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Joshua Jefferson headshot

ESPN

SF/PF#8 of 35 wings in 2026· Projected R1

Joshua Jefferson

Two-way wing

Iowa State·22.6 yo at draft
1st-round non-lottery
ATH composite
26
NCAA dominance
91

Scoring

78

Playmaking

100

Defense

96

Shooting

65

Combine

Max vertical

33.0"p15

Lane agility

11.91sp11

¾ sprint

3.42sp6

Standing reach

104.5"p55

draft73
rank#22
Draft score 73 out of 100, overall rank 22.

Draft outlook

Where the math lands them

Projected landing

Philadelphia 76ers

#22

Philadelphia 76ers

1st round

Model vs the field

The One

#22

vs

Field

#27

In line with the field — our board and the consensus agree within a couple of slots.

across 3 mock boards

Scouting summary

Two-way wing profile. The loudest scout signal: elite bpm (BPM = 100th pct). Their NCAA dominance composite lands at 91 on a 100 scale. Mock consensus pegs them 27th across 3 boards.

Auto-generated from archetype + top deterministic chip · long-form narrative ships when the generator's AI pass is enabled.

Mock consensus over time

Avg rank across 3 boards

now#27▼ 0.3 spots
#30#27
2026-05-1416 captures2026-05-29

Draft score breakdown

How the 73-point composite stacks up

chip delta · +9
Athletic compositeweight 40%26
NCAA dominanceweight 40%91
Mock consensusweight 20%73

avg rank 27 across 3 boards

Deterministic signals · v1 rules

  • Elite BPM

    BPM = 100th pct

    +6
  • High usage + efficient

    USG and TS percentiles both clear the v1 trigger

    +5
  • Slow first step

    sprint = 6th pct

    -4
  • Heavy-legged

    max vertical = 15th pct

    -3
  • Defensive impact

    STL% + BLK% = 96th pct

    +3
  • Consensus risers

    latest consensus improved by 7 spots

    +2

Trait grades

0–100 percentile within position group

Scoring
78
Playmaking
100
Defense
96
Shooting
65
Athleticism
26
Size
52

Combine radar · vs. W-bucket

7 of 7 drills measured

cohort n=134 · 2015-2025
WINGSPANSTANDING REACHMAX VERTICALSTANDING VERT¾ SPRINTLANE AGILITYSHUTTLE
  • Wingspan

    med 82.8"

    82.8"

    p49

  • Standing reach

    med 104.0"

    104.5"

    p55

  • Max vertical

    med 36.0"

    33.0"

    p15

  • Standing vert

    med 30.0"

    27.0"

    p14

  • ¾ sprint

    med 3.20s

    3.42s

    p6

  • Lane agility

    med 11.10s

    11.91s

    p11

  • Shuttle

    med 3.00s

    3.08s

    p37

College stats · 2025-26 season

Iowa St.· B12

35 games · 73% min

labeled Wing F

Name match to Iowa St., prospect card says Iowa State — possible mid-season transfer or stale label.

Efficiency

  • TS%
    56.0%65
  • eFG%
    51.7%60
  • USG%
    28.6%97
  • ORTG
    115.278

Playmaking

  • AST%
    27.7%100
  • TO%
    16.7%38

Defense

  • STL%
    3.1%90
  • BLK%
    3.4%94
  • DRTG
    87.2100
  • DBPM
    +6.6100

Rebounding

  • ORB%
    7.2%82
  • DRB%
    21.8%97

Composite

  • BPM
    +11.2100
  • OBPM
    +4.697

via BartTorvik · percentiles vs W-bucket of the 2025-26 D1 pool

X-factor · Risk · Scheme fit

Long-form scouting prose ships when the generator's AI narrative pass is enabled. The deterministic chip list above carries the same information as structured signals.

Generated by deterministic-v3-ageadj-consensus · May 30, 2026

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