UTAH
14-25
CLE
22-19
UTAH · top performer
Keyonte George
G · #3
32
Pts
5
Reb
9
Ast
CLE · top performer
Evan Mobley
C · #4
15
Pts
9
Reb
8
Ast
Biggest swing: 11pp · 4th Quarter · 11:20
NBA · Utah Jazz at Cleveland Cavaliers · final
NBA · Box scoreTRACKING
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 36 | 28 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 9-12 | +18 | 12 | 2 | |
| 21 | 8 | 3-7 | 2-5 | — | +7 | 3 | 2 | |
| 30 | 11 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | +13 | 17 | 3 | |
| 26 | 11 | 4-7 | 3-6 | — | +18 | 1 | 3 | |
| 34 | 32 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 12-12 | +6 | 5 | 9 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 18 | 11 | 4-6 | 3-5 | — | -2 | 3 | 2 | |
| 17 | 4 | 2-3 | — | — | +1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 24 | 7 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | -5 | 0 | 1 | |
| 19 | 7 | 3-7 | 1-3 | — | 0 | 3 | 8 | |
| 15 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-1 | — | -1 | 3 | 2 | |
| Team | 123 | 40-83 | 18-41 | 25-28 | 50 | 32 | ||
| DNP: K. Anderson, T. Hendricks, W. Clayton Jr. | ||||||||
| Player | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 32 | 8 | 3-7 | — | 2-2 | -6 | 4 | 3 | |
| 34 | 15 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | -11 | 9 | 8 | |
| 34 | 21 | 7-18 | 4-9 | 3-3 | -12 | 3 | 2 | |
| 28 | 14 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 1-1 | -10 | 2 | 3 | |
| 34 | 23 | 7-17 | 5-9 | 4-4 | -6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 18 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | — | -2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 19 | 13 | 6-11 | 1-3 | — | -3 | 3 | 3 | |
| 25 | 11 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | +5 | 4 | 2 | |
| 16 | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | — | -10 | 3 | 1 | |
| Team | 112 | 41-92 | 17-41 | 13-13 | 30 | 33 | ||
| DNP: L. Nance Jr., T. Bryant, L. Ball, T. Proctor | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
48
FG %
45
32
Ast
33
Team stats
UTAH
Away
Stat
CLE
Home
40-83
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
41-92
48
FG %
45
18-41
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
17-41
25-28
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
13-13
32
Assists
33
16
Turnovers
13
Season series
UTAH leads series 1-0
UTAH123@CLE112todayCLE122@UTAH113Model & market
Vegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
CLE -13.5
Between 10 and —
Total
249.5
High-scoring · +23.5 vs avg
Moneyline
UTAH+42519%CLE-57585%Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 5 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
13.5
0.0 since open
Total
249.5
0.0 since open
How it ended
UTAH beat CLE 123-112. K. George paced them with 32 PTS, 5 REB, 9 AST. CLE outscored the other side 40-20 in the 2nd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CLE vs UTAH
Starters vs bench
production by unitUTAHstarters 73% of ptsStarters(5)
90 PTS · 38 REB · 19 AST
GS 81
Bench(5)
33 PTS · 12 REB · 13 AST
GS 27
CLEstarters 72% of ptsStarters(5)
81 PTS · 20 REB · 24 AST
GS 69
Bench(4)
31 PTS · 10 REB · 9 AST
GS 23
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactKevin Love · makes 24-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Collier assists)
Svi Mykhailiuk · makes 24-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Collier assists)
Svi Mykhailiuk · makes 23-foot three point step back jumpshot (Isaiah Collier assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 34 | 20 | 36 | 33 | 123 |
| CLE | 22 | 40 | 24 | 26 | 112 |
Period scoring
UTAH won 3 · CLE won 1
Q1
Markkanen 6
Jr. 5
Q2
Markkanen 10
Mitchell 9
Q3
George 16
Mobley 11
Q4
George 9
Garland 9
Shooting comparison
48%
40-83
FG
45%
41-92
44%
18-41
3PT
41%
17-41
89%
25-28
FT
100%
13-13
