NBA game · live box score, model edge, odds · The One Analytics

FINAL+16LAC

LAC

14-23

121105

BKN

11-24

NBAFri, Jan 9FinalSeriesLAC lead series 1-0VegasLAC -5.5

LAC · top performer

James Harden

G · #1

27.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

BKN · top performer

Egor Demin

G · #8

17.3Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowLAC ↔ BKN

Biggest swing: 5pp · 3rd Quarter · 8:29

NBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
K. LeonardF · #2	28	26	9-15	4-7	4-4	+19	5	5
J. CollinsF · #20	26	16	7-9	2-2	—	+12	4	0
I. ZubacC · #40	25	5	1-5	—	3-4	+11	6	4
J. HardenG · #1	35	31	10-13	3-4	8-8	+9	4	6
K. DunnG · #8	22	9	4-6	1-2	—	+9	1	5
Bench
N. BatumF · #33	23	5	2-3	1-2	—	+6	2	1
B. LopezC · #11	21	3	1-3	0-2	1-1	+9	5	3
Y. NiederhauserC · #14	2	0	—	—	—	-4	0	0
J. MillerG · #22	27	21	9-13	3-4	—	+10	5	0
K. BrownG · #24	2	0	0-2	—	—	-4	1	0
K. SandersG · #4	26	5	2-7	0-1	1-2	+7	4	4
C. ChristieG · #12	2	0	—	—	—	-4	0	0
Team		121	45-76	14-24	17-19		37	28

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
M. Porter Jr.F · #17	33	18	7-20	0-9	4-4	-9	5	6
N. ClowneyF · #21	30	12	4-13	3-9	1-2	-13	3	2
N. ClaxtonC · #33	31	13	5-9	1-1	2-2	-15	6	4
T. MannG · #14	24	8	4-8	0-2	—	-8	3	4
E. DeminG · #8	26	19	6-13	5-10	2-2	-7	3	3
Bench
J. WilsonF · #22	2	0	0-1	0-1	—	+4	0	0
D. WolfF · #2	18	11	4-8	3-5	—	-3	6	1
D. SharpeC · #20	17	6	3-6	0-2	—	-1	9	1
C. ThomasG · #24	22	13	5-13	2-5	1-1	-12	1	1
D. PowellG · #4	15	0	0-2	0-2	—	-7	1	1
N. TraoreG · #88	22	5	2-7	1-1	—	-9	2	3
Team		105	40-100	15-47	10-11		39	26
DNP: Z. Williams, T. Martin

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

LAC

Away

Stat

BKN

Home

45-76

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

40-100

FG %

14-24

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

15-47

17-19

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

10-11

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

LAC lead series 1-0

Jan 10

LAC121@

BKN105today

Jan 26

BKN89@

LAC126

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

LAC -5.5

Half-pt above key 5

Total

214.5

Defensive · -11.5 vs avg

Moneyline

LAC-21869%

BKN+18036%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet LAC -5.5↗SpreadBet LAC -5.5↗

Line movement · 5 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

5.5

0.0 since open

Total

214.5

0.0 since open

How it ended

LAC beat BKN 121-105. J. Harden paced them with 31 PTS, 4 REB, 6 AST. LAC outscored the other side 35-25 in the 1st quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

BKN vs LAC

Starters vs bench

production by unit

LACstarters 72% of pts

Starters(5)

87 PTS · 20 REB · 20 AST

GS 80

Bench(7)

34 PTS · 17 REB · 8 AST

GS 33

BKNstarters 67% of pts

Starters(5)

70 PTS · 20 REB · 19 AST

GS 62

Bench(6)

35 PTS · 19 REB · 7 AST

GS 22

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
LAC	35	28	28	30	121
BKN	25	22	29	29	105

