CHI
4-6
TOR
5-5
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
5 of 15 players in cohort
Marina MabreyTOR · GUSG%.30596
Kamilla CardosoCHI · CORB%.12293
Skylar DigginsCHI · GAST/TO3.193
Brittney SykesTOR · GUSG%.28491
Jacy SheldonCHI · GAST/TO2.589
CHI · top performer
Azura Stevens
F · #30
16
Pts
8
Reb
0
Ast
TOR · top performer
Brittney Sykes
G · #20
22
Pts
4
Reb
3
Ast
WNBA · Chicago Sky at Toronto Tempo · live
WNBA · Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 19 | 16 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | -8 | 8 | 0 | |
| 20 | 9 | 2-6 | — | 5-8 | -17 | 5 | 1 | |
| 23 | 5 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | -11 | 1 | 3 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | — | -11 | 1 | 0 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | — | -12 | 2 | 2 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 15 | 4 | 0-4 | — | 4-8 | -7 | 3 | 1 | |
| 20 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-2 | — | -6 | 3 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | -2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | — | -6 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14 | 8 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | -5 | 3 | 1 | |
| Team | 53 | 17-49 | 4-15 | 15-24 | 27 | 12 | ||
| DNP: R. Jackson, C. Vandersloot, D. Carrington | ||||||||
| Player | MIN | PTS | FG | 3PT | FT | +/- | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starters | ||||||||
| 20 | 14 | 7-13 | 0-1 | — | +13 | 6 | 1 | |
| 19 | 10 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 6-7 | +10 | 4 | 1 | |
| 23 | 22 | 8-19 | 0-3 | 6-7 | +17 | 4 | 3 | |
| 22 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-3 | — | +14 | 4 | 5 | |
| 21 | 4 | 1-1 | — | 2-2 | +13 | 3 | 3 | |
| Bench | ||||||||
| 13 | 11 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-1 | +12 | 4 | 1 | |
| 16 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-3 | — | +8 | 4 | 2 | |
| 6 | 0 | — | — | — | -1 | 3 | 0 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | -1 | 0 | 0 | |
| -- | 0 | — | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team | 70 | 26-61 | 2-15 | 16-19 | 32 | 16 | ||
| DNP: T. Fagbenle, K. Rice | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
35
FG %
43
12
Ast
16
Season series
TOR leads series 1-0
TOR111@CHI104CHI@TORtodayTOR@CHIupcomingVegas line center
DraftKings via ESPN · 21+
Spread
TOR -3.5
Between — and 5
1.0pt· 6.1h
Total
175.5
High-scoring · +10.5 vs avg
Moneyline
CHI+13642%TOR-16262%15· 6.1h
Implied probabilities back-computed from American odds — break-even win % a moneyline bet needs to be +EV.
Line movement · 200 snapshots
ESPN-tracked · 21+
Spread
3.5
+1.0 since open
Total
175.5
0.0 since open
Live · top performers so far
39.9 - 3rdSky Full timeout
CHIA. Stevens
FLeading · 39.9 - 3rd · 19 min
16 PTS · 8 REB · 0 AST
On pace: 34 PTS · 17 REB · 0 AST
TORB. Sykes
GLeading · 39.9 - 3rd · 23 min
22 PTS · 4 REB · 3 AST
On pace: 38 PTS · 7 REB · 5 AST
How it's going
TOR lead CHI 70-53 (39.9 - 3rd). B. Sykes led with 22 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST. TOR have outscored the other side 29-15 in the 1st quarter.
Win probability
TOR vs CHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitCHIstarters 74% of ptsStarters(5)
39 PTS · 17 REB · 6 AST
GS 23
Bench(5)
14 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST
GS 5
TORstarters 79% of ptsStarters(5)
55 PTS · 21 REB · 13 AST
GS 47
Bench(5)
15 PTS · 11 REB · 3 AST
GS 9
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 15 | 18 | 20 | 53 |
| TOR | 29 | 19 | 22 | 70 |
Period scoring
CHI won 0 · TOR won 3
Q1
Stevens 6
Sabally 10
Q2
Sheldon 6
Sykes 5
Q3
Stevens 5
Sykes 13
Shooting comparison
35%
17-49
FG
43%
26-61
27%
4-15
3PT
13%
2-15
63%
15-24
FT
84%
16-19
Play-by-play · 348 plays
- Q3·39.9
Sky Full timeout
CHI 53·TOR 70
- Q3·39.9
Elizabeth Williams shooting foul
CHI 53·TOR 70
- Q3·52.4
Laura Juskaite enters the game for Isabelle Harrison
·
CHI 53·TOR 70
- Q3·52.4
Gabriela Jaquez offensive foul turnover
CHI 53·TOR 70
- Q3·52.4
Gabriela Jaquez offensive charge
CHI 53·TOR 70
- Q3·1:05
Brittney Sykes makes driving layup
CHI 53·TOR 70
- Q3·1:24
Elizabeth Williams makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 53·TOR 68
+0.7pp
- Q3·1:24
