Aug 8, 25sim 91
988
3(H)77
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+21ATL
ATL
19-11
8665
CHI
8-22
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
tlanta Dream went into Chicago Sky and beat them, 86–65. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
ATL · top performer
Allisha Gray
G · #15
20.0Game score
25
Pts
4
Reb
2
Ast
CHI · top performer
Rachel Banham
G · #24
13.1Game score
18
Pts
4
Reb
2
Ast
WNBA · Atlanta Dream at Chicago Sky · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
ATL19-11
8665
CHI8-22
ATL19-11CHI8-22
ATL
19-11
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 30 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +9 | |
| 34 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +16 | |
| 34 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +12 | |
| 33 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +16 | |
| 36 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +24 | |
| 15 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +14 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8 | |
| Team | 86 | 37 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 11 | ||
| DNP: B. Griner, M. Caldwell, R. Howard | ||||||||
CHI
8-22
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | |
| 27 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -15 | |
| 35 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -22 | |
| 32 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -20 | |
| 25 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -11 | |
| 15 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | |
| 16 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10 | |
| 20 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10 | |
| Team | 65 | 27 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 13 | ||
| DNP: A. Reese, C. Vandersloot | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
45
FG %
43
20
Ast
19
Season series
ATL wins series 4-0
Jun 13CHI70@ATL88
CHI70@ATL88Jun 22CHI80@ATL93
CHI80@ATL93Jul 16ATL86@CHI49
ATL86@CHI49Aug 8ATL86@CHI65today
ATL86@CHI65todayHeadlines · top performers
Game flowATL ↔ CHI
Biggest swing: 11pp · 2nd Quarter · 1:13
ATLA. Gray
GGame leader · 34 min
25 PTS · 4 REB · 2 AST
CHIR. Banham
GGame leader · 32 min
18 PTS · 4 REB · 2 AST
How it ended
ATL beat CHI 86-65. A. Gray paced them with 25 PTS, 4 REB, 2 AST. ATL outscored the other side 32-18 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CHI vs ATL
Starters vs bench
production by unitATLstarters 80% of ptsStarters(5)
69 PTS · 29 REB · 17 AST
GS 56
Bench(4)
17 PTS · 8 REB · 3 AST
GS 19
CHIstarters 74% of ptsStarters(5)
48 PTS · 18 REB · 13 AST
GS 31
Bench(5)
17 PTS · 9 REB · 6 AST
GS 12
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactATL2nd Quarter · 1:13 · 26-32
+11pp→ 40% WP
Allisha Gray · makes 27-foot three pointer (Naz Hillmon assists)
ATL3rd Quarter · 9:38 · 31-34
+9pp→ 47% WP
Allisha Gray · makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jordin Canada assists)
CHI3rd Quarter · 5:40 · 41-40
+9pp→ 39% WP
Rebecca Allen · blocks Allisha Gray 's 1-foot driving layup
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 15 | 13 | 32 | 26 | 86 |
| CHI | 18 | 16 | 18 | 13 | 65 |
Period scoring
ATL won 2 · CHI won 2
15
18
Q1
Canada 5
Banham 6
13
16
Q2
Gray 7
Banham 5
32
18
Q3
Gray 9
Williams 4
26
13
Q4
Canada 10
Banham 7
ATL
CHI
Shooting comparison
ATL
CHI
45%
28-62
FG
43%
28-65
43%
9-21
3PT
31%
4-13
84%
21-25
FT
63%
5-8
Play-by-play · 361 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
ATL 86·CHI 65
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
ATL 86·CHI 65
- Q4·10.0
Rachel Banham defensive rebound
ATL 86·CHI 65
- Q4·12.9
Rachel Banham blocks Nia Coffey 's 2-foot two point shot
·
ATL 86·CHI 65
- Q4·33.8
Taylor Thierry defensive rebound
ATL 86·CHI 65
- Q4·35.6
Rachel Banham misses 23-foot three point step back jumpshot
ATL 86·CHI 65
- Q4·51.6
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough makes 23-foot three point jumper (Te-Hina Paopao assists)
·
ATL 86·CHI 65
- Q4·1:00
Taylor Thierry enters the game for Jordin Canada
·
ATL 83·CHI 65
- Q4·1:00
Kamiah Smalls enters the game for Naz Hillmon
·
ATL 83·CHI 65
- Q4·1:00
Dream timeout
ATL 83·CHI 65
- Q4·1:08
Nia Coffey defensive rebound
ATL 83·CHI 65
- Q4·1:10
Hailey Van Lith misses 9-foot pullup jump shot
ATL 83·CHI 65
- Q4·1:29
Nia Coffey makes driving layup (Naz Hillmon assists)
·
ATL 83·CHI 65
- Q4·1:52
Dream defensive team rebound
ATL 81·CHI 65
- Q4·1:52
Rachel Banham misses 26-foot three point step back jumpshot
ATL 81·CHI 65
- Q4·2:16
Shatori Walker-Kimbrough enters the game for Brionna Jones
·
ATL 81·CHI 65
- Q4·2:16
Nia Coffey enters the game for Allisha Gray
·
ATL 81·CHI 65
- Q4·2:16
Hailey Van Lith enters the game for Ariel Atkins
·
ATL 81·CHI 65
- Q4·2:16
Brionna Jones turnover
ATL 81·CHI 65
- Q4·2:16
Brionna Jones offensive foul
ATL 81·CHI 65
- Q4·2:25
Naz Hillmon defensive rebound
ATL 81·CHI 65
- Q4·2:28
Allisha Gray blocks Rachel Banham 's 21-foot pullup jump shot
·
ATL 81·CHI 65
- Q4·2:42
Naz Hillmon makes layup (Allisha Gray assists)
·
ATL 81·CHI 65
- Q4·3:05
Kamilla Cardoso makes 1-foot layup (Rachel Banham assists)
·
ATL 79·CHI 65
- Q4·3:19
Maddy Westbeld enters the game for Elizabeth Williams
·
ATL 79·CHI 63
- Q4·3:19
Sky Full timeout
ATL 79·CHI 63
- Q4·3:26
Allisha Gray makes driving layup (Jordin Canada assists)
·
ATL 79·CHI 63
- Q4·3:39
Naz Hillmon defensive rebound
ATL 77·CHI 63
- Q4·3:41
Sevgi Uzun misses 26-foot three point jumper
ATL 77·CHI 63
- Q4·3:54
shot clock turnover
ATL 77·CHI 63
Team stats
ATL
Away
Stat
CHI
Home
28-62
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
28-65
45
FG %
43
9-21
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
4-13
21-25
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
5-8
20
Assists
19
11
Turnovers
13
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · ATL favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CHI vs ATL.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
105
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Allisha GrayATL16.8± 11.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
- Rhyne HowardATL13.8± 9.6low
Rebounds
- Angel ReeseATL9.8± 5.0low
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Madina OkotATL5.0± 5.3low
Assists
- Jordin CanadaATL5.6± 4.7low
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Natasha CloudCHI4.4± 4.7low
Blocks
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
- Elizabeth WilliamsCHI1.0± 1.0low
Steals
- Rhyne HowardATL2.3± 2.6low
- Jordin CanadaATL1.7± 3.2low
- Angel ReeseATL1.4± 1.9low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
ATL
league avg
CHI
43.6%
FG%
◀
44.7
41.1%
31.4%
3PT %
◀
32.6
25.9%
83.9
PPG
◀
85.4
82.8
19.9
Assists / G
◀
18.0
19.3
14.9
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶11.0