Play-by-play · 462 plays
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
UTAH 123·CLE 112
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
UTAH 123·CLE 112
- Q4·10.8
shot clock turnover
UTAH 123·CLE 112
- Q4·35.6
Darius Garland makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jarrett Allen assists)
·
UTAH 123·CLE 112
- Q4·37.2
Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
UTAH 123·CLE 109
- Q4·39.1
Donovan Mitchell misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot
UTAH 123·CLE 109
- Q4·44.9
Keyonte George makes 25-foot three point jumper (Ace Bailey assists)
·
UTAH 123·CLE 109
- Q4·45.4
Keyonte George offensive rebound
UTAH 120·CLE 109
- Q4·49.2
Darius Garland blocks Keyonte George 's 27-foot three point jumper
·
UTAH 120·CLE 109
- Q4·1:05
Lauri Markkanen defensive rebound
UTAH 120·CLE 109
- Q4·1:08
Sam Merrill misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
UTAH 120·CLE 109
- Q4·1:23
Keyonte George makes free throw 2 of 2
UTAH 120·CLE 109
- Q4·1:23
Keyonte George makes free throw 1 of 2
UTAH 119·CLE 109
−2pp
- Q4·1:23
(01:23) [Cavaliers] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL STANDS) [Cavaliers] charged with a timeout
UTAH 118·CLE 109
+1pp
- Q4·1:23
Cavaliers Full timeout
UTAH 118·CLE 109
- Q4·1:23
Jarrett Allen shooting foul
UTAH 118·CLE 109
−0.9pp
- Q4·1:45
Darius Garland makes 22-foot three point jumper (Evan Mobley assists)
·
UTAH 118·CLE 109
+1pp
- Q4·1:49
Cavaliers offensive team rebound
UTAH 118·CLE 106
- Q4·1:49
Ace Bailey blocks Darius Garland 's 2-foot driving layup
·
UTAH 118·CLE 106
- Q4·1:54
shot clock turnover
UTAH 118·CLE 106
- Q4·1:54
Jazz offensive team rebound
UTAH 118·CLE 106
- Q4·1:55
Lauri Markkanen misses 25-foot three point shot
UTAH 118·CLE 106
- Q4·2:16
Jusuf Nurkic vs. Jarrett Allen (Keyonte George gains possession)
· ·
UTAH 118·CLE 106
- Q4·2:20
Jazz offensive team rebound
UTAH 118·CLE 106
- Q4·2:21
Brice Sensabaugh misses driving floating jump shot
UTAH 118·CLE 106
- Q4·2:39
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
UTAH 118·CLE 106
- Q4·2:42
Darius Garland misses two point shot
UTAH 118·CLE 106
- Q4·2:51
Jusuf Nurkic makes free throw 2 of 2
UTAH 118·CLE 106
- Q4·2:51
Jusuf Nurkic makes free throw 1 of 2
UTAH 117·CLE 106
- Q4·2:51
Evan Mobley personal foul
UTAH 116·CLE 106
−0.8pp
Betting line
CLE -13.5·O/U 249.5·UTAH +425/CLE -575
Recap · NBA
tah Jazz went into Cleveland Cavaliers and beat them, 123–112.
UTAH +13.5 cashed (CLE lost outright). Total stayed UNDER 249.5 by 14.5.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 16 players in cohort
Jarrett AllenCLE · CCONT9.899
Donovan MitchellCLE · GUSG%31.998- Evan MobleyCLE · CCONT9.498
- Keyonte GeorgeUTAH · GTOUCHES78.797
Darius GarlandLAC · GDRIVES13.896
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
38.2%
ensemble · UTAH favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CLE win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CLE vs UTAH.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
160
projections · 130 high confidence
Points
- Donovan MitchellCLE27.5± 7.3high
- Lauri MarkkanenUTAH24.2± 5.0high
- Keyonte GeorgeUTAH21.4± 8.8high
Rebounds
- Jusuf NurkicUTAH11.4± 4.1high
- Kyle FilipowskiUTAH8.1± 2.6high
- Evan MobleyCLE8.0± 3.5high
Assists
- Isaiah CollierUTAH6.6± 2.5high
- Kennedy ChandlerUTAH6.5± 2.2medium
- James HardenCLE5.9± 2.8high
Blocks
- Evan MobleyCLE2.1± 1.3high
- Jarrett AllenCLE1.3± 0.7high
- Jaren Jackson Jr.UTAH1.3± 1.3high
Steals
- Bez MbengUTAH2.5± 1.7medium
- John KoncharUTAH1.9± 1.7high
- Donovan MitchellCLE1.5± 1.8high
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
hoopR-data
UTAH
league avg
CLE
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.4
▶55.6%
46.7%
FG%
47.0
▶47.7%
117.6
PPG
114.9
117.4
29.6
Assists / G
25.0
27.1
15.0
Turnovers / G
14.0
▶13.8