Aug 1, 25sim 93
588
3(H)78
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+11NY
NY
20-10
8877
DAL
8-23
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
ew York Liberty went into Dallas Wings and beat them, 88–77.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
NY · top performer
Emma Meesseman
C · #33
17.6Game score
14
Pts
8
Reb
7
Ast
DAL · top performer
Myisha Hines-Allen
F · #2
11.2Game score
12
Pts
7
Reb
0
Ast
WNBA · New York Liberty at Dallas Wings · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
NY20-10
8877
DAL8-23
NY20-10DAL8-23
NY
20-10
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 28 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +14 | |
| 28 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +8 | |
ORB%.08986 DRB%.25386 eFG%.45529 | ||||||||
| 31 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +25 | |
| 30 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +8 | |
| 29 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | |
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | |
| 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -17 | |
| 23 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +11 | |
| Team | 88 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 10 | ||
DAL
8-23
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 18 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9 | |
| 27 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | |
| 35 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8 | |
| 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -13 | |
| 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -21 | |
| 20 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +9 | |
| 25 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5 | |
| 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -12 | |
| 30 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +4 | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | |
| Team | 77 | 40 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 15 | ||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
46
FG %
40
24
Ast
14
Season series
NY wins series 2-1
Jul 29NY82@DAL92
NY82@DAL92Aug 5DAL76@NY85
DAL76@NY85Aug 8NY88@DAL77today
NY88@DAL77todayHeadlines · top performers
Game flowNY ↔ DAL
Biggest swing: 8pp · 3rd Quarter · 39.6
NYE. Meesseman
CGame leader · 31 min
14 PTS · 8 REB · 7 AST
DALM. Hines-Allen
FGame leader · 20 min
12 PTS · 7 REB · 0 AST
How it ended
NY beat DAL 88-77. E. Meesseman led with 14 PTS, 8 REB, 7 AST. NY outscored the other side 28-15 in the 1st quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
DAL vs NY
Starters vs bench
production by unitNYstarters 77% of ptsStarters(5)
68 PTS · 25 REB · 21 AST
GS 59
Bench(4)
20 PTS · 7 REB · 3 AST
GS 16
DALstarters 43% of ptsStarters(5)
33 PTS · 21 REB · 9 AST
GS 15
Bench(5)
44 PTS · 19 REB · 5 AST
GS 31
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactDAL3rd Quarter · 1:05 · 58-53
+7pp→ 23% WP
Marine Johannes · misses layup
NY3rd Quarter · 39.6 · 61-55
+8pp→ 80% WP
Marine Johannes · makes 28-foot three pointer (Emma Meesseman assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 28 | 22 | 14 | 24 | 88 |
| DAL | 15 | 19 | 23 | 20 | 77 |
Period scoring
NY won 3 · DAL won 1
28
15
Q1
Meesseman 6
Quinerly 4
22
19
Q2
Meesseman 8
Miller 6
14
23
Q3
Johannes 8
Ogunbowale 12
24
20
Q4
Jones 8
Siegrist 11
NY
DAL
Shooting comparison
NY
DAL
46%
31-67
FG
40%
28-70
38%
10-26
3PT
14%
3-21
100%
16-16
FT
78%
18-23
Play-by-play · 399 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
NY 88·DAL 77
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
NY 88·DAL 77
- Q4·15.7
Maddy Siegrist makes layup (Arike Ogunbowale assists)
·
NY 88·DAL 77
- Q4·20.4
Liberty delay of game violation
NY 88·DAL 75
- Q4·20.4
Sabrina Ionescu makes two point shot
NY 88·DAL 75
- Q4·20.4
Sabrina Ionescu offensive rebound
NY 86·DAL 75
- Q4·21.6
Sabrina Ionescu misses driving layup
NY 86·DAL 75
- Q4·44.8
Natasha Cloud defensive rebound
NY 86·DAL 75
- Q4·48.1
Myisha Hines-Allen misses 23-foot three point jumper
NY 86·DAL 75
- Q4·53.6
Jonquel Jones makes 25-foot three point jumper (Emma Meesseman assists)
· ·
NY 86·DAL 75
−1pp
- Q4·1:15
Emma Meesseman defensive rebound
NY 83·DAL 75
- Q4·1:15
Myisha Hines-Allen misses free throw 2 of 2
NY 83·DAL 75
−3pp
- Q4·1:15
Myisha Hines-Allen makes free throw 1 of 2
NY 83·DAL 75
+0.5pp
- Q4·1:15
Marine Johannes enters the game for Leonie Fiebich
·
NY 83·DAL 74
- Q4·1:15
Leonie Fiebich personal foul
NY 83·DAL 74
+2pp
- Q4·1:23
Sabrina Ionescu makes 14-foot pullup jump shot (Natasha Cloud assists)
·
NY 83·DAL 74
−2pp
- Q4·1:43
Myisha Hines-Allen makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 81·DAL 74
−2pp
- Q4·1:43
Myisha Hines-Allen makes free throw 1 of 2
NY 81·DAL 73
+0.5pp
- Q4·1:43
Emma Meesseman shooting foul
NY 81·DAL 72
+3pp
- Q4·1:55
Sabrina Ionescu makes free throw 2 of 2
NY 81·DAL 72
+0.8pp
- Q4·1:55
Sabrina Ionescu makes free throw 1 of 2
NY 80·DAL 72
- Q4·1:55
Arike Ogunbowale personal foul
NY 79·DAL 72
−2pp
- Q4·2:01
Emma Meesseman enters the game for Stephanie Talbot
·
NY 79·DAL 72
- Q4·2:01
Liberty Full timeout
NY 79·DAL 72
- Q4·2:09
Arike Ogunbowale makes 11-foot step back jumpshot
NY 79·DAL 72
+1pp
- Q4·2:15
Myisha Hines-Allen defensive rebound
NY 79·DAL 70
- Q4·2:16
Leonie Fiebich misses tip shot
NY 79·DAL 70
+0.9pp
- Q4·2:18
Leonie Fiebich offensive rebound
NY 79·DAL 70
−0.9pp
- Q4·2:19
Sabrina Ionescu misses driving layup
NY 79·DAL 70
+0.7pp
- Q4·2:32
Stephanie Talbot defensive rebound
NY 79·DAL 70
Team stats
NY
Away
Stat
DAL
Home
31-67
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
28-70
46
FG %
40
10-26
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
3-21
16-16
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
18-23
24
Assists
14
10
Turnovers
15
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 14 players in cohort
Jonquel JonesNY · CORB%.08986
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · NY favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
DAL vs NY.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
100
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Paige BueckersDAL18.6± 8.3low
- Breanna StewartNY17.3± 11.0low
- Arike OgunbowaleDAL13.6± 12.3low
Rebounds
- Jessica ShepardDAL10.7± 6.4low
- Breanna StewartNY8.2± 2.4low
- Jonquel JonesNY8.0± 3.1low
Assists
- Jessica ShepardDAL6.0± 4.9low
- Paige BueckersDAL5.3± 3.3low
- Marine JohannesNY4.2± 4.0low
Blocks
- Jonquel JonesNY1.2± 1.9low
- Breanna StewartNY1.0± 1.7low
- Awak KuierDAL0.9± 1.1low
Steals
- Marine JohannesNY1.7± 2.1low
- Aziaha JamesDAL1.5± 1.8low
- Breanna StewartNY1.1± 1.3low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
NY
league avg
DAL
45.6%
FG%
44.7
▶46.6%
35.3%
3PT %
32.6
▶37.3%
86.6
PPG
85.4
▶88.9
21.7
Assists / G
18.0
▶23.4
14.4
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶10.3