NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+2CHI

UTAH

14-26

126128

CHI

19-21

NBAWed, Jan 14FinalSeriestied 1-1VegasCHI -5.5

UTAH · top performer

Brice Sensabaugh

F · #28

36.5Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

CHI · top performer

Nikola Vucevic

C · #9

32.0Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowUTAH ↔ CHI

Biggest swing: 37pp · 3rd Quarter · 12:00

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
K. FilipowskiF · #22	31	19	9-15	1-3	—	-8	7	4
C. WilliamsF · #5	31	6	3-6	0-1	0-2	-2	7	2
K. GeorgeG · #3	34	25	8-17	0-5	9-10	+2	3	7
I. CollierG · #8	22	8	3-6	—	2-2	-8	0	4
A. BaileyG · #19	31	10	4-9	0-3	2-2	+12	3	3
Bench
K. AndersonF · #2	17	7	3-4	—	1-1	+6	5	3
T. HendricksF · #0	19	3	1-1	1-1	—	-13	2	0
B. SensabaughF · #28	34	43	15-22	5-10	8-8	-2	5	2
W. Clayton Jr.G · #13	21	5	1-6	1-5	2-2	+3	4	5
Team		126	47-86	8-28	24-27		36	30
DNP: G. Niang, J. Nurkic, S. Mykhailiuk

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
I. OkoroF · #35	34	12	5-10	1-4	1-1	0	2	3
M. BuzelisF · #14	19	7	3-7	1-4	—	0	2	2
N. VucevicC · #9	31	35	14-22	2-6	5-6	0	7	5
T. JonesG · #30	26	7	3-8	0-2	1-1	-11	0	8
C. WhiteG · #0	30	6	2-7	1-4	1-2	-11	7	7
Bench
J. SmithF · #25	17	12	3-7	2-5	4-6	+2	10	1
P. WilliamsF · #44	23	13	4-6	3-3	2-2	+9	5	3
D. TerryF · #7	13	11	4-7	3-4	—	+2	5	0
T. FlowersF · #00	--	0	—	—	—	0	0	0
K. HuerterG · #13	19	10	3-7	2-5	2-2	+11	3	1
A. DosunmuG · #11	28	15	6-11	2-6	1-1	+8	2	6
Team		128	47-92	17-43	17-21		43	36
DNP: J. Phillips, J. Carter

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

UTAH

Away

Stat

CHI

Home

47-86

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

47-92

FG %

8-28

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

17-43

24-27

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

17-21

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

Series tied 1-1

Nov 17

CHI147@

UTAH150

Jan 15

UTAH126@

CHI128today

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

CHI -5.5

Half-pt above key 5

Total

240.5

High-scoring · +14.5 vs avg

Moneyline

UTAH+18535%

CHI-22569%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet CHI -5.5↗SpreadBet CHI -5.5↗

Line movement · 6 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

5.5

0.0 since open

Total

240.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

CHI beat UTAH 128-126. N. Vucevic led the way with 35 points and 7 rebounds. CHI outscored the other side 35-23 in the 2nd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

CHI vs UTAH

Starters vs bench

production by unit

UTAHstarters 54% of pts

Starters(5)

68 PTS · 20 REB · 20 AST

GS 56

Bench(4)

58 PTS · 16 REB · 10 AST

GS 52

CHIstarters 52% of pts

Starters(5)

67 PTS · 18 REB · 25 AST

GS 59

Bench(6)

61 PTS · 25 REB · 11 AST

GS 58

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact

CHI3rd Quarter · 12:00 · 62-71

+37pp→ 84% WP

Coby White · enters the game for Ayo Dosunmu

UTAH4th Quarter · 9:41 · 98-100

+19pp→ 39% WP

Coby White · lost ball turnover (Kyle Filipowski steals)

CHI4th Quarter · 4.0 · 126-128

+36pp→ 88% WP

Nikola Vucevic · makes layup (Tre Jones assists)

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
UTAH	39	23	32	32	126
CHI	36	35	23	34	128

