Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Angels: Final Score & Box Score — Mar 18, 2026

FINAL+3LAA

CIN

12-14

LAA

14-14

Tempe Diablo Stadium · Tempe, Arizona

5,454 attended

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

50.3%

ensemble · LAA favored

Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight
Elo Pitching
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
32%
weight
Bullpen Park
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LAA win)
34%
weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

LAA vs CIN.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

128

projections · 92 high confidence

Strikeouts

Chase BurnsCIN
7.2± 2.5medium
Reid DetmersLAA
6.7± 3.8medium
Jose SorianoLAA
5.6± 1.9medium

Hits

Donovan WaltonLAA
1.3± 1.0high
Nolan SchanuelLAA
1.1± 0.6high
Edwin ArroyoCIN
1.0± 1.3high

Total bases

Donovan WaltonLAA
2.4± 1.7high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
2.0± 2.1medium
Sal StewartCIN
1.8± 1.8high

RBIs

Sal StewartCIN
0.9± 1.9high
Donovan WaltonLAA
0.9± 1.0high
Denzer GuzmanLAA
0.7± 1.2medium

Earned runs

Nick LodoloCIN
3.2± 2.9low
Ryan JohnsonLAA
3.2± 3.6low
Brady SingerCIN
2.8± 2.0medium

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

MLB Stats API

CIN

league avg

LAA

.699

OPS

.718

▶

.716

.310

OBP

.319

▶

.318

4.27

Runs / G

4.50

▶

4.54

4.57

Team ERA

4.17

4.59

1.46

WHIP

1.31

▶

1.40

8.2

K / 9

8.5

▶

8.9

Postgame · final

The morning-after recap.

Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.

Final

LAA wins

CIN 4 · LAA 7 (by 3)

Model verdict

No projection

Against the spread

No spread

Line score

Inning by inning

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R
CIN	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	4
LAA	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	0	7

What's next

Tomorrow's slate is open.

See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.

MLB edges →Full slate →

Tomorrow's board↗Tomorrow's board↗

21+ · we may earn a referral fee · your odds unchanged.

Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
W. BensonRF	.257	3	1	1	0	0	1	0
N. MarteRF	.256	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
J. BledayLF	.325	3	1	1	1	1	0	1
S. Stewart1B	.333	3	1	1	1	1	0	0
J. TrevinoC	.333	3	0	1	0	0	0	0
R. HindsRF	.395	2	1	2	1	1	1	0
G. Hampson2B	.086	3	0	0	0	0	0	1
P.J. HigginsC	.172	1	0	0	0	0	1	1
E. Arroyo2B	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	2
S. SasakiCF	.600	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. HendrickRF	.400	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
K. VuLF	.167	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
M. Toglia1B	.250	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
A. DunoC	.222	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
P. Stovall2B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. TorresSS	.429	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
C. Collier3B	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
S. HallSS	.167	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		33	4	7	4	3	3	9

Player

.257

.256

.325

.333

.333

.395

.086

.172

.167

.600

.400

.167

.250

.222

.000

.429

.167

.167

Team

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
C. BurnsSP	2.0	3	2	2	1	2	48
S. MollRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	16
L. MeyRP	1.0	1	0	0	1	1	17
T. AntoneRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	2	20
J. EdwardsRP	1.0	1	0	0	0	0	16
C. CannonRP	1.0	2	4	4	1	1	24
S. QuigleySP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	10
Team	8.0	9	7	7	3	10	151

Player

2.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Team

8.0

151

batting box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Z. NetoSS	.235	2	1	1	0	0	1	1
M. TroutCF	.257	3	2	2	1	0	0	1
Y. Moncada3B	.158	3	0	1	1	0	0	2
J. LoweLF	.214	4	1	2	5	1	0	2
O. Peraza2B	.364	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
T. d'ArnaudC	.136	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
T. Mancini1B	.107	3	0	0	0	0	0	0
Y. Sanchez3B	.286	3	1	1	0	0	0	1
J. RuizOF	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
K. Maduro1B	.500	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
C. HarrelsonOF	1.000	0	1	0	0	0	1	0
H. CollUN	.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
A. VeraSS	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. BruggemanC	.000	2	0	0	0	0	0	0
R. Nicholson1B	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
K. CastilloCF	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
Team		30	7	9	7	1	3	10

pitching box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
J. KochanowiczSP	5.0	3	1	1	3	6	92
B. SuterRP	1.0	2	2	2	0	0	17
H. StricklandRP	1.0	2	1	1	0	0	16
N. SandlinRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	2	10
T. SaucedoRP	1.0	0	0	0	0	1	11
Team	9.0	7	4	4	3	9	146

Team

CIN

LAA

—

3 sub-models, blended.

LAA vs CIN.

Team rate stats vs league

The morning-after recap.

Inning by inning

Tomorrow's slate is open.

Batters

Pitchers

Batters

Pitchers

LAA vs CIN.