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Matchup orbital

NYM

0

NYM

NYM

11-22

Top 2nd

Win prob

47/53

AWAY · HOME

LAA

1

LAA

LAA

13-21

Live · model leanTop 2ndPolls every 30s

57.2%

LAA wins · current

Pre-game: 53.3% LAA

NYM 0 · 1 LAA

LAA +1

Angel Stadium · Anaheim, California

Probable starters

The mound matchup

Combined ERA 4.84

C. Holmes

3-2 · 1.75 ERA

vs

J. Kochanowicz

2-0 · 3.09 ERA

Line movement

48 snapshots

LAA spread

+1.5

open PK · +1.5

Total

O/U 9.0

open O/U 8.5 · +0.5

LAA implied %

46.9%

open 47.8% · -0.9

+2.0-0.5LAA SPREADO/U 9.5O/U 8.0TOTAL51.8%42.9%LAA IMPLIED %May 2, 5 PMMay 3, 4 PM

Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = LAA favored. Pure CLV joins once moneyline closing-line ingest catches up across leagues.

The One modelTossup
Sun, May 3
NYM

NYM

Mets

11-22

vs53%LAA

LAA★

Angels

13-21

LAA
NYM 47%win prob53% LAA
LAA 1442 · NYM 1443Box score→

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Model heartbeat

Cross-sport · last 14 days

56%Last 7 · 62-49
55%Last 30 · 233-194
Receipts →
← Back to MLB
MLBGame · Sun, May 3Top 2nd
NYM

NYM11-22

NYM

@

13-21LAA

LAA

LAA
SeriesSeries tied 1-1/VegasNYM -136
● LIVETop 2nd
Updated 0s ago
NYM
NYM11-220
0:00
LAA
LAA13-211

Tonight's box score

Every player. Every line.

NYM · LAA

NYM

NYM

11-22

0
B. Bichette

B. Bichette★

3B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Soto

J. Soto★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Melendez

M. Melendez★

LF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

B. Baty

B. Baty★

RF

OPS

2.000

H-AB

1-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Semien

M. Semien★

2B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

C. Benge

C. Benge★

LF

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Vientos

M. Vientos★

1B

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

T. Taylor

T. Taylor★

RF

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

L. Torrens

L. Torrens★

C

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

1-5

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

PlayerH-ABRRBIHROPS
B. Bichette
B. Bichette★3B
0-10000.000
J. Soto
J. Soto★LF
0-10000.000
M. Melendez
M. Melendez★LF
0-10000.000
B. Baty
B. Baty★RF
1-10002.000
M. Semien
M. Semien★2B
0-10000.000
C. Benge
C. Benge★LF
0-0000—
M. Vientos
M. Vientos★1B
0-0000—
T. Taylor
T. Taylor★RF
0-0000—
L. Torrens
L. Torrens★C
0-0000—
Team1-5000—
C. Holmes

C. Holmes★

SP

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

1

K

1

Team total

IP

1.0

H

1

ER

1

K

1

PlayerIPHERK
C. Holmes
C. Holmes★SP
1.0111
Team1.0111
LAA

LAA

13-21

1
Z. Neto

Z. Neto★

SS

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

1

RBI

0

HR

0

M. Trout

M. Trout★

CF

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

N. Schanuel

N. Schanuel★

1B

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Soler

J. Soler★

RF

OPS

2.000

H-AB

1-1

R

0

RBI

1

HR

0

J. Adell

J. Adell★

RF

OPS

0.000

H-AB

0-1

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

J. Lowe

J. Lowe★

LF

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

V. Grissom

V. Grissom★

2B

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

O. Peraza

O. Peraza★

2B

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

S. Rivero

S. Rivero★

C

OPS

—

H-AB

0-0

R

0

RBI

0

HR

0

Team total

H-AB

1-3

R

1

RBI

1

HR

0

PlayerH-ABRRBIHROPS
Z. Neto
Z. Neto★SS
0-0100—
M. Trout
M. Trout★CF
0-0000—
N. Schanuel
N. Schanuel★1B
0-10000.000
J. Soler
J. Soler★RF
1-10102.000
J. Adell
J. Adell★RF
0-10000.000
J. Lowe
J. Lowe★LF
0-0000—
V. Grissom
V. Grissom★2B
0-0000—
O. Peraza
O. Peraza★2B
0-0000—
S. Rivero
S. Rivero★C
0-0000—
Team1-3110—
J. Kochanowicz