Period scoring

UTAH won 2 · CHI won 2

Sensabaugh 21

Vucevic 11

Sensabaugh 5

Dosunmu 10

Filipowski 9

White 20

George 15

Vucevic 16

UTAH

CHI

Shooting comparison

UTAH

CHI

55%

47-86

51%

47-92

29%

8-28

3PT

40%

17-43

89%

24-27

81%

17-21

Play-by-play · 475 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
UTAH 126·CHI 128
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
UTAH 126·CHI 128
+0.8pp
Q4·0.5
Coby White defensive rebound
UTAH 126·CHI 128
+2pp
Q4·1.5
Keyonte George misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shotBIG MOMENT
UTAH 126·CHI 128
+9pp
Q4·4.0
Jazz Full timeout
UTAH 126·CHI 128
Q4·4.0
Nikola Vucevic makes layup (Tre Jones assists)BIG MOMENT
·
UTAH 126·CHI 128
+36pp
Q4·4.0
Isaac Okoro offensive rebound
UTAH 126·CHI 126
+3pp
Q4·4.9
Coby White misses 26-foot three point jumperBIG MOMENT
UTAH 126·CHI 126
−6pp
Q4·23.1
Bulls Full timeout
UTAH 126·CHI 126
Q4·28.5
Brice Sensabaugh makes driving layup (Keyonte George assists)BIG MOMENT
·
UTAH 126·CHI 126
−11pp
Q4·31.9
Jazz Full timeout
UTAH 124·CHI 126
Q4·31.9
Coby White out of bounds bad pass turnoverBIG MOMENT
UTAH 124·CHI 126
−12pp
Q4·37.8
Isaac Okoro defensive rebound
UTAH 124·CHI 126
+3pp
Q4·39.9
Nikola Vucevic blocks Kyle Filipowski 's 4-foot driving layupBIG MOMENT
·
UTAH 124·CHI 126
+10pp
Q4·45.7
Kevin Huerter makes free throw 2 of 2BIG MOMENT
UTAH 124·CHI 126
−10pp
Q4·45.7
Isaac Okoro enters the game for Ayo Dosunmu
·
UTAH 124·CHI 125
Q4·45.7
Kevin Huerter makes free throw 1 of 2
UTAH 124·CHI 125
+3pp
Q4·45.7
Kyle Filipowski shooting foulBIG MOMENT
UTAH 124·CHI 124
+17pp
Q4·57.9
Keyonte George makes free throw 2 of 2BIG MOMENT
UTAH 124·CHI 124
+6pp
Q4·57.9
Kevin Huerter enters the game for Isaac Okoro
·
UTAH 123·CHI 124
Q4·57.9
Keyonte George makes free throw 1 of 2
UTAH 123·CHI 124
−2pp
Q4·57.9
Coby White shooting foulBIG MOMENT
UTAH 122·CHI 124
−13pp
Q4·1:04
Ace Bailey defensive rebound
UTAH 122·CHI 124
−3pp
Q4·1:09
Isaac Okoro misses 25-foot three point jumperBIG MOMENT
UTAH 122·CHI 124
−8pp
Q4·1:23
Keyonte George makes free throw 3 of 3BIG MOMENT
UTAH 122·CHI 124
+8pp
Q4·1:23
Keyonte George makes free throw 2 of 3BIG MOMENT
UTAH 121·CHI 124
−9pp
Q4·1:23
Keyonte George makes free throw 1 of 3
UTAH 120·CHI 124
−2pp
Q4·1:23
Coby White shooting foulBIG MOMENT
UTAH 119·CHI 124
−10pp
Q4·1:29
Jazz defensive team rebound
UTAH 119·CHI 124
−1pp
Q4·1:33
Tre Jones misses 26-foot three point jumper
UTAH 119·CHI 124
−3pp

Betting line

CHI -5.5·O/U 240.5·UTAH +185/CHI -225

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

hicago Bulls held off Utah Jazz, 128–126. Decided by 2.

UTAH +5.5 cashed (CHI won by 2). Total cleared the 240.5 OVER by 13.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 14 players in cohort

Keyonte GeorgeUTAH · G
TOUCHES78.797
Matas BuzelisCHI · F
CONT7.995
Tre JonesCHI · G
DRIVES12.995
Coby WhiteCHA · G
USG%29.195
Isaiah CollierUTAH · G
DRIVES11.592

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · UTAH favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CHI vs UTAH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

155

projections · 125 high confidence

Points

Lauri MarkkanenUTAH
24.2± 5.0high
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH
21.4± 8.8high
Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH
20.7± 4.8high

Rebounds

Jusuf NurkicUTAH
11.4± 4.1high
Josh GiddeyCHI
8.1± 4.3high
Kyle FilipowskiUTAH
8.1± 2.6high

Assists

Josh GiddeyCHI
9.9± 4.4high
Isaiah CollierUTAH
6.6± 2.5high
Kennedy ChandlerUTAH
6.5± 2.2medium

Blocks

Matas BuzelisCHI
1.5± 1.4high
Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH
1.3± 1.3high
Ace BaileyUTAH
1.0± 1.0high

Steals

Bez MbengUTAH
2.5± 1.7medium
John KoncharUTAH
1.9± 1.7high
Elijah HarklessUTAH
1.5± 1.4high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

UTAH

league avg

CHI

53.6%

Effective FG%

54.4

▶

54.7%

46.7%

FG%

47.0

46.9%

117.6

PPG

◀

114.9

116.3

29.6

Assists / G

◀

25.0

28.5

15.0

Turnovers / G

14.0

▶

14.6

Data via ESPN · hoopR