Jul 28, 25sim 98
14101
18(H)85
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+31GS
GS
18-15
9059
CHI
8-25
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
olden State Valkyries went into Chicago Sky and beat them, 90–59. It was a wire-to-wire rout.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
GS · top performer
Cecilia Zandalasini
F · #24
21.3Game score
20
Pts
4
Reb
3
Ast
CHI · top performer
Kamilla Cardoso
C · #10
13.0Game score
14
Pts
4
Reb
5
Ast
WNBA · Golden State Valkyries at Chicago Sky · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
GS18-15
9059
CHI8-25
GS18-15CHI8-25
GS
18-15
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 29 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +27 | |
| 29 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +15 | |
| 21 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +15 | |
| 28 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +10 | |
| 30 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +24 | |
| 20 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +21 | |
| 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +13 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +26 | |
| Team | 90 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 8 | ||
| DNP: K. Thornton, M. Billings | ||||||||
CHI
8-25
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 29 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -24 | |
| 29 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -14 | |
| 33 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -18 | |
| 29 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10 | |
| 25 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -12 | |
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -19 | |
| 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6 | |
| 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -24 | |
| 18 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -21 | |
| Team | 59 | 28 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 14 | ||
| DNP: A. Reese, C. Vandersloot | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
48
FG %
35
19
Ast
20
Season series
GS wins series 3-0
Jun 28CHI78@GS83
CHI78@GS83Aug 1GS73@CHI66
GS73@CHI66Aug 15GS90@CHI59today
GS90@CHI59todayHeadlines · top performers
Game flowGS ↔ CHI
Biggest swing: 10pp · 3rd Quarter · 7:39
GSC. Zandalasini
FGame leader · 29 min
20 PTS · 4 REB · 3 AST
CHIK. Cardoso
CGame leader · 29 min
14 PTS · 4 REB · 5 AST
How it ended
GS beat CHI 90-59. C. Zandalasini led with 20 PTS, 4 REB, 3 AST. GS outscored the other side 27-9 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CHI vs GS
Starters vs bench
production by unitGSstarters 69% of ptsStarters(5)
62 PTS · 25 REB · 11 AST
GS 59
Bench(6)
28 PTS · 6 REB · 8 AST
GS 27
CHIstarters 88% of ptsStarters(5)
52 PTS · 22 REB · 16 AST
GS 35
Bench(5)
7 PTS · 6 REB · 4 AST
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactGS1st Quarter · 5:05 · 11-10
+7pp→ 52% WP
Janelle Salaun · makes 25-foot three point jumper (Iliana Rupert assists)
CHI3rd Quarter · 8:36 · 44-44
+8pp→ 48% WP
Rachel Banham · makes 26-foot three point jumper (Elizabeth Williams assists)
GS3rd Quarter · 7:39 · 51-44
+10pp→ 74% WP
Veronica Burton · makes 24-foot three point step back jumpshot
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | 27 | 15 | 27 | 21 | 90 |
| CHI | 23 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 59 |
Period scoring
GS won 3 · CHI won 1
27
23
Q1
Salaun 9
Williams 8
15
17
Q2
Martin 5
Cardoso 8
27
9
Q3
Zandalasini 8
Banham 6
21
10
Q4
Rupert 6
Banham 4
GS
CHI
Shooting comparison
GS
CHI
48%
27-56
FG
35%
23-65
52%
14-27
3PT
26%
7-27
88%
22-25
FT
100%
6-6
Play-by-play · 345 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
GS 90·CHI 59
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
GS 90·CHI 59
- Q4·11.1
Sevgi Uzun personal foul
GS 90·CHI 59
- Q4·24.4
Carla Leite defensive rebound
GS 90·CHI 59
- Q4·27.1
Sevgi Uzun misses two point shot
GS 90·CHI 59
- Q4·53.0
Kaitlyn Chen makes 1-foot layup (Kate Martin assists)
·
GS 90·CHI 59
- Q4·1:01
Rachel Banham bad pass (Kaila Charles steals)
·
GS 88·CHI 59
- Q4·1:24
Sevgi Uzun defensive rebound
GS 88·CHI 59
- Q4·1:26
Kaila Charles misses two point shot
GS 88·CHI 59
- Q4·1:29
Rachel Banham bad pass (Kaila Charles steals)
·
GS 88·CHI 59
- Q4·1:43
Carla Leite makes driving layup (Kaitlyn Chen assists)
·
GS 88·CHI 59
- Q4·2:02
Hailey Van Lith makes two point shot (Maddy Westbeld assists)
·
GS 86·CHI 59
- Q4·2:06
Kaila Charles lost ball turnover (Hailey Van Lith steals)
·
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·2:25
Kaila Charles defensive rebound
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·2:27
Maddy Westbeld misses 15-foot two point shot
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·2:35
Kaila Charles personal foul
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·2:35
Maddy Westbeld offensive rebound
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·2:38
Elizabeth Williams misses 9-foot two point shot
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·2:52
Kaila Charles enters the game for Veronica Burton
·
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·2:52
Laeticia Amihere enters the game for Janelle Salaun
·
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·2:52
Kaitlyn Chen enters the game for Iliana Rupert
·
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·2:52
Elizabeth Williams enters the game for Kamilla Cardoso
·
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·2:52
Hailey Van Lith enters the game for Ariel Atkins
·
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·2:52
Carla Leite personal foul
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·2:52
Ariel Atkins offensive rebound
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·2:53
Sevgi Uzun misses 23-foot three point jumper
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·3:04
Maddy Westbeld defensive rebound
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·3:06
Iliana Rupert misses 6-foot two point shot
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·3:13
Kate Martin offensive rebound
GS 86·CHI 57
- Q4·3:16
Janelle Salaun misses 22-foot three point jumper
GS 86·CHI 57
Team stats
GS
Away
Stat
CHI
Home
27-56
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
23-65
48
FG %
35
14-27
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
7-27
22-25
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
6-6
19
Assists
20
8
Turnovers
14
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · GS favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CHI vs GS.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
95
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
- Veronica BurtonGS15.6± 5.8low
- Gabby WilliamsGS14.3± 7.5low
Rebounds
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Kaila CharlesGS6.3± 2.4low
- Elizabeth WilliamsCHI4.9± 3.6low
Assists
- Veronica BurtonGS5.5± 4.2low
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Natasha CloudCHI4.4± 4.7low
Blocks
- Kiah StokesGS1.8± 2.7low
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
Steals
- Gabby WilliamsGS1.9± 2.4low
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.1± 2.0low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
GS
league avg
CHI
41.3%
FG%
44.7
41.1%
36.1%
3PT %
◀
32.6
25.9%
86.4
PPG
◀
85.4
82.8
19.1
Assists / G
18.0
19.3
10.1
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
11.0