Jun 22, 25sim 93
388
16(H)91
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+7CHI
CHI
5-11
9285
LA
5-12
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
hicago Sky went into Los Angeles Sparks and beat them, 92–85.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
CHI · top performer
Angel Reese
F · #5
22.4Game score
24
Pts
16
Reb
7
Ast
LA · top performer
Dearica Hamby
F · #5
19.6Game score
20
Pts
10
Reb
4
Ast
WNBA · Chicago Sky at Los Angeles Sparks · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
CHI5-11
9285
LA5-12
CHI5-11LA5-12
CHI
5-11
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 38 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +3 | |
| 35 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +20 | |
| 28 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | |
| 19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -7 | |
| 37 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +8 | |
| 24 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +13 | |
| Team | 92 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 11 | ||
| DNP: M. Westbeld | ||||||||
LA
5-12
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 37 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -5 | |
| 26 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -19 | |
| 28 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -13 | |
| 23 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | |
| 35 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -4 | |
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +12 | |
| 17 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | |
| 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | |
| Team | 85 | 35 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 13 | ||
| DNP: S. Feagin | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
49
FG %
42
22
Ast
22
Season series
CHI wins series 2-1
May 25CHI78@LA91
CHI78@LA91Jun 25LA86@CHI97
LA86@CHI97Jun 29CHI92@LA85today
CHI92@LA85todayHeadlines · top performers
Game flowCHI ↔ LA
Biggest swing: 15pp · 3rd Quarter · 3:26
CHIA. Reese
FGame leader · 38 min
24 PTS · 16 REB · 7 AST
LAD. Hamby
FGame leader · 37 min
20 PTS · 10 REB · 4 AST
How it ended
CHI beat LA 92-85. A. Reese led with 24 PTS, 16 REB, 7 AST. CHI outscored the other side 31-23 in the 4th quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
LA vs CHI
Starters vs bench
production by unitCHIstarters 82% of ptsStarters(5)
75 PTS · 32 REB · 15 AST
GS 66
Bench(4)
17 PTS · 3 REB · 7 AST
GS 12
LAstarters 80% of ptsStarters(5)
68 PTS · 28 REB · 17 AST
GS 55
Bench(4)
17 PTS · 7 REB · 5 AST
GS 11
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactCHI3rd Quarter · 4:37 · 53-51
+10pp→ 52% WP
Michaela Onyenwere · makes 25-foot three point jumper (Rachel Banham assists)
LA3rd Quarter · 3:26 · 53-55
+15pp→ 69% WP
Angel Reese · technical foul
CHI4th Quarter · 9:06 · 64-62
+12pp→ 55% WP
Kia Nurse · makes 25-foot three point jumper (Angel Reese assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 17 | 23 | 21 | 31 | 92 |
| LA | 18 | 16 | 28 | 23 | 85 |
Period scoring
CHI won 2 · LA won 2
17
18
Q1
Williams 8
Stevens 8
23
16
Q2
Banham 8
Hamby 4
21
28
Q3
Atkins 9
Cannon 10
31
23
Q4
Reese 11
Hamby 6
CHI
LA
Shooting comparison
CHI
LA
49%
33-68
FG
42%
30-72
42%
11-26
3PT
32%
9-28
88%
15-17
FT
73%
16-22
Play-by-play · 388 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
CHI 92·LA 85
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
CHI 92·LA 85
- Q4·0.1
Ariel Atkins lost ball turnover (Dearica Hamby steals)
·
CHI 92·LA 85
- Q4·8.2
Kelsey Plum makes 2-foot two point shot (Azura Stevens assists)
·
CHI 92·LA 85
- Q4·14.0
Michaela Onyenwere enters the game for Elizabeth Williams
·
CHI 92·LA 83
- Q4·14.0
Sparks Full timeout
CHI 92·LA 83
- Q4·14.0
Ariel Atkins makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 92·LA 83
- Q4·14.0
Ariel Atkins makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 91·LA 83
- Q4·14.0
Rickea Jackson personal foul
CHI 90·LA 83
- Q4·16.1
Rickea Jackson makes 1-foot layup (Dearica Hamby assists)
·
CHI 90·LA 83
- Q4·21.1
Sparks timeout
CHI 90·LA 81
- Q4·21.1
Rachel Banham makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 90·LA 81
- Q4·21.1
Rachel Banham makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 89·LA 81
- Q4·21.1
Odyssey Sims personal foul
CHI 88·LA 81
- Q4·28.1
Sky timeout
CHI 88·LA 81
- Q4·28.1
Kelsey Plum makes free throw 2 of 2
CHI 88·LA 81
−1pp
- Q4·28.1
Kelsey Plum makes free throw 1 of 2
CHI 88·LA 80
- Q4·28.1
Ariel Atkins personal foul
CHI 88·LA 79
+0.8pp
- Q4·37.1
Ariel Atkins makes 23-foot three point jumper (Rachel Banham assists)
·
CHI 88·LA 79
−0.7pp
- Q4·55.2
Kelsey Plum personal foul
CHI 85·LA 79
−3pp
- Q4·1:00
Sky Full timeout
CHI 85·LA 79
- Q4·1:00
Azura Stevens makes two point shot
CHI 85·LA 79
+2pp
- Q4·1:02
Azura Stevens offensive rebound
CHI 85·LA 77
+0.8pp
- Q4·1:04
Azura Stevens misses two point shot
CHI 85·LA 77
−0.9pp
- Q4·1:04
Azura Stevens offensive rebound
CHI 85·LA 77
+0.9pp
- Q4·1:05
Kelsey Plum misses 24-foot three point jumper
CHI 85·LA 77
−1pp
- Q4·1:09
Dearica Hamby offensive rebound
CHI 85·LA 77
+0.9pp
- Q4·1:11
Kelsey Plum misses 29-foot three point step back jumpshot
CHI 85·LA 77
−1pp
- Q4·1:18
shot clock turnover
CHI 85·LA 77
+0.7pp
- Q4·1:43
Azura Stevens makes free throw 1 of 1
CHI 85·LA 77
−1pp
Team stats
CHI
Away
Stat
LA
Home
33-68
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
30-72
49
FG %
42
11-26
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
9-28
15-17
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
16-22
22
Assists
22
11
Turnovers
13
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · CHI favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(LA win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
LA vs CHI.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
105
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Kelsey PlumLA24.5± 10.4low
- Nneka OgwumikeLA16.4± 5.3low
- Rickea JacksonCHI16.0± 11.0low
Rebounds
- Kamilla CardosoCHI8.5± 5.1low
- Dearica HambyLA6.9± 5.0low
- Nneka OgwumikeLA6.9± 3.6low
Assists
- Kelsey PlumLA5.5± 3.9low
- Skylar DigginsCHI5.4± 3.0low
- Erica WheelerLA5.1± 3.3low
Blocks
- Cameron BrinkLA1.6± 1.4low
- Kamilla CardosoCHI1.2± 1.4low
- Rickea JacksonCHI1.2± 1.6low
Steals
- Ariel AtkinsLA1.7± 1.7low
- Dearica HambyLA1.4± 1.9low
- Aicha CoulibalyCHI1.3± 1.2low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
CHI
league avg
LA
41.1%
FG%
44.7
▶50.7%
25.9%
3PT %
32.6
▶34.3%
82.8
PPG
85.4
▶91.6
19.3
Assists / G
18.0
▶21.1
11.0
Turnovers / G
◀
13.0
16.4