Free during beta —to track favorites + alerts
FINAL+9NY
NY

NY

18-10

8778
CON

CON

5-22

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

WNBASun, Aug 3FinalSeriesNY wins series 3-1

Recap · WNBA

ew York Liberty went into Connecticut Sun and beat them, 87–78.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

NY · top performer

NY
Sabrina Ionescu

Sabrina Ionescu

G · #20

27.5Game score

36

Pts

11

Reb

4

Ast

CON · top performer

CON
Aneesah Morrow

Aneesah Morrow

F · #24

14.0Game score

16

Pts

9

Reb

0

Ast

WNBA · New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun · final

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final
87
78
NY18-10CON5-22
NY

NY

18-10

87
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
L. FiebichL. Fiebich★F · #13
30542102+4
J. JonesJ. Jones★C · #35
312194215+4
E. MeessemanE. Meesseman★C · #33
171123011+6
N. CloudN. Cloud★G · #9
30354004+7
S. IonescuS. Ionescu★G · #20
3736114107+7
S. TalbotS. TalbotF · #6
9014000+3
R. GardnerR. GardnerG · #7
22621211+5
M. JohannesM. JohannesG · #23
17311000+2
Team8735247320
DNP: B. Stewart, N. Sabally, K. Burke
CON

CON

5-22

78
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
A. MorrowA. Morrow★F · #24
271690121-1
T. CharlesT. Charles★C · #31
341782003-10
B. HartleyB. Hartley★G · #14
221234202+2
M. MabreyM. Mabrey★G · #3
301032102+3
S. RiversS. Rivers★G · #22
21714201+1
O. Nelson-OdodaO. Nelson-OdodaC · #10
19820001-7
L. AllenL. AllenG · #15
8000001-9
J. SheldonJ. SheldonG · #4
18401300-8
L. LacanL. LacanG · #47
16421302-11
Team78281412213
DNP: H. Peters, R. Marshall

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

50

FG %

41

24

Ast

14

Season series

NY wins series 3-1

Jun 1CONCON52@NYNY100
Aug 1NYNY62@CONCON78
Aug 3NYNY87@CONCON78today
Aug 25CONCON79@NYNY81

Headlines · top performers

Game flowNY ↔ CON

Biggest swing: 5pp · 3rd Quarter · 7:51

NYNY
S. Ionescu

S. Ionescu

G

Game leader · 37 min30+ point game

36 PTS · 11 REB · 4 AST

CONCON
A. Morrow

A. Morrow

F

Game leader · 27 min

16 PTS · 9 REB · 0 AST

How it ended

NY beat CON 87-78. S. Ionescu led the way with 36 points and 11 rebounds.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

CON vs NY

0255075100Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
NYNYstarters 87% of pts

Starters(5)

76 PTS · 31 REB · 17 AST

GS 54

Bench(4)

11 PTS · 4 REB · 7 AST

GS 13

CONCONstarters 79% of pts

Starters(5)

62 PTS · 24 REB · 12 AST

GS 43

Bench(5)

16 PTS · 4 REB · 2 AST

GS 10

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
NY2520212187
CON1919192178

Period scoring

NY won 3 · CON won 0

25
19

Q1

Ionescu 16

Charles 6

20
19

Q2

Jones 9

Morrow 6

21
19

Q3

Ionescu 9

Morrow 6

21
21

Q4

Jones 8

Hartley 6

NY
CON

Shooting comparison

NY
CON

50%

31-62

FG

41%

28-68

24%

4-17

3PT

22%

5-23

91%

21-23

FT

77%

17-22

Play-by-play · 408 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    NY 87·CON 78

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    NY 87·CON 78

  3. Q4·1.7

    Natasha Cloud traveling

    NY 87·CON 78

  4. Q4·18.2

    Bria Hartley makes free throw 2 of 2

    NY 87·CON 78

  5. Q4·18.2

    Sun offensive team rebound

    NY 87·CON 77

  6. Q4·18.2

    Bria Hartley misses free throw 1 of 2

    NY 87·CON 77

  7. Q4·18.2

    Rebekah Gardner shooting foul

    NY 87·CON 77

  8. Q4·24.1

    Leonie Fiebich makes free throw 2 of 2

    NY 87·CON 77

  9. Q4·24.1

    Leonie Fiebich makes free throw 1 of 2

    NY 86·CON 77

  10. Q4·24.1

    Aneesah Morrow loose ball foul

    NY 85·CON 77

  11. Q4·24.1

    Liberty defensive team rebound

    NY 85·CON 77

  12. Q4·26.1

    Marina Mabrey misses 27-foot three point jumper

    NY 85·CON 77

  13. Q4·32.8

    (00:32.8) [Liberty] REF-INITIATED REVIEW (REPLAY SUPPORTS CALL)

