NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+6PHX

PHX

27-17

116110

PHI

23-19

NBATue, Jan 20FinalSeriesPHX leads series 1-0VegasPHX -2.5

PHX · top performer

Grayson Allen

G · #8

17.4Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

PHI · top performer

VJ Edgecombe

G · #77

15.4Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowPHX ↔ PHI

Biggest swing: 45pp · 3rd Quarter · 6.2

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
R. O'NealeF · #00	24	9	3-7	3-7	—	-5	3	2
D. BrooksF · #3	30	6	2-13	0-3	2-2	-7	5	1
M. WilliamsC · #15	18	4	2-3	—	—	-3	9	0
D. BookerG · #1	34	27	9-23	2-5	7-7	-10	3	4
C. GillespieG · #12	28	12	3-6	3-6	3-3	+7	4	4
Bench
O. IghodaroF · #11	29	12	5-7	—	2-2	+10	5	3
R. DunnF · #0	9	2	1-2	0-1	—	+8	1	0
G. AllenG · #8	29	16	5-11	4-9	2-2	+11	5	6
J. GoodwinG · #23	20	16	6-9	2-4	2-2	+9	5	2
J. GreenG · #4	20	12	4-11	2-4	2-2	+10	2	3
Team		116	40-92	16-39	20-20		42	25
DNP: N. Hayes-Davis, R. Fleming, N. Richards, K. Maluach

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
D. BarlowF · #25	28	8	3-6	0-2	2-2	-4	5	2
A. DrummondC · #1	22	8	4-10	0-2	—	-2	15	1
K. Oubre Jr.G · #9	34	21	6-15	5-10	4-6	+13	4	1
T. MaxeyG · #0	43	20	7-25	2-8	4-5	+3	2	7
V. EdgecombeG · #77	37	25	10-21	2-7	3-4	+5	7	1
Bench
T. WatfordF · #12	6	0	0-1	—	—	-10	0	1
J. WalkerF · #33	6	0	0-1	0-1	—	-3	1	0
J. EdwardsF · #11	12	5	2-2	1-1	—	-17	1	2
A. BonaC · #30	26	11	4-5	—	3-4	-4	10	0
Q. GrimesG · #5	27	12	3-7	1-3	5-6	-11	4	5
Team		110	39-93	11-34	21-27		49	20
DNP: P. George, J. Broome, K. Lowry, E. Gordon, J. McCain

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

PHX

Away

Stat

PHI

Home

40-92

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

39-93

FG %

16-39

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

11-34

20-20

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

21-27

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

PHX leads series 1-0

Jan 21

PHX116@

PHI110today

Feb 8

PHI109@

PHX103

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

PHX -2.5

Between — and 5

Total

222.5

Standard · -3.5 vs avg

Moneyline

PHX-14259%

PHI+12045%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet PHX -2.5↗SpreadBet PHX -2.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

2.5

0.0 since open

Total

222.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

PHX beat PHI 116-110. G. Allen led with 16 PTS, 5 REB, 6 AST. PHX outscored the other side 40-31 in the 3rd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

PHI vs PHX

Starters vs bench

production by unit

PHXstarters 50% of pts

Starters(5)

58 PTS · 24 REB · 11 AST

GS 29

Bench(5)

58 PTS · 18 REB · 14 AST

GS 51

PHIstarters 75% of pts

Starters(5)

82 PTS · 33 REB · 12 AST

GS 56

Bench(5)

28 PTS · 16 REB · 8 AST

GS 26

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

PHX3rd Quarter · 4:37 · 80-74

+9pp→ 77% WP

Adem Bona · offensive foul

PHX3rd Quarter · 1:52 · 88-82

+8pp→ 75% WP

Jordan Goodwin · makes 22-foot three point jumper (Jalen Green assists)

PHX3rd Quarter · 6.2 · 95-84

+45pp→ 95% WP

Tyrese Maxey · enters the game for Justin Edwards

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
PHX	27	30	40	19	116
PHI	30	23	31	26	110

