May 27, 25sim 96
3109
18(H)87
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+14LA
LA
3-6
9379
DAL
1-8
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
os Angeles Sparks went into Dallas Wings and beat them, 93–79.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
LA · top performer
Azura Stevens
F · #23
22.1Game score
21
Pts
6
Reb
3
Ast
DAL · top performer
Luisa Geiselsoder
C · #18
17.0Game score
11
Pts
10
Reb
6
Ast
WNBA · Los Angeles Sparks at Dallas Wings · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
LA3-6
9379
DAL1-8
LA3-6DAL1-8
LA
3-6
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | |
| 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +16 | |
| 26 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +2 | |
| 34 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +23 | |
| 29 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +11 | |
| 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | |
| 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +17 | |
| 14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +12 | |
| 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | |
| Team | 93 | 30 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 14 | ||
DAL
1-8
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 15 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -13 | |
| 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -12 | |
| 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -14 | |
| 27 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -19 | |
| 23 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -16 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | |
| 32 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -3 | |
| 31 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7 | |
| 16 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | |
| Team | 79 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 5 | 15 | ||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
56
FG %
42
24
Ast
24
Season series
LA wins series 4-0
Jun 7LA93@DAL79today
LA93@DAL79todayAug 15LA97@DAL96
LA97@DAL96Aug 21DAL80@LA81
DAL80@LA81Sep 7DAL77@LA91
DAL77@LA91Headlines · top performers
Game flowLA ↔ DAL
Biggest swing: 16pp · 3rd Quarter · 2:59
LAA. Stevens
FGame leader · 30 min
21 PTS · 6 REB · 3 AST
DALL. Geiselsoder
CGame leader · 32 min
11 PTS · 10 REB · 6 AST
How it ended
LA beat DAL 93-79. A. Stevens led with 21 PTS, 6 REB, 3 AST.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
DAL vs LA
Starters vs bench
production by unitLAstarters 87% of ptsStarters(5)
81 PTS · 21 REB · 18 AST
GS 70
Bench(6)
12 PTS · 9 REB · 6 AST
GS 12
DALstarters 41% of ptsStarters(5)
32 PTS · 13 REB · 12 AST
GS 13
Bench(5)
47 PTS · 22 REB · 12 AST
GS 47
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactLA2nd Quarter · 44.2 · 40-35
+11pp→ 60% WP
Azura Stevens · makes 22-foot three point shot (Kelsey Plum assists)
LA3rd Quarter · 4:05 · 59-53
+9pp→ 68% WP
Kelsey Plum · makes 24-foot three point step back jumpshot
DAL3rd Quarter · 2:59 · 61-53
+16pp→ 22% WP
Odyssey Sims · out of bounds lost ball turnover
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA | 21 | 24 | 22 | 26 | 93 |
| DAL | 17 | 23 | 15 | 24 | 79 |
Period scoring
LA won 4 · DAL won 0
21
17
Q1
Hamby 9
Carrington 5
24
23
Q2
Sims 9
Charles 5
22
15
Q3
Hamby 7
Ogunbowale 4
26
24
Q4
Stevens 8
Quinerly 8
LA
DAL
Shooting comparison
LA
DAL
56%
35-63
FG
42%
31-73
38%
9-24
3PT
30%
6-20
74%
14-19
FT
100%
11-11
Play-by-play · 361 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
LA 93·DAL 79
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
LA 93·DAL 79
- Q4·10.1
Aziaha James makes driving layup
LA 93·DAL 79
- Q4·26.1
Emma Cannon makes free throw 2 of 2
LA 93·DAL 77
- Q4·26.1
Emma Cannon makes free throw 1 of 2
LA 92·DAL 77
- Q4·26.1
Maddy Siegrist shooting foul
LA 91·DAL 77
- Q4·27.1
Emma Cannon offensive rebound
LA 91·DAL 77
- Q4·28.1
Sania Feagin misses 26-foot three point jumper
LA 91·DAL 77
- Q4·44.1
Maddy Siegrist makes two point shot (JJ Quinerly assists)
·
LA 91·DAL 77
- Q4·50.0
Rickea Jackson bad pass (Luisa Geiselsoder steals)
·
LA 91·DAL 75
- Q4·1:02
JJ Quinerly makes 25-foot three point jumper (Luisa Geiselsoder assists)
·
LA 91·DAL 75
- Q4·1:12
Aziaha James defensive rebound
LA 91·DAL 72
- Q4·1:14
Liatu King misses driving layup
LA 91·DAL 72
- Q4·1:24
Liatu King defensive rebound
LA 91·DAL 72
- Q4·1:26
Luisa Geiselsoder misses driving floating jump shot
LA 91·DAL 72
- Q4·1:42
Rickea Jackson makes free throw 2 of 2
LA 91·DAL 72
- Q4·1:42
Rickea Jackson makes free throw 1 of 2
LA 90·DAL 72
- Q4·1:42
JJ Quinerly shooting foul
LA 89·DAL 72
- Q4·1:51
JJ Quinerly makes free throw 1 of 1
LA 89·DAL 72
- Q4·1:51
Liatu King shooting foul
LA 89·DAL 71
- Q4·1:51
JJ Quinerly makes driving layup
LA 89·DAL 71
- Q4·2:04
Kaila Charles offensive rebound
LA 89·DAL 69
- Q4·2:05
Aziaha James misses 25-foot three point pullup jump shot
LA 89·DAL 69
- Q4·2:17
Sania Feagin turnover
LA 89·DAL 69
- Q4·2:17
Sania Feagin offensive foul
LA 89·DAL 69
- Q4·2:31
JJ Quinerly makes 15-foot pullup jump shot (Maddy Siegrist assists)
·
LA 89·DAL 69
- Q4·2:43
Liatu King enters the game for Azura Stevens
·
LA 89·DAL 67
- Q4·2:43
Sarah Ashlee Barker enters the game for Julie Allemand
·
LA 89·DAL 67
- Q4·2:43
Emma Cannon enters the game for Kelsey Plum
·
LA 89·DAL 67
- Q4·2:43
Rickea Jackson enters the game for Dearica Hamby
·
LA 89·DAL 67
Team stats
LA
Away
Stat
DAL
Home
35-63
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
31-73
56
FG %
42
9-24
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
6-20
14-19
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
11-11
24
Assists
24
14
Turnovers
15
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · LA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(DAL win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
DAL vs LA.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
110
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Kelsey PlumLA24.5± 10.4low
- Paige BueckersDAL18.6± 8.3low
- Nneka OgwumikeLA16.4± 5.3low
Rebounds
- Jessica ShepardDAL10.7± 6.4low
- Dearica HambyLA6.9± 5.0low
- Nneka OgwumikeLA6.9± 3.6low
Assists
- Jessica ShepardDAL6.0± 4.9low
- Kelsey PlumLA5.5± 3.9low
- Paige BueckersDAL5.3± 3.3low
Blocks
- Cameron BrinkLA1.6± 1.4low
- Awak KuierDAL0.9± 1.1low
- Azzi FuddDAL0.8± 1.5low
Steals
- Ariel AtkinsLA1.7± 1.7low
- Aziaha JamesDAL1.5± 1.8low
- Dearica HambyLA1.4± 1.9low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
LA
league avg
DAL
50.7%
FG%
◀
44.7
46.6%
34.3%
3PT %
32.6
▶37.3%
91.6
PPG
◀
85.4
88.9
21.1
Assists / G
18.0
▶23.4
16.4
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶10.3