Elizabeth Williams makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 52·TOR 68
- Q3·1:24
Isabelle Harrison shooting foul
CHI 51·TOR 68
−0.8pp
- Q3·1:38
Brittney Sykes makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 51·TOR 68
- Q3·1:38
Azura Stevens enters the game for Kamilla Cardoso
·
CHI 51·TOR 67
- Q3·1:38
Brittney Sykes makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 51·TOR 67
- Q3·1:38
Kamilla Cardoso shooting foul
CHI 51·TOR 66
- Q3·1:40
Brittney Sykes offensive rebound
CHI 51·TOR 66
+0.6pp
- Q3·1:41
Elizabeth Williams blocks Isabelle Harrison's two point shot
·
CHI 51·TOR 66
−0.6pp
- Q3·1:42
Isabelle Harrison offensive rebound
CHI 51·TOR 66
+0.7pp
- Q3·1:43
Kamilla Cardoso blocks Brittney Sykes 's 3-foot running layup
·
CHI 51·TOR 66
−0.6pp
- Q3·1:47
Sydney Taylor bad pass turnover (Isabelle Harrison steals)
·
CHI 51·TOR 66
+0.8pp
- Q3·1:53
Gabriela Jaquez defensive rebound
CHI 51·TOR 66
- Q3·1:55
Nyara Sabally misses driving floating jump shot
CHI 51·TOR 66
−0.6pp
- Q3·2:03
Tempo offensive team rebound
CHI 51·TOR 66
+0.6pp
- Q3·2:03
Brittney Sykes misses two point shot
CHI 51·TOR 66
−0.6pp
- Q3·2:08
Natasha Cloud lost ball turnover (Julie Allemand steals)
·
CHI 51·TOR 66
+0.9pp
- Q3·2:15
Brittney Sykes makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 51·TOR 66
−0.5pp
- Q3·2:15
Brittney Sykes makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 51·TOR 65
- Q3·2:15
Sydney Taylor shooting foul
CHI 51·TOR 64
+1pp
- Q3·2:33
Kamilla Cardoso makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 51·TOR 64
- Q3·2:33
Brittney Sykes enters the game for Marina Mabrey
·
CHI 50·TOR 64
- Q3·2:33
Sky offensive team rebound
CHI 50·TOR 64
+0.9pp
- Q3·2:33
Kamilla Cardoso misses free throw 1 of 2
CHI 50·TOR 64
+0.7pp
Team stats
CHI
Away
Stat
TOR
Home
17-49
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
26-61
35
FG %
43
4-15
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
2-15
15-24
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
16-19
12
Assists
16
11
Turnovers
5
Betting line
TOR -3.5·O/U 175.5·CHI +136/TOR -162
78.6%
TOR wins · current
Pre-game: 65.3% TOR
CHI 53 · 70 TOR
TOR +17
Live momentum · cumulative diff
Q3Ensemble breakdown
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
63.5%
ensemble · TOR favored
Elo Static
74.1%
P(TOR win)
31%
weight
Elo Recent
74.3%
P(TOR win)
35%
weight
Pace Efficiency
69.3%
P(TOR win)
34%
weight
Disagreement
2.33 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
85% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
3 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Live model · pick
Receipts
The receipts
Closing-line value.
+2.97
CLV pp · steam
Open price
-120
Close price
-135
Open no-vig
52.2%
Close no-vig
55.1%
Market steamed in our direction
Line shop
Line shopping · 1 book
Where to bet this game.
Same model, different prices. The same moneyline can vary 25¢ across books — taking the worst price wipes out a real edge instantly. Star marks the best-paying book per side.
+4.9pp
best edge · TOR · DraftKings
CHI
no live price
TOR
★ bestedge +4.9pp · implied 60.4%
| Book | CHI | TOR | Best edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +142 | -170★ | +4.9 |
Edges shown are model probability minus no-vig implied probability for that side at that book. Stars mark the highest-paying cell per side. Lines refresh every 60 seconds.
Player props
Player projections
TOR vs CHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
105
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Brittney SykesTOR19.2± 13.2low
- Marina MabreyTOR18.5± 11.8low
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
Rebounds
- Kamilla CardosoCHI9.4± 4.3low
- Gabriela JaquezCHI4.9± 2.4low
- Nyara SaballyTOR4.9± 3.0low
Assists
- Skylar DigginsCHI4.8± 3.2low
- Natasha CloudCHI4.3± 4.1low
- Brittney SykesTOR3.7± 2.8low
Blocks
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.7± 2.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
- Nyara SaballyTOR1.1± 1.1low
Steals
- Brittney SykesTOR1.6± 2.0low
- Julie AllemandTOR1.5± 1.4low
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Team rate stats
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
CHI
league avg
TOR
41.9%
FG%
44.2
▶43.2%
28.3%
3PT %
32.9
▶33.9%
81.9
PPG
84.7
▶88.8
19.4
Assists / G
18.0
17.6
11.8
Turnovers / G
13.0
12.6