Jun 7, 25sim 96
693
3(H)79
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+12CHI
CHI
3-7
7866
CON
2-8
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
hicago Sky went into Connecticut Sun and beat them, 78–66.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CHI · top performer
Angel Reese
F · #5
20.5Game score
11
Pts
13
Reb
11
Ast
CON · top performer
Jacy Sheldon
G · #4
16.1Game score
12
Pts
4
Reb
2
Ast
WNBA · Chicago Sky at Connecticut Sun · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
CHI3-7
7866
CON2-8
CHI3-7CON2-8
CHI
3-7
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 36 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +8 | |
| 25 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4 | |
| 18 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -6 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | |
| 31 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | +4 | |
| 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +13 | |
| 19 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +12 | |
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5 | |
| 24 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +23 | |
| Team | 78 | 38 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 12 | ||
| DNP: M. Westbeld, C. Vandersloot, M. Jefferson | ||||||||
CON
2-8
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 36 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -8 | |
| 26 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6 | |
| 30 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | |
| 39 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -10 | |
| 29 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -1 | |
| 18 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -13 | |
| 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -11 | |
| Team | 66 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 12 | ||
| DNP: H. Peters, A. Morrow, R. Marshall, S. Rivers | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
43
FG %
39
20
Ast
15
Season series
Series tied 2-2
Jun 15CHI78@CON66today
CHI78@CON66todayAug 13CHI62@CON71
CHI62@CON71Aug 23CON94@CHI84
CON94@CHI84Sep 4CON64@CHI88
CON64@CHI88Headlines · top performers
Game flowCHI ↔ CON
Biggest swing: 11pp · 2nd Quarter · 59.1
CHIA. Reese
FGame leader · 36 minTriple-double
11 PTS · 13 REB · 11 AST
CONJ. Sheldon
GGame leader · 29 min
12 PTS · 4 REB · 2 AST
How it ended
CHI beat CON 78-66. A. Reese stuffed the line with 11 PTS, 13 REB, and 11 AST.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
CON vs CHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitCHIstarters 54% of ptsStarters(5)
42 PTS · 30 REB · 17 AST
GS 38
Bench(4)
36 PTS · 8 REB · 3 AST
GS 27
CONstarters 97% of ptsStarters(5)
64 PTS · 28 REB · 12 AST
GS 44
Bench(3)
2 PTS · 4 REB · 3 AST
GS 1
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactCON2nd Quarter · 2:04 · 32-33
+10pp→ 53% WP
Marina Mabrey · makes 23-foot three point jumper (Bria Hartley assists)
CHI2nd Quarter · 59.1 · 35-33
+11pp→ 58% WP
Ariel Atkins · makes 26-foot three pointer (Angel Reese assists)
CON2nd Quarter · 11.1 · 35-36
+10pp→ 52% WP
Marina Mabrey · makes 28-foot three pointer
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 14 | 24 | 21 | 19 | 78 |
| CON | 16 | 20 | 18 | 12 | 66 |
Period scoring
CHI won 3 · CON won 1
14
16
Q1
Cardoso 4
Charles 6
24
20
Q2
Nurse 6
Mabrey 11
21
18
Q3
Onyenwere 5
Charles 11
19
12
Q4
Lith 8
Hartley 4
CHI
CON
Shooting comparison
CHI
CON
43%
27-63
FG
39%
25-64
35%
7-20
3PT
36%
8-22
94%
17-18
FT
67%
8-12
Play-by-play · 345 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 78·CON 66
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 78·CON 66
- Q4·11.1
Kamilla Cardoso defensive rebound
CHI 78·CON 66
- Q4·15.0
Angel Reese blocks Bria Hartley 's 4-foot driving layup
·
CHI 78·CON 66
- Q4·35.1
Hailey Van Lith makes driving layup
CHI 78·CON 66
- Q4·43.0
Sky Full timeout
CHI 76·CON 66
- Q4·43.0
Jacy Sheldon makes two point shot
CHI 76·CON 66
- Q4·43.0
Jacy Sheldon offensive rebound
CHI 76·CON 64
- Q4·45.1
Hailey Van Lith blocks Bria Hartley 's 5-foot layup
·
CHI 76·CON 64
- Q4·48.0
Ariel Atkins lost ball turnover (Jacy Sheldon steals)
·
CHI 76·CON 64
- Q4·1:05
Jacy Sheldon makes two point shot
CHI 76·CON 64
- Q4·1:05
Jacy Sheldon offensive rebound
CHI 76·CON 62
- Q4·1:08
Olivia Nelson-Ododa misses 17-foot pullup jump shot
CHI 76·CON 62
- Q4·1:31
Hailey Van Lith makes 9-foot jumper (Angel Reese assists)
·
CHI 76·CON 62
- Q4·1:53
Bria Hartley makes two point shot
CHI 74·CON 62
- Q4·1:57
Ariel Atkins bad pass (Bria Hartley steals)
·
CHI 74·CON 60
- Q4·2:13
Kamilla Cardoso defensive rebound
CHI 74·CON 60
- Q4·2:17
Marina Mabrey misses 27-foot three point pullup jump shot
CHI 74·CON 60
- Q4·2:30
(02:30) [Sky] REF-INITIATED REVIEW (REPLAY SUPPORTS CALL)
CHI 74·CON 60
- Q4·2:30
Hailey Van Lith personal foul
CHI 74·CON 60
- Q4·2:46
Ariel Atkins makes 19-foot pullup jump shot (Angel Reese assists)
·
CHI 74·CON 60
- Q4·3:11
Olivia Nelson-Ododa makes driving layup (Bria Hartley assists)
·
CHI 72·CON 60
- Q4·3:21
Bria Hartley defensive rebound
CHI 72·CON 58
- Q4·3:23
Michaela Onyenwere misses 24-foot three point jumper
CHI 72·CON 58
- Q4·3:40
Hailey Van Lith defensive rebound
CHI 72·CON 58
- Q4·3:42
Bria Hartley misses 25-foot three point step back jumpshot
CHI 72·CON 58
- Q4·4:00
Kamilla Cardoso makes 2-foot layup (Ariel Atkins assists)
·
CHI 72·CON 58
−0.5pp
- Q4·4:15
Sky Full timeout
CHI 70·CON 58
- Q4·4:25
Hailey Van Lith defensive rebound
CHI 70·CON 58
- Q4·4:27
Tina Charles misses 13-foot jumper
CHI 70·CON 58
−0.8pp
Team stats
CHI
Away
Stat
CON
Home
27-63
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
25-64
43
FG %
39
7-20
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
8-22
17-18
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
8-12
20
Assists
15
12
Turnovers
12
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · CHI favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CON win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CON win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(CON win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
CON vs CHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
110
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
- Brittney GrinerCON13.6± 5.3low
- Skylar DigginsCHI13.3± 9.9low
Rebounds
- Aneesah MorrowCON9.4± 5.2low
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Brittney GrinerCON5.2± 1.1low
Assists
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Natasha CloudCHI4.4± 4.7low
- Saniya RiversCON3.7± 2.9low
Blocks
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
- Elizabeth WilliamsCHI1.0± 1.0low
Steals
- Ashlon JacksonCON1.6± 1.5low
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
- Jacy SheldonCHI1.1± 2.0low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
CHI
league avg
CON
41.1%
FG%
◀
44.7
40.7%
25.9%
3PT %
32.6
26.0%
82.8
PPG
◀
85.4
74.7
19.3
Assists / G
◀
18.0
17.9
11.0
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
14.8