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PF/SF#9 of 32 wings in 2026· Projected R1
Koa Peat
Developmental wing
Arizona·6'7" · 245lb·6'11" wing·8'8" reach·9.0" hand·19.4 yo at draft
1st-round non-lottery
ATH composite
58
NCAA dominance
84
Scoring
73
Playmaking
94
Defense
70
Shooting
63
Combine
Max vertical
37.5"p73
Lane agility
11.00sp77
¾ sprint
3.16sp76
Standing reach
104.0"p40
Draft score 63 out of 100, overall rank 27.
Data completeness
grade A · 100/1007/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 3 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionLockdownSynergy defense 91stGlass CleanerORB 90th · class
The read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classDevelopmental wing. Carried by perimeter defense (91st) and rebounding (90th); no glaring statistical hole.
StrengthsPerimeter defense91Rebounding90
Draft outlook
Where the math lands them
Projected landing
#27
Boston Celtics
1st roundModel vs the field
The One
#27
Field
#27
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 3 mock boards
Scouting summary
Developmental wing profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 99th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 84 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 27th across 3 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
Where we've had him since May 30
now#27▼ Faller · down 3
May 30 · #24Jul 28 · #27
How the score is built
deterministic · auditable62.9draft scoreboard #27
Market 62% · consensus 27th / 3 boardsModel 38% · ranked 12th
Our blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Peat 27th, our model 12th. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
How the 63-point composite stacks up
Athletic compositeweight 40%58
NCAA dominanceweight 40%84
Mock consensusweight 20%73
avg rank 27 across 3 boards
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
- +6
Elite BPM
BPM = 99th pct
- +2
Young for class
age 19.4 at draft; class median 22.4
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 69th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. W-bucket
7 of 7 drills measured
Wingspan
med 83.0"
83.3"
p54
Standing reach
med 104.5"
104.0"
p40
Max vertical
med 35.0"
37.5"
p73
Standing vert
med 29.5"
34.5"
p92
¾ sprint
med 3.25s
3.16s
p76
Lane agility
med 11.29s
11.00s
p77
Shuttle
med 3.04s
3.39s
p2
Frame & hands · the tape
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionHeight
6'7"67
Wingspan diff
+4.3"56
Hand length
9.00"72
Hand width
10.00"67
Wingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.
Combine drills · controlled setting
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionShooting & agility at the combine
Spot-up 3PT
6/25 · 24%0
Off-dribble 3PT
15/30 · 50%0
On-move 3PT
7/25 · 28%0
Modified agility
3.39s6
via stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Arizona Wildcats59 / 100 two-way score
Offense
1.09 PPP51
Defense
0.79 allow91
Shot dieteFG 54%3PT rate 5%FT rate 3%
Peat's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · measurables + production
vs wings · 2011–2025Closest NBA comparisons
Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Peat.
“Top X%” = closer to Peat than (100−X)% of all drafted wings on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
- 1Harrison Barnes2012top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Starter · 10.0 career VORP · 1070 g
College: North Carolina '12 · TS 52.8 · BPM 5.5
Wing83.3"vs83.3"¾ sprint3.16svs3.16sAgility11.00svs10.93sMax vert37.5"vs39.5"Ht6'7"vs6'7"Reach104.0"vs101.5"Std vert34.5"vs38.0"Weight245 lbvs228 lbPORPAG3.6vs3.6USG%24.4vs26.0Age19.4vs20.1TS%55.7vs52.8BPM8.0vs5.5AST%16.7vs7.2 - 2Chris Singleton2011top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Fringe NBA · -0.8 career VORP · 148 g
College: Florida St. '11 · TS 53.1 · BPM 8.5
Max vert37.5"vs37.5"Ht6'7"vs6'8"Reach104.0"vs103.5"¾ sprint3.16svs3.09sAgility11.00svs11.33sWing83.3"vs85.0"Weight245 lbvs230 lbStd vert34.5"vs30.5"BPM8.0vs8.5USG%24.4vs23.6TS%55.7vs53.1PORPAG3.6vs2.5AST%16.7vs8.9Age19.4vs21.6 - 3Collin Murray-Boyles2025top 2%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 5 of 4 production
Became: Too early to grade · 1.0 career VORP · 57 g
College: South Carolina '25 · TS 63.0 · BPM 11.1
¾ sprint3.16svs3.20sWeight245 lbvs239 lbAgility11.00svs11.20sWing83.3"vs84.8"Max vert37.5"vs34.5"Reach104.0"vs106.0"Ht6'7"vs6'7"Std vert34.5"vs29.5"Shuttle3.39svs2.90sAge19.4vs20.0USG%24.4vs27.0AST%16.7vs21.1BPM8.0vs11.1TS%55.7vs63.0 - 4Tobias Harris2011top 2%
measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Starter · 24.3 career VORP · 1033 g
College: Tennessee '11 · TS 54.0 · BPM 4.7
Max vert37.5"vs37.5"¾ sprint3.16svs3.17sAgility11.00svs10.96sWing83.3"vs83.0"Reach104.0"vs103.5"Std vert34.5"vs31.5"Ht6'7"vs6'7"Weight245 lbvs223 lbPORPAG3.6vs3.7Age19.4vs18.9TS%55.7vs54.0USG%24.4vs25.9BPM8.0vs4.7AST%16.7vs10.4 - 5Kyle Singler2011top 3%
measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · -0.9 career VORP · 356 g
College: Duke '11 · TS 53.6 · BPM 5.8
Ht6'7"vs6'8"¾ sprint3.16svs3.21sAgility11.00svs11.22sWing83.3"vs82.1"Reach104.0"vs106.0"Weight245 lbvs228 lbMax vert37.5"vs30.0"Std vert34.5"vs23.0"USG%24.4vs23.5TS%55.7vs53.6BPM8.0vs5.8PORPAG3.6vs4.5AST%16.7vs8.8Age19.4vs23.1
Per-axis gap● near (under ½ SD)● ~1 SD● far (over 1 SD)
Comp outcomes · real careers
13/13 reached the NBAHow the closest comps turned out
2 Star4 Starter6 Rotation1 Fringe
Median outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Paul George2010
Star · 9× All-Star
Floor
Chris Singleton2011
Fringe · -0.8 VORP
The 15 nearest blended comps (2 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Peat.
College teamArizonaB12#2 T-Rank36-3SOS elite schedule · top 4%via BartTorvik
College stats · 2025-26 season
Arizona· B12
36 games · 64% min
labeled Wing F
Efficiency
- TS%55.7%72
- eFG%53.7%76
- USG%24.4%87
- ORTG116.290
- AdjOE129.498
- RIM%69.7%88
Playmaking
- AST%16.7%92
- TO%13.3%77
Defense
- STL%1.3%30
- BLK%2.5%87
- DRTG92.493
- DBPM+3.997
Rebounding
- ORB%9.1%92
- DRB%12.5%49
Composite
- BPM+8.098
- OBPM+4.195
- PORPAG3.696
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs W-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at position36 games· 27.8 mpg
Points
14.191
Rebounds
5.690
Assists
2.696
Steals
0.659
Blocks
0.795
ShootingFG 52.8%3PT 35.0%FT 62.3%
per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
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