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SG/SF#8 of 32 wings in 2026· Projected R1
Dailyn Swain
Developmental wing
Texas·6'7" · 211lb·6'10" wing·8'9" reach·8.0" hand·20.9 yo at draft·Columbus
1st-round non-lottery
ATH composite
42
NCAA dominance
91
Scoring
93
Playmaking
96
Defense
70
Shooting
93
Combine
Max vertical
36.5"p63
Lane agility
11.25sp52
¾ sprint
3.21sp63
Standing reach
104.5"p49
Draft score 64 out of 100, overall rank 26.
Data completeness
grade A · 100/1007/7 combine drills · D1 stats matched (6/6) · 3 mock boards · birthdate known
measures the data backing this profile — not confidence in the ranking
Skill signature · earned from the data
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionEfficient ScorerSynergy offense 96thGlass CleanerDRB 90th · classElite ProducerBPM 87th · classSharpshootereFG 83rd · classTwo-WaySynergy two-way 62/100
The read · from the percentiles
auto-derived · 2026 classDevelopmental wing. Carried by scoring efficiency (96th) and passing (90th); the question marks are perimeter defense (22nd) and rim protection (23rd).
StrengthsScoring efficiency96Passing90
WatchPerimeter defense22Rim protection23
Draft outlook
Where the math lands them
Projected landing
#26
Denver Nuggets
1st roundModel vs the field
The One
#26
Field
#25
In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.
across 3 mock boards
Scouting summary
Developmental wing profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 100th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 91 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 25th across 3 boards.
Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.
Our board over time
Where we've had him since May 30
now#26▼ Faller · down 10
May 30 · #16Jul 27 · #26
How the score is built
deterministic · auditable63.9draft scoreboard #26
Market 62% · consensus 25th / 3 boardsModel 38% · ranked 2nd
Our blend weights the mock-consensus board 62% and our deterministic, age-adjusted model 38% — the market had Swain 25th, our model 2nd. The model's own dominance / production / athletic split is in the card above.
Draft score breakdown
How the 64-point composite stacks up
Athletic compositeweight 40%42
NCAA dominanceweight 40%91
Mock consensusweight 20%75
avg rank 25 across 3 boards
Deterministic signals · v1 rules
- +6
Elite BPM
BPM = 100th pct
- +5
High usage + efficient
USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger
- +2
Consensus risers
latest consensus improved by 8 spots
Skill radar · the shape of his game
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionAvg axis 62th · each vertex is a positional percentile in the 2026 class.
Combine radar · vs. W-bucket
7 of 7 drills measured
Wingspan
med 83.0"
82.0"
p32
Standing reach
med 104.5"
104.5"
p49
Max vertical
med 35.0"
36.5"
p63
Standing vert
med 29.5"
28.0"
p30
¾ sprint
med 3.25s
3.21s
p63
Lane agility
med 11.29s
11.25s
p52
Shuttle
med 3.04s
3.08s
p39
Frame & hands · the tape
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionHeight
6'6.5"50
Wingspan diff
+3.5"33
Hand length
8.00"0
Hand width
9.25"22
Wingspan differential = wingspan − barefoot height (the “ape index”); a positive number means longer than tall. Combine measurements, percentile vs the 2026 class at the position.
Combine drills · controlled setting
percentile vs the 2026 class · at positionShooting & agility at the combine
Spot-up 3PT
14/25 · 56%20
Off-dribble 3PT
22/30 · 73%67
On-move 3PT
12/25 · 48%33
Modified agility
3.08s24
via stats.nba.com draft combine · shooting at the college 3PT distance (makes / attempts)
Two-way profile · how they play
Synergy · per possession · Texas-(Austin) Longhorns62 / 100 two-way score
Offense
1.22 PPP96
Defense
1.01 allow22
Shot dieteFG 58%3PT rate 24%FT rate 6%
Swain's offensive + defensive efficiency vs the 2026 class, per Synergy possessions.
NBA comps · measurables + production
vs wings · 2010–2015Closest NBA comparisons
Matched on combine measurements (length, frame, explosion, agility) and college production (BPM, TS%, usage, assists), within position group. Each comp's tag shows which basis drove it; the college production + career outcome shown belongs to the comp, never projected onto Swain.
“Top X%” = closer to Swain than (100−X)% of all drafted wings on the measurables + production; the bar shows relative closeness among these 5.
