NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+3BKN

CHI

19-22

109112

BKN

12-27

NBAFri, Jan 16FinalSeriesBKN leads series 2-0VegasBKN -1.5

CHI · top performer

Nikola Vucevic

C · #9

18.1Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

BKN · top performer

Michael Porter Jr.

F · #17

18.5Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowCHI ↔ BKN

Biggest swing: 50pp · 4th Quarter · 5.4

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
I. OkoroF · #35	32	6	2-3	0-1	2-2	0	2	5
M. BuzelisF · #14	32	15	4-15	2-7	5-6	+7	6	3
N. VucevicC · #9	33	19	9-14	1-3	—	+8	6	5
T. JonesG · #30	30	11	5-9	1-1	—	-6	5	5
C. WhiteG · #0	33	17	7-15	2-7	1-3	-5	4	4
Bench
J. SmithF · #25	35	14	4-11	4-10	2-2	-5	13	4
P. WilliamsF · #44	12	7	2-3	1-2	2-2	0	3	1
D. TerryF · #7	3	0	—	—	—	-2	0	0
K. HuerterG · #13	10	2	1-3	0-2	—	-12	1	0
A. DosunmuG · #11	20	18	7-13	0-2	4-5	0	1	1
Team		109	41-86	11-35	16-20		41	28
DNP: J. Phillips, J. Carter

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
M. Porter Jr.F · #17	32	26	9-17	5-10	3-3	+4	7	1
N. ClowneyF · #21	28	23	7-17	4-7	5-6	+8	11	1
N. ClaxtonC · #33	29	7	3-5	—	1-2	+7	14	5
D. PowellG · #4	24	3	1-7	1-4	—	+1	0	3
E. DeminG · #8	19	5	1-4	1-4	2-2	+11	0	2
Bench
D. WolfF · #2	19	13	5-8	3-4	—	-5	4	4
D. SharpeC · #20	19	14	6-8	—	2-2	-4	6	3
T. MannG · #14	17	5	2-5	1-2	—	+1	2	0
C. ThomasG · #24	25	8	3-13	2-5	—	+4	1	4
N. TraoreG · #88	28	8	2-7	2-4	2-2	-12	2	7
Team		112	39-91	19-40	15-17		47	30
DNP: J. Wilson, T. Martin

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

CHI

Away

Stat

BKN

Home

41-86

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

39-91

FG %

11-35

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

19-40

16-20

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

15-17

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

BKN leads series 2-0

Dec 4

BKN113@

CHI103

Jan 17

CHI109@

BKN112today

Jan 19

BKN102@

CHI124

Feb 10

CHI115@

BKN123

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

BKN -1.5

Between — and 5

Total

224.5

Standard · -1.5 vs avg

Moneyline

CHI-10551%

BKN-11553%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet BKN -1.5↗SpreadBet BKN -1.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

0.0 since open

Total

224.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

BKN beat CHI 112-109. M. Porter Jr. paced them with 26 PTS, 7 REB, 1 AST. CHI outscored the other side 37-23 in the 4th quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

BKN vs CHI

Starters vs bench

production by unit

CHIstarters 62% of pts

Starters(5)

68 PTS · 23 REB · 22 AST

GS 64

Bench(5)

41 PTS · 18 REB · 6 AST

GS 37

BKNstarters 57% of pts

Starters(5)

64 PTS · 32 REB · 12 AST

GS 50

Bench(5)

48 PTS · 15 REB · 18 AST

GS 42

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

BKN4th Quarter · 1:48 · 100-105

+13pp→ 87% WP

Michael Porter Jr. · makes 25-foot running jump shot (Noah Clowney assists)

CHI4th Quarter · 11.4 · 109-108

+34pp→ 67% WP

Tre Jones · makes running layup (Isaac Okoro assists)

BKN4th Quarter · 5.4 · 109-110

+50pp→ 83% WP

Michael Porter Jr. · makes driving layup (Nolan Traore assists)

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
CHI	23	17	32	37	109
BKN	27	30	32	23	112

