May 15, 26sim 96
1610
4(H)5
EloWin probTime of yearTotal runs
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FINAL+8MIL
MIL
13-9
124
DET
12-12
Comerica Park · Detroit, Michigan
20,847 attended
Line movement
31 snapshots
DET spread
+1.5
open +1.5
Total
O/U 8.0
open O/U 8.0
DET no-vig %
50.4%
open 50.4%
Stepped lines reflect captured market snapshots from odds_snapshots. Spread sign convention: negative = DET favored. Live mode caps the in-game branch to the last 60 minutes.
Postgame · final
The morning-after recap.
Line score, top performers, model verdict against Vegas, and how the closing line shaped up vs the actual outcome.
Final
MIL wins
MIL 12 · DET 4 (by 8)
Model verdict
✓ Hit
Picked MIL +2pp
Against the spread
No spread
Line score
Inning by inning
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
Final play
“End of the 9th inning”
What's next
Tomorrow's slate is open.
See every model edge for tonight's remaining games and tomorrow's slate side-by-side, or jump straight to DraftKings & FanDuel for the full board.
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Data via ESPN · MLB Stats API · Baseball Savant
