Jun 22, 25sim 98
1980
20(H)93
EloWin probTime of year
FINAL+10NY
LA
5-13
7989
NY
12-5
Historical comparables
Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates
basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year
Recap · WNBA
ew York Liberty held off Los Angeles Sparks, 89–79.
ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.
ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page
LA · top performer
Dearica Hamby
F · #5
24.9Game score
25
Pts
9
Reb
3
Ast
NY · top performer
Natasha Cloud
G · #9
21.3Game score
23
Pts
4
Reb
7
Ast
WNBA · Los Angeles Sparks at New York Liberty · final
WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING
Final
LA5-13
7989
NY12-5
LA5-13NY12-5
LA
5-13
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 33 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -4 | |
| 34 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -2 | |
| 28 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -4 | |
| 35 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -19 | |
| 38 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -7 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | |
| Team | 79 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 17 | ||
| DNP: C. Brink, S. Feagin | ||||||||
NY
12-5
| Core | Rebounds | Playmaking | Defense | Discipline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | +/- |
| 37 | 17 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +12 | |
USG%.27771 ORB%.05671 DRB%.24771 | ||||||||
| 33 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +6 | |
| 33 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +18 | |
| 30 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2 | |
| 35 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | +8 | |
| 12 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +10 | |
| 11 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6 | |
| Team | 89 | 32 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 13 | ||
| DNP: J. Jones, J. Sherrod, M. Davis | ||||||||
Stat compare
Headline stats · full table below
48
FG %
43
22
Ast
21
Season series
NY wins series 2-1
Jul 3LA79@NY89today
LA79@NY89todayJul 26LA101@NY99
LA101@NY99Aug 13NY105@LA97
NY105@LA97Headlines · top performers
Game flowLA ↔ NY
Biggest swing: 11pp · 2nd Quarter · 15.1
LAD. Hamby
FGame leader · 33 min
25 PTS · 9 REB · 3 AST
NYN. Cloud
GGame leader · 33 min
23 PTS · 4 REB · 7 AST
How it ended
NY beat LA 89-79. N. Cloud led with 23 PTS, 4 REB, 7 AST. NY outscored the other side 32-18 in the 3rd quarter.
Last play
End of Game
Win probability
NY vs LA
Starters vs bench
production by unitLAstarters 86% of ptsStarters(5)
68 PTS · 29 REB · 20 AST
GS 60
Bench(5)
11 PTS · 3 REB · 2 AST
GS 3
NYstarters 87% of ptsStarters(5)
77 PTS · 28 REB · 17 AST
GS 61
Bench(4)
12 PTS · 4 REB · 4 AST
GS 12
Clutch moments · top swings
ranked by WP impactLA2nd Quarter · 15.1 · 41-37
+11pp→ 43% WP
Rae Burrell · makes 26-foot three point jumper (Azura Stevens assists)
LA3rd Quarter · 8:23 · 46-37
+10pp→ 67% WP
Julie Allemand · makes 23-foot three point shot (Kelsey Plum assists)
NY3rd Quarter · 2:59 · 57-58
+9pp→ 66% WP
Sabrina Ionescu · makes 28-foot three point jumper (Natasha Cloud assists)
Linescore (quarters)
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LA | 20 | 21 | 18 | 20 | 79 |
| NY | 21 | 16 | 32 | 20 | 89 |
Period scoring
LA won 1 · NY won 2
20
21
Q1
Hamby 7
Stewart 8
21
16
Q2
Burrell 5
Harrison 4
18
32
Q3
Hamby 9
Cloud 11
20
20
Q4
Hamby 6
Ionescu 7
LA
NY
Shooting comparison
LA
NY
48%
27-56
FG
43%
30-70
26%
5-19
3PT
40%
12-30
77%
20-26
FT
89%
17-19
Play-by-play · 373 plays
period
event
player
- Q4·0.0
