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FINAL+48NY
CON

CON

1-6

52100
NY

NY

7-0

Historical comparables

Games like this · top 6 from 310 candidates

basis · elo_diff + win_prob + day_of_year

WNBASun, Jun 1FinalSeriesNY wins series 3-1

Recap · WNBA

ew York Liberty held off Connecticut Sun, 100–52. It was a wire-to-wire rout.

ESPN didn't ship a closing line for this game; book settlement summary unavailable.

ByTheOnemodel/auto-generated · live odds + scouting data/refreshes with the page

CON · top performer

CON
Jacy Sheldon

Jacy Sheldon

G · #4

9.4Game score

10

Pts

3

Reb

2

Ast

NY · top performer

NY
Sabrina Ionescu

Sabrina Ionescu

G · #20

16.9Game score

18

Pts

2

Reb

5

Ast

WNBA · Connecticut Sun at New York Liberty · final

WNBA · Box scoreTRACKING

Final
52
100
CON1-6NY7-0
CON

CON

1-6

52
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
T. CharlesT. Charles★C · #31
251010102-48
O. Nelson-OdodaO. Nelson-Ododa★C · #10
21650102-44
B. HartleyB. Hartley★G · #14
17500003-33
M. MabreyM. Mabrey★G · #3
28842102-55
S. RiversS. Rivers★G · #22
31212203-26
H. PetersH. PetersF · #7
23253103-13
A. MorrowA. MorrowF · #24
158300000
R. MarshallR. MarshallC · #13
8142000+9
J. SheldonJ. SheldonG · #4
271032202-28
Team5226118019
DNP: R. Parks, L. Allen
NY

NY

7-0

100
CoreReboundsPlaymakingDefenseDiscipline
PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTO+/-
B. StewartB. Stewart★F · #30
231335111+44
L. FiebichL. Fiebich★F · #13
201321000+43
J. JonesJ. Jones★C · #35
2313110003+40
N. CloudN. Cloud★G · #9
21827101+44
S. IonescuS. Ionescu★G · #20
191825214+38
I. HarrisonI. HarrisonF · #21
17961302+8
R. GardnerR. GardnerG · #7
20304011+5
K. BurkeK. BurkeG · #22
18710003+1
M. JohannesM. JohannesG · #23
13826100+22
J. SherrodJ. SherrodG · #0
18610302+1
M. DavisM. DavisG · #1
8220002-6
Team100322911319
DNP: N. Sabally

Stat compare

Headline stats · full table below

31

FG %

62

11

Ast

29

Season series

NY wins series 3-1

Jun 1CONCON52@NYNY100today
Aug 1NYNY62@CONCON78
Aug 3NYNY87@CONCON78
Aug 25CONCON79@NYNY81

Headlines · top performers

Game flowCON ↔ NY
CONCON
J. Sheldon

J. Sheldon

G

Game leader · 27 min

10 PTS · 3 REB · 2 AST

NYNY
S. Ionescu

S. Ionescu

G

Game leader · 19 min

18 PTS · 2 REB · 5 AST

How it ended

NY beat CON 100-52. S. Ionescu led with 18 PTS, 2 REB, 5 AST. NY outscored the other side 30-8 in the 3rd quarter.

Last play

End of Game

Win probability

NY vs CON

0255075100Q2Q3Q4

Starters vs bench

production by unit
CONCONstarters 60% of pts

Starters(5)

31 PTS · 11 REB · 4 AST

GS 3

Bench(5)

21 PTS · 15 REB · 7 AST

GS 15

NYNYstarters 65% of pts

Starters(5)

65 PTS · 20 REB · 18 AST

GS 65

Bench(6)

35 PTS · 12 REB · 11 AST

GS 28

Linescore (quarters)

Team1234T
CON131581652
NY31293010100

Period scoring

CON won 1 · NY won 3

13
31

Q1

Charles 4

Stewart 9

15
29

Q2

Charles 6

Jones 7

8
30

Q3

Mabrey 3

Cloud 6

16
10

Q4

Sheldon 7

Burke 7

CON
NY

Shooting comparison

CON
NY

31%

19-61

FG

62%

33-53

21%

6-28

3PT

59%

19-32

89%

8-9

FT

88%

15-17

Play-by-play · 333 plays

period
event
player
  1. Q4·0.0

    End of Game

    CON 52·NY 100

  2. Q4·0.0

    End of the 4th Quarter

    CON 52·NY 100

  3. Q4·13.1

    Haley Peters defensive rebound

    CON 52·NY 100

  4. Q4·17.0

    Kennedy Burke misses 25-foot three point jumper

    CON 52·NY 100

  5. Q4·39.0

    Rayah Marshall makes free throw 2 of 2

    CON 52·NY 100

  6. Q4·39.0

    Sun offensive team rebound

    CON 51·NY 100

  7. Q4·39.0

    Rayah Marshall misses free throw 1 of 2

    CON 51·NY 100

  8. Q4·39.0

    Rebekah Gardner shooting foul

    CON 51·NY 100

  9. Q4·39.0

    Rayah Marshall offensive rebound

    CON 51·NY 100

  10. Q4·41.1

    Saniya Rivers misses 27-foot three point jumper

    CON 51·NY 100

  11. Q4·56.0

    Jaylyn Sherrod out of bounds bad pass turnover

    CON 51·NY 100

  12. Q4·1:16

    Jacy Sheldon makes free throw 1 of 1

    CON 51·NY 100

  13. Q4·1:16

    Marquesha Davis shooting foul

    CON 50·NY 100

  14. Q4·1:16

    Jacy Sheldon makes driving layup

    CON 50·NY 100

  15. Q4·1:24

    Aneesah Morrow defensive rebound

    CON 48·NY 100

  16. Q4·1:26

    Jaylyn Sherrod misses 17-foot jumper

    CON 48·NY 100

  17. Q4·1:53

    Haley Peters makes layup (Rayah Marshall assists)