Period scoring

CHI won 1 · BKN won 2

Vucevic 8

Jr. 5

Vucevic 5

Clowney 10

White 8

Wolf 7

Smith 12

Jr. 12

CHI

BKN

Shooting comparison

CHI

BKN

48%

41-86

43%

39-91

31%

11-35

3PT

48%

19-40

80%

16-20

88%

15-17

Play-by-play · 456 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 109·BKN 112
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 109·BKN 112
Q4·0.0
Bulls offensive team rebound
CHI 109·BKN 112
Q4·0.0
Nikola Vucevic misses 34-foot three point pullup jump shot
CHI 109·BKN 112
+4pp
Q4·2.5
Noah Clowney makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 109·BKN 112
−1pp
Q4·2.5
Ayo Dosunmu enters the game for Isaac Okoro
·
CHI 109·BKN 111
Q4·2.5
Terance Mann enters the game for Michael Porter Jr.
·
CHI 109·BKN 111
Q4·2.5
Noah Clowney makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 109·BKN 111
Q4·2.5
Tre Jones personal take foul
CHI 109·BKN 110
+0.8pp
Q4·3.2
Michael Porter Jr. enters the game for Terance Mann
·
CHI 109·BKN 110
Q4·3.2
Coby White personal take foul
CHI 109·BKN 110
+4pp
Q4·4.1
Tre Jones bad pass turnover (Drake Powell steals)BIG MOMENT
·
CHI 109·BKN 110
+9pp
Q4·5.4
Danny Wolf enters the game for Nolan Traore
·
CHI 109·BKN 110
Q4·5.4
Bulls Full timeout
CHI 109·BKN 110
Q4·5.4
Terance Mann enters the game for Michael Porter Jr.
·
CHI 109·BKN 110
Q4·5.4
Bulls Full timeout
CHI 109·BKN 110
Q4·5.4
Michael Porter Jr. makes driving layup (Nolan Traore assists)BIG MOMENT
·
CHI 109·BKN 110
+50pp
Q4·11.4
Matas Buzelis enters the game for Jalen Smith
·
CHI 109·BKN 108
Q4·11.4
Nets Full timeout
CHI 109·BKN 108
Q4·11.4
Tre Jones makes running layup (Isaac Okoro assists)BIG MOMENT
·
CHI 109·BKN 108
−34pp
Q4·11.4
Isaac Okoro defensive rebound
CHI 107·BKN 108
−0.9pp
Q4·14.0
Nikola Vucevic blocks Drake Powell 's 11-foot pullup jump shot
·
CHI 107·BKN 108
−2pp
Q4·30.7
Isaac Okoro makes 1-foot running dunkBIG MOMENT
CHI 107·BKN 108
−9pp
Q4·33.2
Nolan Traore bad pass turnover (Isaac Okoro steals)BIG MOMENT
·
CHI 105·BKN 108
−7pp
Q4·54.0
Jalen Smith makes 22-foot three point jumper (Isaac Okoro assists)BIG MOMENT
·
CHI 105·BKN 108
−8pp
Q4·1:03
Michael Porter Jr. bad pass turnover (Coby White steals)
·
CHI 102·BKN 108
−3pp
Q4·1:06
Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
CHI 102·BKN 108
+0.9pp
Q4·1:11
Isaac Okoro misses 25-foot three point jumper
CHI 102·BKN 108
+3pp
Q4·1:24
Noah Clowney makes 26-foot three point jumper (Nic Claxton assists)BIG MOMENT
·
CHI 102·BKN 108
+10pp
Q4·1:42
Coby White makes driving layup
CHI 102·BKN 105
−5pp

Betting line

BKN -1.5·O/U 224.5·CHI -105/BKN -115

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

rooklyn Nets held off Chicago Bulls, 112–109. Decided by 3.

BKN -1.5 cashed (won by 3). Total stayed UNDER 224.5 by 3.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 15 players in cohort

Michael Porter Jr.BKN · F
USG%29.995
Matas BuzelisCHI · F
CONT7.995
Tre JonesCHI · G
DRIVES12.995
Coby WhiteCHA · G
USG%29.195
Nic ClaxtonCHI · C
CONT7.392

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · CHI favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

BKN vs CHI.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

150

projections · 125 high confidence

Points

Michael Porter Jr.BKN
22.7± 6.2high
Norman PowellCHI
18.4± 5.3high
Tre JonesCHI
17.5± 7.4high

Rebounds

Josh GiddeyCHI
8.1± 4.3high
Julius RandleBKN
7.2± 2.1high
Michael Porter Jr.BKN
6.9± 5.2high

Assists

Josh GiddeyCHI
9.9± 4.4high
Tre JonesCHI
5.2± 2.9high
Ben SarafBKN
3.7± 1.9high

Blocks

Matas BuzelisCHI
1.5± 1.4high
Josh MinottBKN
0.9± 1.2high
Jalen SmithCHI
0.9± 1.0high

Steals

Josh MinottBKN
1.3± 1.0high
Trevon ScottBKN
1.3± 1.8low
Day'Ron SharpeBKN
1.1± 0.9high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

CHI

league avg

BKN

54.7%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

52.0%

46.9%

FG%

◀

47.0

44.3%

116.3

PPG

◀

114.9

105.9

28.5

Assists / G

◀

25.0

14.6

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

15.0

Data via ESPN · hoopR