
Half-pt above key 5
Total
227.5
Standard · +1.5 vs avg
Moneyline
LAL+18535%NY-22569%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 6 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
5.5
0.0 since open
Total
227.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
NY beat LAL 112-100. O. Anunoby paced them with 25 PTS, 8 REB, 3 AST. NY outscored the other side 38-26 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
NY vs LAL
Starters vs bench
production by unitLALstarters 77% of ptsStarters(5)
77 PTS · 27 REB · 20 AST
GS 62
Bench(8)
23 PTS · 9 REB · 1 AST
GS 12
NYstarters 70% of ptsStarters(5)
78 PTS · 32 REB · 24 AST
GS 74
Bench(7)
34 PTS · 14 REB · 6 AST
GS 26
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactJake LaRavia · makes 26-foot three point jumper (Luka Doncic assists)
Luka Doncic · makes 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
Landry Shamet · makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jalen Brunson assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAL | 33 | 23 | 26 | 18 | 100 |
| NY | 27 | 25 | 38 | 22 | 112 |
Period scoring
LAL won 1 · NY won 3
Q1
Doncic 10
Anunoby 11
Q2
Doncic 8
Kolek 8
Q3
Doncic 9
Anunoby 10
Q4
James 5
Shamet 9
Shooting comparison
45%
38-84
FG
47%
43-91
29%
12-42
3PT
43%
18-42
63%
12-19
FT
73%
8-11
Play-by-play · 451 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
LAL 100·NY 112
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
LAL 100·NY 112
- Q4·0.9
Trey Jemison III defensive rebound
LAL 100·NY 112
- Q4·0.9
Nick Smith Jr. misses 17-foot pullup jump shot
LAL 100·NY 112
- Q4·14.5
Maxi Kleber defensive rebound
LAL 100·NY 112
- Q4·17.2
Dillon Jones misses 12-foot step back jumpshot
LAL 100·NY 112
- Q4·26.6
Trey Jemison III offensive rebound
LAL 100·NY 112
- Q4·29.7
Ariel Hukporti misses 5-foot two point shot
LAL 100·NY 112
- Q4·41.0
Maxi Kleber makes free throw 2 of 2
LAL 100·NY 112
- Q4·41.0
Lakers offensive team rebound
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·41.0
Maxi Kleber misses free throw 1 of 2
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·41.0
Ariel Hukporti shooting foul
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·47.3
Dillon Jones enters the game for Mikal Bridges
·
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·47.3
Trey Jemison III enters the game for OG Anunoby
·
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·47.3
Mohamed Diawara enters the game for Josh Hart
·
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·47.3
Tyler Kolek enters the game for Jalen Brunson
·
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·47.3
Ariel Hukporti enters the game for Landry Shamet
·
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·47.3
Lakers offensive team rebound
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·48.2
Drew Timme misses 14-foot two point shot
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·59.3
Drew Timme enters the game for Rui Hachimura
·
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·59.3
Maxi Kleber enters the game for Marcus Smart
·
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·59.3
Nick Smith Jr. enters the game for LeBron James
·
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·59.3
Dalton Knecht enters the game for Luka Doncic
·
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·59.3
Mikal Bridges enters the game for Mitchell Robinson
·
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·59.3
Lakers Full timeout
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·59.3
Landry Shamet makes 26-foot three point jumper (OG Anunoby assists)
·
LAL 99·NY 112
- Q4·1:20
LeBron James makes driving dunk (Luka Doncic assists)
·
LAL 99·NY 109
- Q4·1:33
Landry Shamet makes 23-foot three point jumper (Mitchell Robinson assists)
·
LAL 97·NY 109
- Q4·1:34
Mitchell Robinson offensive rebound
LAL 97·NY 106
+0.9pp
- Q4·1:37
Josh Hart misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
LAL 97·NY 106
−0.6pp
Betting line
NY -5.5·O/U 227.5·LAL +185/NY -225
Recap · NBA
ew York Knicks held off Los Angeles Lakers, 112–100.
NY -5.5 cashed (won by 12). Total stayed UNDER 227.5 by 15.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 15 players in cohort- Luka DoncicLAL · GUSG%37.399+
Deandre AytonLAL · CCONT10.399
Jalen BrunsonNY · GTOUCHES89.699
Josh HartNY · GDEFL4.198
LeBron JamesLAL · FTOUCHES78.997
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · LAL favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
NY vs LAL.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
160
projections · 140 high confidence
Points
- Luka DoncicLAL35.3± 12.2high
- Jalen BrunsonNY27.4± 9.6high
- Austin ReavesLAL21.0± 6.8high
Rebounds
- Karl-Anthony TownsNY10.8± 3.1high
- Walker KesslerLAL10.7± 2.2low
- Deandre AytonLAL9.1± 4.7high
Assists
- Luka DoncicLAL7.6± 3.5high
- Jalen BrunsonNY6.2± 3.2high
- Austin ReavesLAL5.4± 2.6high
Blocks
- Walker KesslerLAL1.8± 2.5low
- OG AnunobyNY1.0± 1.0high
- Deandre AytonLAL0.9± 0.6high
Steals
- Luka DoncicLAL2.0± 1.4high
- Collin SextonLAL1.6± 1.3high
- Walker KesslerLAL1.5± 1.4low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
LAL
league avg
NY
57.0%
Effective FG%
54.4
55.9%
49.9%
FG%
47.0
48.0%
114.8
PPG
114.9
▶116.4
25.7
Assists / G
25.0
▶27.0
14.1
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶12.7