Period scoring

LAC won 3 · BKN won 1

Harden 15

Demin 6

Miller 7

Clowney 9

Harden 9

Jr. 8

Leonard 13

Wolf 8

LAC

BKN

Shooting comparison

LAC

BKN

59%

45-76

40%

40-100

58%

14-24

3PT

32%

15-47

89%

17-19

91%

10-11

Play-by-play · 435 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
LAC 121·BKN 105
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
LAC 121·BKN 105
Q4·20.7
Nolan Traore makes running layup
LAC 121·BKN 105
Q4·21.5
Nolan Traore defensive rebound
LAC 121·BKN 103
Q4·24.4
Jalen Wilson blocks Kobe Brown 's 2-foot driving layup
·
LAC 121·BKN 103
Q4·31.3
Clippers offensive team rebound
LAC 121·BKN 103
Q4·31.3
Danny Wolf blocks Kobe Brown 's 7-foot hook shot
·
LAC 121·BKN 103
Q4·31.6
Kobe Brown offensive rebound
LAC 121·BKN 103
Q4·35.7
Jordan Miller misses 24-foot three point jumper
LAC 121·BKN 103
Q4·46.1
Jordan Miller defensive rebound
LAC 121·BKN 103
Q4·50.4
Jalen Wilson misses 24-foot three point jumper
LAC 121·BKN 103
Q4·55.6
Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
LAC 121·BKN 103
Q4·57.3
Drake Powell misses 24-foot three point jumper
LAC 121·BKN 103
Q4·1:18
Jordan Miller makes 24-foot three point jumper (Kobe Sanders assists)
·
LAC 121·BKN 103
Q4·1:28
Danny Wolf makes two point shot (Nolan Traore assists)
·
LAC 118·BKN 103
Q4·1:42
Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
LAC 118·BKN 101
Q4·1:45
Jordan Miller misses 9-foot fade away jump shot
LAC 118·BKN 101
Q4·2:02
Danny Wolf makes 29-foot three point jumper (Nolan Traore assists)
·
LAC 118·BKN 101
Q4·2:26
Cam Christie enters the game for Ivica Zubac
·
LAC 118·BKN 98
Q4·2:26
Yanic Konan Niederhauser enters the game for John Collins
·
LAC 118·BKN 98
Q4·2:26
Kobe Brown enters the game for James Harden
·
LAC 118·BKN 98
Q4·2:26
Jalen Wilson enters the game for Nic Claxton
·
LAC 118·BKN 98
Q4·2:26
Drake Powell enters the game for Noah Clowney
·
LAC 118·BKN 98
Q4·2:26
Nolan Traore enters the game for Michael Porter Jr.
·
LAC 118·BKN 98
Q4·2:26
Day'Ron Sharpe enters the game for Terance Mann
·
LAC 118·BKN 98
Q4·2:26
Danny Wolf enters the game for Egor Demin
·
LAC 118·BKN 98
Q4·2:26
Nets Full timeout
LAC 118·BKN 98
Q4·2:26
John Collins makes 1-foot alley oop dunk (Ivica Zubac assists)
·
LAC 118·BKN 98
Q4·2:41
Nic Claxton makes 25-foot three point jumper (Noah Clowney assists)
·
LAC 116·BKN 98
Q4·2:43
Noah Clowney offensive rebound
LAC 116·BKN 95

Betting line

LAC -5.5·O/U 214.5·LAC -218/BKN +180

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · NBA

A Clippers went into Brooklyn Nets and beat them, 121–105.

LAC -5.5 cashed (won by 16). Total cleared the 214.5 OVER by 11.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NBA TRACKING · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Kawhi LeonardTOR · F
USG%33.399
Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC · C
TS%69.198
Ivica ZubacIND · C
CONT9.298
Kris DunnLAC · G
DEFL3.697
Brook LopezLAC · C
CONT8.396

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

38.2%

ensemble · LAC favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(BKN win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

BKN vs LAC.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

150

projections · 130 high confidence

Points

Michael Porter Jr.BKN
22.7± 6.2high
Darius GarlandLAC
19.0± 5.5high
Brandon IngramLAC
18.7± 10.3high

Rebounds

Julius RandleBKN
7.2± 2.1high
Michael Porter Jr.BKN
6.9± 5.2high
Day'Ron SharpeBKN
6.5± 2.5high

Assists

Darius GarlandLAC
6.3± 2.3high
Kris DunnLAC
3.8± 2.7high
Ben SarafBKN
3.7± 1.9high

Blocks

Brook LopezLAC
1.3± 1.4high
Yanic Konan NiederhauserLAC
1.3± 1.5high
Isaiah JacksonLAC
1.2± 0.8high

Steals

Kris DunnLAC
1.6± 1.1high
Josh MinottBKN
1.3± 1.0high
Trevon ScottBKN
1.3± 1.8low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

hoopR-data

LAC

league avg

BKN

55.9%

Effective FG%

◀

54.4

52.0%

48.5%

FG%

◀

47.0

44.3%

113.9

PPG

◀

114.9

105.9

23.8

Assists / G

25.0

▶

25.0

13.6

Turnovers / G

◀

14.0

15.0

Data via ESPN · hoopR