    NY 85·CON 77

    −2pp

  14. Q4·32.8

    Isabelle Harrison personal foul

    NY 85·CON 77

    +3pp

  15. Q4·33.1

    Leonie Fiebich lost ball turnover (Bria Hartley steals)

    ·

    NY 85·CON 77

  16. Q4·37.1

    Marine Johannes enters the game for Sabrina Ionescu

    ·

    NY 85·CON 77

  17. Q4·37.1

    Liberty Full timeout

    NY 85·CON 77

  18. Q4·37.1

    Bria Hartley makes 17-foot running pullup jump shot

    NY 85·CON 77

  19. Q4·43.6

    Tina Charles defensive rebound

    NY 85·CON 75

  20. Q4·46.3

    Rebekah Gardner misses 25-foot three point jumper

    NY 85·CON 75

  21. Q4·1:06

    Saniya Rivers makes two point shot

    NY 85·CON 75

  22. Q4·1:11

    Saniya Rivers defensive rebound

    NY 85·CON 73

  23. Q4·1:12

    Sabrina Ionescu misses 26-foot three point pullup jump shot

    NY 85·CON 73

  24. Q4·1:32

    Isabelle Harrison enters the game for Jonquel Jones

    ·

    NY 85·CON 73

  25. Q4·1:32

    Liberty Full timeout

    NY 85·CON 73

  26. Q4·1:34

    Aneesah Morrow makes two point shot

    NY 85·CON 73

  27. Q4·1:36

    Aneesah Morrow offensive rebound

    NY 85·CON 71

  28. Q4·1:37

    Bria Hartley misses 17-foot pullup jump shot

    NY 85·CON 71

  29. Q4·1:47

    Jonquel Jones lost ball turnover (Saniya Rivers steals)

    ·

    NY 85·CON 71

  30. Q4·2:11

    Saniya Rivers makes 25-foot three pointer

    NY 85·CON 71

Team stats

NY

Away

Stat

CON

Home

31-62

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

28-68

50

FG %

41

4-17

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

5-23

21-23

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

17-22

24

Assists

14

20

Turnovers

13

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

1 of 11 players in cohort
  • Jonquel JonesNY · C
    ORB%.08986

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

27.3%

ensemble · NY favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CON win)

    30%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CON win)

    37%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(CON win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

CON vs NY.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

105

projections · 0 high confidence

Points

  • Breanna StewartNY
    17.3± 11.0low
  • Brittney GrinerCON
    13.6± 5.3low
  • Jonquel JonesNY
    12.6± 5.0low

Rebounds

  • Aneesah MorrowCON
    9.4± 5.2low
  • Breanna StewartNY
    8.2± 2.4low
  • Jonquel JonesNY
    8.0± 3.1low

Assists

  • Marine JohannesNY
    4.2± 4.0low
  • Saniya RiversCON
    3.7± 2.9low
  • Pauline AstierNY
    3.6± 2.5low

Blocks

  • Jonquel JonesNY
    1.2± 1.9low
  • Breanna StewartNY
    1.0± 1.7low
  • Kennedy BurkeCON
    0.9± 0.8low

Steals

  • Marine JohannesNY
    1.7± 2.1low
  • Ashlon JacksonCON
    1.6± 1.5low
  • Breanna StewartNY
    1.1± 1.3low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

NY

NY

league avg

CON

CON

45.6%

FG%

◀

44.7

40.7%

35.3%

3PT %

◀

32.6

26.0%

86.6

PPG

◀

85.4

74.7

21.7

Assists / G

◀

18.0

17.9

14.4

Turnovers / G

◀

13.0

14.8

Data via ESPN · wehoop