WNBA game · live box score, betting context · The One Analytics

FINAL+22NY

WSH

5-7

6486

10-4

WNBASun, Jun 14FinalSeriesNY wins series 2-1VegasNY -13.5

WSH · top performer

Michaela Onyenwere

F · #12

13.8Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

NY · top performer

Jonquel Jones

C · #35

19.4Game score

Pts

Reb

Ast

Game flowWSH ↔ NY

Biggest swing: 5pp · 1st Quarter · 4:55

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
M. OnyenwereF · #12	21	17	7-10	2-2	1-1	+4	4	1
A. DugalicF · #32	26	4	2-11	0-4	—	-14	6	0
S. AustinC · #0	30	8	3-12	—	2-4	-13	6	4
S. CitronG · #22	31	12	3-9	1-5	5-6	-17	3	2
G. AmooreG · #8	16	0	0-5	0-4	—	-5	2	2
Bench
L. BettsC · #51	24	4	2-3	—	0-1	-17	6	1
R. HarmonG · #3	2	0	—	—	—	-5	0	1
L. OlsenG · #33	4	2	1-2	0-1	—	-4	0	0
C. McMahonG · #23	21	8	3-10	2-5	—	-21	3	0
C. ProsperG · #18	4	2	1-1	—	—	-6	0	0
A. FlorezG · #2	22	7	2-8	2-4	1-4	-12	2	6
Team		64	24-71	7-25	9-16		32	17
DNP: K. Iriafen, D. Littlepage-Buggs

box score. Tap a column header to sort by that stat; tap again to reverse, a third time to clear. The team leader in each stat is highlighted. Players who did not play are listed at the bottom.
Player
Starters
B. StewartF · #30	30	14	5-12	1-2	3-4	+13	12	1
L. FiebichF · #13	24	8	3-7	2-5	—	+3	2	2
J. JonesC · #35	27	20	7-11	3-6	3-3	+8	4	1
M. JohannesG · #23	17	8	3-5	2-4	—	+4	4	2
P. AstierG · #18	20	6	2-4	0-1	2-2	+9	1	6
Bench
S. SaballyF · #0	19	7	2-5	1-3	2-3	+15	2	6
R. CarreraF · #14	2	4	1-1	—	2-2	+6	0	0
H. XuC · #21	13	6	2-3	2-3	—	+14	0	0
R. GardnerG · #7	11	4	0-1	—	4-4	+6	0	0
B. Laney-HamiltonG · #44	11	4	2-4	—	—	+14	2	1
S. IonescuG · #20	26	5	1-4	0-2	3-4	+18	3	3
Team		86	28-57	11-26	19-22		30	22
DNP: R. Allen

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

FG %

Ast

Team stats

WSH

Away

Stat

Home

24-71

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

28-57

FG %

7-25

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

11-26

9-16

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

19-22

Assists

Turnovers

Season series

NY wins series 2-1

May 10

NY98@

WSH93

Jun 14

WSH64@

NY86today

Jun 19

WSH86@

NY83

Model & market

Vegas line center

DraftKings via ESPN · 21+

Spread

NY -13.5

Between 10 and —

2.0pt· 6.3h

Total

167.5

Standard · +2.5 vs avg

Moneyline

WSH+57515%

NY-85089%

150· 6.3h

Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.

SpreadBet NY -13.5↗SpreadBet NY -13.5↗

Line movement · 200 snapshots

ESPN-tracked · 21+

Spread

13.5

+3.0 since open

Total

167.5

+1.0 since open

How it ended

NY beat WSH 86-64. J. Jones led with 20 PTS, 4 REB, 1 AST. NY outscored the other side 23-14 in the 4th quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

NY vs WSH

Starters vs bench

production by unit

WSHstarters 64% of pts

Starters(5)

41 PTS · 21 REB · 9 AST

GS 17

Bench(6)

23 PTS · 11 REB · 8 AST

GS 15

NYstarters 65% of pts

Starters(5)

56 PTS · 23 REB · 12 AST

GS 55

Bench(6)

30 PTS · 7 REB · 10 AST

GS 21

Linescore (quarters)