- 1Paul George2010top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 4 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Star · 9× All-Star · 45.2 career VORP · 945 g
College: Fresno St. '10 · TS 57.2 · BPM 6.7
Ht6'7"vs6'8"Weight211 lbvs214 lbWing82.0"vs83.3"Reach104.5"vs107.0"AST%21.3vs22.6USG%25.5vs27.3Age20.9vs20.1BPM9.4vs6.7PORPAG4.9vs3.4TS%63.3vs57.2 - 2Rodney Hood2014top 1%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 2.2 career VORP · 448 g
College: Duke '14 · TS 59.0 · BPM 6.3
Agility11.25svs11.21sMax vert36.5"vs36.0"Ht6'7"vs6'7"Weight211 lbvs208 lbStd vert28.0"vs29.0"Shuttle3.08svs3.14sReach104.5"vs103.0"Wing82.0"vs80.5"¾ sprint3.21svs3.38sPORPAG4.9vs4.8Age20.9vs21.7USG%25.5vs22.3TS%63.3vs59.0BPM9.4vs6.3AST%21.3vs13.2 - 3Sam Dekker2015top 2%
measurables + production · matched on 9 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · 0.5 career VORP · 201 g
College: Wisconsin '15 · TS 60.5 · BPM 9.0
Ht6'7"vs6'8"Weight211 lbvs219 lb¾ sprint3.21svs3.28sMax vert36.5"vs34.5"Reach104.5"vs106.0"Shuttle3.08svs2.96sWing82.0"vs83.5"Std vert28.0"vs25.5"Agility11.25svs10.64sBPM9.4vs9.0Age20.9vs21.1PORPAG4.9vs5.4TS%63.3vs60.5USG%25.5vs22.4AST%21.3vs8.6 - 4Luke Babbitt2010top 2%
measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Rotation player · -0.1 career VORP · 381 g
College: Nevada '10 · TS 61.2 · BPM 4.8
Ht6'7"vs6'8"Reach104.5"vs104.5"Max vert36.5"vs37.5"Weight211 lbvs218 lbStd vert28.0"vs29.5"Agility11.25svs10.98sWing82.0"vs83.3"¾ sprint3.21svs3.40sAge20.9vs21.0USG%25.5vs26.0TS%63.3vs61.2PORPAG4.9vs5.7BPM9.4vs4.8AST%21.3vs10.9 - 5Gordon Hayward2010top 4%
measurables + production · matched on 8 of 9 measurables · 6 of 4 production
Became: Star · 1× All-Star · 23.0 career VORP · 835 g
College: Butler '10 · TS 60.1 · BPM 8.6
Weight211 lbvs211 lb¾ sprint3.21svs3.22sHt6'7"vs6'7"Max vert36.5"vs34.5"Reach104.5"vs103.0"Std vert28.0"vs30.5"Agility11.25svs11.73sWing82.0"vs79.8"BPM9.4vs8.6USG%25.5vs24.4PORPAG4.9vs4.4Age20.9vs20.3TS%63.3vs60.1AST%21.3vs12.1
Per-axis gap● near (under ½ SD)● ~1 SD● far (over 1 SD)
Comp outcomes · real careers
10/13 reached the NBAHow the closest comps turned out
2 Star1 Starter7 Rotation3 Never reached NBA
Median outcome: Rotation — the typical case among these comps, between the floor and ceiling.
Ceiling
Paul George2010
Star · 9× All-Star
Floor
Dorian Finney-Smith2016
Never reached NBA
The 15 nearest blended comps (2 too recent to grade). These are the comps' own careers — a range of what the profile has become before, not a projection of Swain.
College teamTexasSEC#38 T-Rank21-15SOS tough schedule · top 14%via BartTorvik
College stats · 2025-26 season
Texas· SEC
35 games · 82% min
labeled Wing F
Efficiency
- TS%63.3%94
- eFG%57.8%89
- USG%25.5%91
- ORTG121.695
- AdjOE135.298
- RIM%64.3%72
Playmaking
- AST%21.3%97
- TO%18.4%44
Defense
- STL%2.8%87
- BLK%1.0%50
- DRTG99.574
- DBPM+3.496
Rebounding
- ORB%6.2%72
- DRB%20.7%94
Composite
- BPM+9.499
- OBPM+6.198
- PORPAG4.999
via BartTorvik · percentiles vs W-bucket of all D1 history (2008-26)
Per-game production · 2025-26
percentile vs D1 2008-25 · at position35 games· 32.8 mpg
Points
17.397
Rebounds
7.598
Assists
3.699
Steals
1.697
Blocks
0.373
ShootingFG 53.6%3PT 34.8%FT 81.3%
per-game · via barttorvik · percentiles vs all D1 2008-25 at the position
Raw per-game counts — not pace-adjusted; ranked against an 18-season D1 reference where elite-tier percentiles are stable across the window.
X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit
Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.
Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · Jun 25, 2026
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