Jun 25, 25sim 96
686
19(H)97
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+11CHI
DAL
6-15
7687
CHI
6-13
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
hicago Sky held off Dallas Wings, 87–76.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
DAL · top performer
Li Yueru
C · #28
14.8Game score
18
Pts
10
Reb
0
Ast
CHI · top performer
Rebecca Allen
G · #9
24.9Game score
27
Pts
6
Reb
3
Ast
WNBA · Dallas Wings at Chicago Sky · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
DAL6-15
7687
CHI6-13
DAL6-15CHI6-13
DAL
6-15
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 31 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | |
| 16 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | |
| 36 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -8 | |
TS%.62099+ eFG%.58299+ AST/TO2.786 | ||||||||
| 37 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | -17 | |
| 31 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | |
| 25 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -8 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | |
| 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -11 | |
| Team | 76 | 31 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 10 | ||
| DNP: M. Siegrist, A. Ogunbowale, T. Harris, D. Carrington | ||||||||
CHI
6-13
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | |
| 30 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -6 | |
| 22 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +15 | |
| 32 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | |
| 26 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -9 | |
| 24 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +6 | |
| 27 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +8 | |
| 17 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +25 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +9 | |
| Team | 87 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 15 | ||
| DNP: C. Vandersloot, M. Jefferson | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
36
FG %
51
18
Ast
24
Season series
CHI wins series 3-0
May 30DAL92@CHI97
DAL92@CHI97Jun 1CHI94@DAL83
CHI94@DAL83Jul 10DAL76@CHI87today
DAL76@CHI87todayHeadlines · top performers
Game flowDAL ↔ CHI
Biggest swing: 15pp · 3rd Quarter · 9:37
DALL. Yueru
CGame leader · 31 min
18 PTS · 10 REB · 0 AST
CHIR. Allen
GGame leader · 27 min
27 PTS · 6 REB · 3 AST
How it ended
CHI beat DAL 87-76. R. Allen paced them with 27 PTS, 6 REB, 3 AST.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CHI vs DAL
Starters vs bench
production by unitDALstarters 82% of ptsStarters(5)
62 PTS · 25 REB · 14 AST
GS 45
Bench(3)
14 PTS · 6 REB · 4 AST
GS 9
CHIstarters 53% of ptsStarters(5)
46 PTS · 24 REB · 14 AST
GS 42
Bench(5)
41 PTS · 16 REB · 10 AST
GS 36
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactDAL3rd Quarter · 9:37 · 41-45
+15pp→ 33% WP
Aziaha James · makes two point shot (JJ Quinerly assists)
CHI3rd Quarter · 9:32 · 41-45
+10pp→ 77% WP
Luisa Geiselsoder · offensive rebound
CHI3rd Quarter · 5:48 · 55-57
+9pp→ 57% WP
Rachel Banham · makes 24-foot three point jumper (Elizabeth Williams assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 18 | 19 | 25 | 14 | 76 |
| CHI | 19 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 87 |
Period scoring
DAL won 0 · CHI won 4
18
19
Q1
Bueckers 6
Cardoso 6
19
26
Q2
Yueru 7
Allen 7
25
26
Q3
Quinerly 8
Allen 15
14
16
Q4
Yueru 6
Reese 7
DAL
CHI
Shooting comparison
DAL
CHI
36%
27-75
FG
51%
29-57
27%
7-26
3PT
48%
10-21
71%
15-21
FT
83%
19-23
Play-by-play · 407 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·5.1
shot clock turnover
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·28.1
Angel Reese defensive rebound
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·31.1
Aziaha James misses 25-foot three point shot
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·36.1
Myisha Hines-Allen defensive rebound
·
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·38.1
Rachel Banham misses 25-foot three point jumper
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·1:01
Rebecca Allen defensive rebound
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·1:03
Li Yueru misses 25-foot three point jumper
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·1:08
Wings timeout
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·1:08
shot clock turnover
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·1:30
Rebecca Allen defensive rebound
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·1:33
Paige Bueckers misses 26-foot three point jumper
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·1:43
Li Yueru vs. Kamilla Cardoso (Paige Bueckers gains possession)
· ·
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·1:46
Wings defensive team rebound
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·1:46
JJ Quinerly blocks Ariel Atkins 's 11-foot jumper
·
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·1:46
(01:46) [Wings] COACH'S CHALLENGE (CALL OVERTURNED) [Wings] retain their timeout
DAL 76·CHI 87
−0.5pp
- Q4·1:46
Wings Coach's Challenge
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·1:56
Angel Reese defensive rebound
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·2:00
Ariel Atkins blocks Li Yueru 's 3-foot driving layup
·
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·2:12
(02:12) [Wings] REF-INITIATED REVIEW (REPLAY SUPPORTS CALL)
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·2:12
shot clock turnover
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·2:32
Rachel Banham defensive rebound
DAL 76·CHI 87
- Q4·2:34
Paige Bueckers misses 24-foot three point pullup jump shot
DAL 76·CHI 87
+0.7pp
- Q4·2:52
Angel Reese makes free throw 1 of 1
DAL 76·CHI 87
−0.6pp
- Q4·2:52
Li Yueru shooting foul
DAL 76·CHI 86
+2pp
- Q4·2:52
Angel Reese makes 1-foot layup (Ariel Atkins assists)
·
DAL 76·CHI 86
+2pp
- Q4·3:06
Ariel Atkins defensive rebound
DAL 76·CHI 84
+0.6pp
- Q4·3:08
Ariel Atkins blocks JJ Quinerly 's 4-foot driving floating jump shot
·
DAL 76·CHI 84
+2pp
- Q4·3:19
Angel Reese makes layup (Ariel Atkins assists)
·
DAL 76·CHI 84
+4pp
Team stats
DAL
Away
Stat
CHI
Home
27-75
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
29-57
36
FG %
51
7-26
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
10-21
15-21
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
19-23
18
Assists
24
10
Turnovers
15
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 14 players in cohort
Paige BueckersDAL · GTS%.62099+
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · DAL favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CHI win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CHI vs DAL.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
105
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Paige BueckersDAL18.6± 8.3low
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
- Arike OgunbowaleDAL13.6± 12.3low
Rebounds
- Jessica ShepardDAL10.7± 6.4low
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Elizabeth WilliamsCHI4.9± 3.6low
Assists
- Jessica ShepardDAL6.0± 4.9low
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Paige BueckersDAL5.3± 3.3low
Blocks
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
- Elizabeth WilliamsCHI1.0± 1.0low
Steals
- Aziaha JamesDAL1.5± 1.8low
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.1± 2.0low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
DAL
league avg
CHI
46.6%
FG%
◀
44.7
41.1%
37.3%
3PT %
◀
32.6
25.9%
88.9
PPG
◀
85.4
82.8
23.4
Assists / G
◀
18.0
19.3
10.3
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
11.0