J. Kochanowicz★

SP

IP

1.1

H

1

ER

0

K

1

Team total

IP

1.1

H

1

ER

0

K

1

PlayerIPHERK
J. Kochanowicz
J. Kochanowicz★SP
1.1101
Team1.1101

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

1

Hits

1

0

Runs

1

0

Errors

0

Current series

Series tied 1-1

May 2NYMNYM4@LAALAA3
May 3NYMNYM3@LAALAA4
May 3NYMNYM@LAALAAtoday

Season series

Series tied 1-1

May 2NYMNYM4@LAALAA3
May 3NYMNYM3@LAALAA4
May 3NYMNYM@LAALAAtoday

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NYM -1.5

Total

9.0

High-scoring · +0.5 vs avg

Moneyline

NYMNYM-13658%
LAALAA+11347%

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NYM -1.5↗SpreadBet NYM -1.5↗

Line movement · 48 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

1.5

+1.5 since open

Total

9.0

+0.5 since open

Pitching matchup · today

ESPN · season stats
NYMNYMSP
C. Holmes

C. Holmes

#35 · 3-2

ERA

1.75

K

25

SV

—

Last 3 starts

4/28vsWSHWSH6.0 IP · 0 ER · 6 KW(3-2)
4/22vsMINMIN7.0 IP · 2 ER · 3 K-
4/16@LADLAD5.0 IP · 2 ER · 4 KL(2-2)
VS
LAALAASP
J. Kochanowicz

J. Kochanowicz

#41 · 2-0

ERA

3.09

K

24

SV

—

Last 3 starts

4/27@CHWCHW6.0 IP · 2 ER · 5 K-
4/22vsTORTOR5.2 IP · 1 ER · 1 K-
4/15@NYYNYY6.2 IP · 3 ER · 6 K-

Starting lineups

ESPN · 1-9 batting order
NYMNYM4L · 5R
  1. 1

    B. Bichette

    SS · #19

    R
  2. 2

    J. Soto

    DH · #22

    L
  3. 3

    M. Melendez

    LF · #1

    L
  4. 4

    B. Baty

    3B · #7

    L
  5. 5

    M. Semien

    2B · #10

    R
  6. 6

    C. Benge

    RF · #3

    L
  7. 7

    M. Vientos

    1B · #27

    R
  8. 8

    T. Taylor

    CF · #28

    R
  9. 9

    L. Torrens

    C · #13

    R
LAALAA2L · 7R
  1. 1

    Z. Neto

    SS · #9

    R
  2. 2

    M. Trout

    CF · #27

    R
  3. 3

    N. Schanuel

    1B · #18

    L
  4. 4

    J. Soler

    RF · #12

    R
  5. 5

    J. Adell

    DH · #7

    R
  6. 6

    J. Lowe

    LF · #3

    L
  7. 7

    V. Grissom

    2B · #5

    R
  8. 8

    O. Peraza

    3B · #2

    R
  9. 9

    S. Rivero

    C · #38

    R

Live · top performers so far

Top 2nd
Game flowNYM ↔ LAA

Recent swing: 11pp · Top 2nd Inning

Just happened

Pitch · 3 : Ball 2

NYMNYM
B. Baty

B. Baty

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

C. Holmes

C. Holmes

SP

Starting pitcher

1.0 IP · 1 K · 1 ER · 1 H · 2 BB

LAALAA
J. Soler

J. Soler

RF

Batter of the gamePerfect day

1-for-1 · 2.000 OPS

J. Kochanowicz

J. Kochanowicz

SP

Starting pitcher

1.1 IP · 1 K · 0 ER · 1 H · 1 BB

How it's going

LAA lead NYM 1-0 (Top 2nd).

Win probability

LAA vs NYM

0255075100I2

Score progression

0 lead changes

T2
NYM0
LAA1

Clutch moments · top swings

ranked by WP impact
NYMTop 2nd Inning · 0-1
+11pp→ 49% WP

Baty · singled to left.

Linescore (innings)

Team12R
NYM000
LAA1—1

Period scoring

NYM won 0 · LAA won 1

0
1

Inn 1

Soler 1

0

Inn 2

NYM
LAA

Game flow · key plays

  1. T2

    Semien flied out to center.

    NYM 0·LAA 1

    +4pp

  2. T2

    Baty singled to left.

    NYM 0·LAA 1

    −11pp

  3. B1

    Soler singled to center, Neto scored, Trout to second.

    NYM 0·LAA 1

    +10pp

  4. B1

    Schanuel struck out swinging.

    NYM 0·LAA 0

    −6pp

  5. B1

    Trout walked, Neto to second.

    NYM 0·LAA 0

    +5pp

  6. B1

    Neto walked.

    NYM 0·LAA 0

    +5pp

Team stats

NYM

Away

Stat

LAA

Home

1

Hits

1

0

Errors

0

0

Runs

1

Betting line

NYM -1.5·O/U 9·NYM -136/LAA +113

DraftKings · via ESPN