    ·

    CON 48·NY 100

  18. Q4·1:55

    Rayah Marshall offensive rebound

    CON 46·NY 100

  19. Q4·1:58

    Rayah Marshall misses two point shot

    CON 46·NY 100

  20. Q4·2:01

    Aneesah Morrow defensive rebound

    CON 46·NY 100

  21. Q4·2:04

    Jaylyn Sherrod misses 23-foot three point jumper

    CON 46·NY 100

  22. Q4·2:29

    Jacy Sheldon makes 17-foot pullup jump shot

    CON 46·NY 100

  23. Q4·2:44

    Isabelle Harrison traveling

    CON 44·NY 100

  24. Q4·2:58

    Official timeout

    CON 44·NY 100

  25. Q4·2:58

    Haley Peters out of bounds bad pass turnover

    CON 44·NY 100

  26. Q4·3:18

    Rayah Marshall defensive rebound

    CON 44·NY 100

  27. Q4·3:20

    Isabelle Harrison misses 9-foot two point shot

    CON 44·NY 100

  28. Q4·3:22

    Isabelle Harrison offensive rebound

    CON 44·NY 100

  29. Q4·3:25

    Kennedy Burke misses 23-foot three point jumper

    CON 44·NY 100

  30. Q4·3:32

    Marquesha Davis defensive rebound

    CON 44·NY 100

Team stats

CON

Away

Stat

NY

Home

19-61

fieldGoalsMade-fieldGoalsAttempted

33-53

31

FG %

62

6-28

threePointFieldGoalsMade-threePointFieldGoalsAttempted

19-32

8-9

freeThrowsMade-freeThrowsAttempted

15-17

11

Assists

29

19

Turnovers

19

WNBA · Tonight’s standouts

2 of 11 players in cohort
  • Jonquel JonesNY · C
    ORB%.08986
  • Breanna StewartNY · F
    USG%.27771

Model ensemble · how the prediction is built

3 sub-models, blended.

Each sub-model uses a different rating substrate. Bayesian model averaging weights them by rolling Brier score so the ensemble inherits each model's strengths. Disagreement flags games where the sub-models don't see eye-to-eye — lower confidence, wider band.

27.3%

ensemble · CON favored

  • Elo Static

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NY win)

    30%

    weight

  • Elo Recent

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NY win)

    37%

    weight

  • Pace Efficiency

    fallback · inputs missing

    50.0%

    P(NY win)

    33%

    weight

Disagreement

0.00 pp

weighted σ across sub-models

Confidence

100% · high

maps from disagreement

Substrate count

0 / 3 active

ones with full inputs tonight

Weights recalibrated nightly on a 90-day rolling window with strict point-in-time correctness — no model gets credit for a game it hasn't seen. Headline % is Platt-scaled per league; sub-model rows show raw BMA inputs.

Player projections

NY vs CON.

Per-player stat projections built from a recency-weighted blend of the last ten games, season average, and matchup context. Confidence reflects sample size and stability — the top of each list is who to watch.

105

projections · 0 high confidence

Points

  • Breanna StewartNY
    17.3± 11.0low
  • Brittney GrinerCON
    13.6± 5.3low
  • Jonquel JonesNY
    12.6± 5.0low

Rebounds

  • Aneesah MorrowCON
    9.4± 5.2low
  • Breanna StewartNY
    8.2± 2.4low
  • Jonquel JonesNY
    8.0± 3.1low

Assists

  • Marine JohannesNY
    4.2± 4.0low
  • Saniya RiversCON
    3.7± 2.9low
  • Pauline AstierNY
    3.6± 2.5low

Blocks

  • Jonquel JonesNY
    1.2± 1.9low
  • Breanna StewartNY
    1.0± 1.7low
  • Kennedy BurkeCON
    0.9± 0.8low

Steals

  • Marine JohannesNY
    1.7± 2.1low
  • Ashlon JacksonCON
    1.6± 1.5low
  • Breanna StewartNY
    1.1± 1.3low

Projections recompute every 30 minutes · prop lines plug in once sportsbook ingest lands

Matchup · 2026

Team rate stats vs league

wehoop

CON

CON

league avg

NY

NY

40.7%

FG%

44.7

▶

45.6%

26.0%

3PT %

32.6

▶

35.3%

74.7

PPG

85.4

▶

86.6

17.9

Assists / G

18.0

▶

21.7

14.8

Turnovers / G

13.0

▶

14.4

Data via ESPN · wehoop