End of Game
LA 79·NY 89
- Q4·0.0
End of the 4th Quarter
LA 79·NY 89
- Q4·13.0
Sabrina Ionescu makes free throw 2 of 2
LA 79·NY 89
- Q4·13.0
Sabrina Ionescu makes free throw 1 of 2
LA 79·NY 88
- Q4·13.0
Kelsey Plum personal foul
LA 79·NY 87
- Q4·29.0
Breanna Stewart defensive rebound
LA 79·NY 87
- Q4·30.2
Kelsey Plum misses two point shot
LA 79·NY 87
+1pp
- Q4·43.1
Kelsey Plum makes technical free throw
LA 79·NY 87
- Q4·43.1
Sandy Brondello technical foul
LA 78·NY 87
−0.6pp
- Q4·43.1
Sabrina Ionescu turnover
LA 78·NY 87
- Q4·43.1
Sabrina Ionescu offensive foul
LA 78·NY 87
- Q4·57.1
Kelsey Plum makes free throw 2 of 2
LA 78·NY 87
+0.5pp
- Q4·57.1
Kelsey Plum makes free throw 1 of 2
LA 77·NY 87
- Q4·57.1
Natasha Cloud personal foul
LA 76·NY 87
- Q4·1:03
Sabrina Ionescu makes 5-foot two point shot
LA 76·NY 87
- Q4·1:17
Sabrina Ionescu makes technical free throw
LA 76·NY 85
- Q4·1:17
Lynne Roberts technical foul
LA 76·NY 84
+0.7pp
- Q4·1:20
Rickea Jackson bad pass (Natasha Cloud steals)
·
LA 76·NY 84
+1pp
- Q4·1:22
Rickea Jackson offensive rebound
LA 76·NY 84
−0.8pp
- Q4·1:23
Rickea Jackson misses layup
LA 76·NY 84
+1pp
- Q4·1:42
shot clock turnover
LA 76·NY 84
−0.7pp
- Q4·2:06
Sparks Full timeout
LA 76·NY 84
- Q4·2:06
Kelsey Plum out of bounds lost ball turnover
LA 76·NY 84
+2pp
- Q4·2:27
Leonie Fiebich makes 25-foot three point jumper (Natasha Cloud assists)BIG MOMENT
·
LA 76·NY 84
+7pp
- Q4·2:40
Breanna Stewart defensive rebound
LA 76·NY 81
+1pp
- Q4·2:43
Dearica Hamby misses 23-foot three point jumper
LA 76·NY 81
+4pp
- Q4·3:02
Natasha Cloud bad pass (Rickea Jackson steals)
·
LA 76·NY 81
−4pp
- Q4·3:15
Dearica Hamby makes two point shot (Julie Allemand assists)
·
LA 76·NY 81
−4pp
- Q4·3:20
Azura Stevens defensive rebound
LA 74·NY 81
−0.7pp
- Q4·3:22
Breanna Stewart misses layup
LA 74·NY 81
−2pp
Team stats
LA
Away
Stat
NY
Home
27-56
fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted
30-70
48
FG %
43
5-19
threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted
12-30
20-26
freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted
17-19
22
Assists
21
17
Turnovers
13
WNBA · Tonight’s standouts
1 of 14 players in cohort
Breanna StewartNY · FUSG%.27771
Model ensemble · how the prediction is built
3 sub-models, blended.
Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.
27.3%
ensemble · LA favored
Elo Static
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
30%
weight
Elo Recent
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
37%
weight
Pace Efficiency
fallback · inputs missing
50.0%
P(NY win)
33%
weight
Disagreement
0.00 pp
weighted σ across sub-models
Confidence
100% · high
maps from disagreement
Substrate count
0 / 3 active
ones with full inputs tonight
Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.
Player projections
NY vs LA.
Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.
100
projections · 0 high confidence
Points
- Kelsey PlumLA24.5± 10.4low
- Breanna StewartNY17.3± 11.0low
- Nneka OgwumikeLA16.4± 5.3low
Rebounds
- Breanna StewartNY8.2± 2.4low
- Jonquel JonesNY8.0± 3.1low
- Dearica HambyLA6.9± 5.0low
Assists
- Kelsey PlumLA5.5± 3.9low
- Erica WheelerLA5.1± 3.3low
- Marine JohannesNY4.2± 4.0low
Blocks
- Cameron BrinkLA1.6± 1.4low
- Jonquel JonesNY1.2± 1.9low
- Breanna StewartNY1.0± 1.7low
Steals
- Ariel AtkinsLA1.7± 1.7low
- Marine JohannesNY1.7± 2.1low
- Dearica HambyLA1.4± 1.9low
Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands
Matchup · 2026
Team rate stats vs league
wehoop
LA
league avg
NY
50.7%
FG%
◀
44.7
45.6%
34.3%
3PT %
32.6
▶35.3%
91.6
PPG
◀
85.4
86.6
21.1
Assists / G
18.0
▶21.7
16.4
Turnovers / G
13.0
▶14.4