Period scoring

PHX won 2 · PHI won 2

Booker 9

Jr. 11

Gillespie 6

Barlow 7

Booker 12

Maxey 21

Goodwin 5

Maxey 11

PHX

PHI

Shooting comparison

PHX

PHI

43%

40-92

42%

39-93

41%

16-39

3PT

32%

11-34

100%

20-20

78%

21-27

Play-by-play · 515 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
PHX 116·PHI 110
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
PHX 116·PHI 110
−0.7pp
Q4·12.8
Jordan Goodwin defensive rebound
PHX 116·PHI 110
−0.8pp
Q4·17.1
Quentin Grimes misses driving layup
PHX 116·PHI 110
−2pp
Q4·20.6
Royce O'Neale enters the game for Jalen Green
·
PHX 116·PHI 110
Q4·20.6
Jordan Goodwin enters the game for Mark Williams
·
PHX 116·PHI 110
Q4·20.6
Jalen Green traveling turnover
PHX 116·PHI 110
+2pp
Q4·23.9
Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 3 of 3
PHX 116·PHI 110
−2pp
Q4·23.9
Mark Williams enters the game for Collin Gillespie
·
PHX 116·PHI 109
Q4·23.9
Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 2 of 3
PHX 116·PHI 109
+2pp
Q4·23.9
Tyrese Maxey makes free throw 1 of 3
PHX 116·PHI 108
Q4·23.9
Collin Gillespie shooting foul
PHX 116·PHI 107
+0.9pp
Q4·29.6
Dillon Brooks makes free throw 2 of 2
PHX 116·PHI 107
Q4·29.6
Dillon Brooks makes free throw 1 of 2
PHX 115·PHI 107
Q4·29.6
Kelly Oubre Jr. personal foul
PHX 114·PHI 107
−2pp
Q4·29.6
(00:29.6) [76ers] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL OVERTURNED) [76ers] retain their timeout
PHX 114·PHI 107
Q4·29.6
76ers Full timeout
PHX 114·PHI 107
+1pp
Q4·37.4
Collin Gillespie defensive rebound
PHX 114·PHI 107
−0.5pp
Q4·39.7
Tyrese Maxey misses two point shot
PHX 114·PHI 107
−2pp
Q4·45.3
Devin Booker lost ball turnover (Tyrese Maxey steals)
·
PHX 114·PHI 107
+2pp
Q4·53.0
Collin Gillespie enters the game for Oso Ighodaro
·
PHX 114·PHI 107
Q4·53.0
Suns Full timeout
PHX 114·PHI 107
Q4·53.0
Suns defensive team rebound
PHX 114·PHI 107
−0.6pp
Q4·54.4
VJ Edgecombe misses 29-foot three point pullup jump shot
PHX 114·PHI 107
−2pp
Q4·57.5
Jalen Green out of bounds lost ball turnover
PHX 114·PHI 107
+3pp
Q4·1:00
Quentin Grimes personal foul
PHX 114·PHI 107
−4pp
Q4·1:04
76ers offensive team rebound
PHX 114·PHI 107
+2pp
Q4·1:04
Adem Bona makes free throw 2 of 2
PHX 114·PHI 107
−2pp
Q4·1:04
Adem Bona misses free throw 1 of 2
PHX 114·PHI 106
Q4·1:04
Oso Ighodaro shooting foul
PHX 114·PHI 106
+2pp

Betting line

PHX -2.5·O/U 222.5·PHX -142/PHI +120

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

hoenix Suns went into Philadelphia 76ers and beat them, 116–110.

PHX -2.5 cashed (won by 6). Total cleared the 222.5 OVER by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 13 players in cohort

Tyrese MaxeyPHI · G
TOUCHES94.599
Devin BookerPHX · G
USG%31.397
Mark WilliamsPHX · C
CONT8.496
Dillon BrooksPHX · F
USG%28.694
Oso IghodaroPHX · F
CONT792

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · PHX favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(PHI win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

PHI vs PHX.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

170

projections · 140 high confidence

Points

Jaylen BrownPHI
26.6± 6.3high
Joel EmbiidPHI
25.3± 7.2high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
25.0± 6.5high

Rebounds

Joel EmbiidPHI
8.0± 3.5high
Jaylen BrownPHI
6.1± 2.6high
VJ EdgecombePHI
6.1± 2.7high

Assists

Tyrese MaxeyPHI
5.9± 1.9high
Devin BookerPHX
5.8± 2.3high
Joel EmbiidPHI
4.6± 2.6high

Blocks

Joel EmbiidPHI
1.3± 1.4high
Adem BonaPHI
1.1± 1.3high
Oso IghodaroPHX
0.8± 0.7high

Steals

Jordan GoodwinPHX
1.8± 2.1high
Tyrese MaxeyPHI
1.2± 0.9high
Jalen GreenPHX
1.2± 1.3high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

PHX

league avg

PHI

53.7%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

52.9%

45.5%

FG%

47.0

▶

46.0%

112.2

PPG

114.9

▶

114.3

24.5

Assists / G

◀

25.0

24.1

13.6

Turnovers / G

14.0

▶

12.8

Data via ESPN · hoopR