Team	1	2	3	4	T
WSH	13	15	22	14	64
NY	20	16	27	23	86

Period scoring

WSH won 0 · NY won 4

McMahon 3

Johannes 6

Citron 4

Stewart 9

Onyenwere 7

Jones 12

Onyenwere 5

Jones 5

WSH

Shooting comparison

WSH

34%

24-71

49%

28-57

28%

7-25

3PT

42%

11-26

56%

9-16

86%

19-22

Play-by-play · 407 plays

period

event

player

Q4·0.0
End of Game
WSH 64·NY 86
Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
WSH 64·NY 86
Q4·0.5
Marine Johannes defensive rebound
WSH 64·NY 86
Q4·4.2
Angela Dugalic misses 24-foot three point jumper
WSH 64·NY 86
Q4·15.4
Raquel Carrera makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 64·NY 86
Q4·15.4
Raquel Carrera makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 64·NY 85
Q4·15.4
Angela Dugalic shooting foul
WSH 64·NY 84
Q4·18.6
Marine Johannes defensive rebound
WSH 64·NY 84
Q4·22.3
Angela Dugalic misses 24-foot three point pullup jump shot
WSH 64·NY 84
Q4·44.8
Pauline Astier makes two point shot (Marine Johannes assists)
·
WSH 64·NY 84
Q4·55.8
Cassandre Prosper bad pass turnover (Rebekah Gardner steals)
·
WSH 64·NY 82
Q4·57.0
Rebekah Gardner personal foul
WSH 64·NY 82
Q4·1:05
Rebekah Gardner makes free throw 2 of 2
WSH 64·NY 82
Q4·1:05
Rebekah Gardner makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 64·NY 81
Q4·1:05
Lucy Olsen personal foul
WSH 64·NY 80
Q4·1:21
Lucy Olsen makes driving layup
WSH 64·NY 80
Q4·1:30
Raquel Carrera makes driving layup (Pauline Astier assists)
·
WSH 62·NY 80
Q4·1:45
Raquel Carrera enters the game for Sabrina Ionescu
·
WSH 62·NY 78
Q4·1:45
Pauline Astier enters the game for Leonie Fiebich
·
WSH 62·NY 78
Q4·1:45
Liberty Full timeout
WSH 62·NY 78
Q4·1:45
Cassandre Prosper makes 18-foot pullup jump shot (Rori Harmon assists)
·
WSH 62·NY 78
Q4·1:52
Lauren Betts defensive rebound
WSH 60·NY 78
Q4·1:55
Sabrina Ionescu misses free throw 2 of 2
WSH 60·NY 78
Q4·1:55
Rebekah Gardner enters the game for Satou Sabally
·
WSH 60·NY 78
Q4·1:55
Sabrina Ionescu makes free throw 1 of 2
WSH 60·NY 78
Q4·1:55
Angela Dugalic shooting foul
WSH 60·NY 77
Q4·2:10
Rori Harmon enters the game for Alicia Florez
·
WSH 60·NY 77
Q4·2:10
Liberty defensive team rebound
WSH 60·NY 77
Q4·2:13
Lucy Olsen misses 25-foot three point jumper
WSH 60·NY 77
Q4·2:21
Angela Dugalic enters the game for Shakira Austin
·
WSH 60·NY 77

Betting line

NY -13.5·O/U 167.5·WSH +575/NY -850

DraftKings · via ESPN

Recap · WNBA

ew York Liberty held off Washington Mystics, 86–64. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

NY -13.5 cashed (won by 22). Total stayed UNDER 167.5 by 17.5.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

Four factors · this game

Who won the possession battle

Dean Oliver’s four factors from this game’s box score — shooting, turnovers, offensive rebounding, free throws.

WSH

eFG%

shooting

38.7%

58.8%

TOV%

ball control

17.0%

20.3%

OREB%

offensive glass

32.4%

20.0%

FT rate

free throws / FGA

12.7%

33.3%

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

5 of 16 players in cohort

Shakira AustinWSH · C
DRB%.28195
Jonquel JonesNY · C
DRB%.27493
Marine JohannesNY · G
eFG%.62993
Pauline AstierNY · G
TS%.65692
Breanna StewartNY · F
USG%.28091

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

78.1%

ensemble · NY favored

Elo Static
77.1%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Elo Recent
80.8%
P(NY win)
34%
weight
Pace Efficiency
82.1%
P(NY win)
33%
weight

Disagreement

2.11 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

86% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

3 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Line shopping · 1 book

Where to bet this game.

Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.

+11.1pp

best edge · WSH · DraftKings

WSH

★ best

+575DraftKings

edge +11.1pp · implied 14.2%

no live price

Book	WSH	NY	Best edge
DraftKings	+575★	-850	+11.1

Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.

Player projections

NY vs WSH.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

130

projections · 80 high confidence

Points

Breanna StewartNY
22.8± 8.7high
Sabrina IonescuNY
18.8± 6.4high
Shakira AustinWSH
16.8± 5.6high

Rebounds

Shakira AustinWSH
9.8± 3.7high
Jonquel JonesNY
9.6± 3.2high
Kiki IriafenWSH
9.0± 3.6high

Assists

Sabrina IonescuNY
4.7± 1.6high
Sonia CitronWSH
3.8± 2.0high
Breanna StewartNY
3.6± 2.7high

Blocks

Breanna StewartNY
1.6± 1.1high
Shakira AustinWSH
1.6± 1.3high
Jonquel JonesNY
1.0± 0.7high

Steals

Breanna StewartNY
1.3± 1.4high
Leonie FiebichNY
1.2± 1.1medium
Pauline AstierNY
1.2± 1.2high

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

On the call · WNBA

3 officials

Referee

Charles Watson

Referee

Tiara Cruse

Referee

Sarah Williams

Per-official season stats (foul rate, strike-zone tendency) activate with the season-stats rollup. Bookmark the names for now.

Team pages

Washington MysticsNew York Liberty

Elsewhere in the WNBA

Dream102Tempo77Final

Data via ESPN · wehoop